UK local by-elections, 2019

[CumbrianLefty]

I wonder whether the independent rise in Bury is linked to anger about the football club at all.

That may be a factor, but they weren't far off winning the seat in May.

[ObserverIE]

Latest installment from Freedonia-on-Thames here.

Eden, Penrith North

Con 46.3 (+9.0)
Ind 39.4 (-6.6)
Lab 9.6 (-7.1)
Cumbria First 4.8 (+4.8)

Coventry, Wainbody

Con 53.2 (+5.4)
Lib Dem 21.6 (+12.6)
Lab 18.6 (-7.4)
Brx 6.6 (+6.6)

Kingston-upon-Hull, St Andrew's and Docklands

Lab 45.6 (-7.8)
Lib Dem 43.9 (+30.8)
Con 10.5 (+2.7)

Con gain Penrith North from Ind

[ObserverIE]

Another trip to Sibboleth Country in this week's Holy Word here

South Northamptonshire, Middleton Cheney (changes in italics since April 2018 by-election)

Lib Dem 43.8 (+43.8) (+9.7)
Con 39.3 (-21.4) (-2.8)
Green 10.1 (+10.1) (+6.0)
Lab 6.7 (+6.7) (-13.0)

Rushmoor, St Mark's

Lib Dem 54.7 (+16.5)
Con 35.9 (+2.2)
Lab 9.4 (-6.1)

Shropshire, Bishop's Castle

Lib Dem 71.4 (-2.2)
Con 19.5 (-1.4)
Lab 9.1 (+9.1)

Rutland, Ryhall and Casterton

Con 56.3
Lib Dem 24.6
Green 19.1

Wellingborough, Finedon (changes in italics since September 2016 by-election)

Con 52.2 (+8.6) (-10.1)
Ind 21.7
Green 12.8 (+12.8) (+12.8)
Lab 7.3 (-21.3) (-12.0)
Lib Dem 6.1 (+6.1) (-1.0)

Lib Dem gain Middleton Cheney from Con
Con gain Ryhall and Casterton from Ind previously unopposed

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here

Liverpool, Old Swan

Lab 55.4 (-17.0)
Lib 14.1 (+6.4)
Lib Dem 13.1 (+7.2)
OSAC 6.6 (+3.6)
Green 6.2 (-1.6)
Con 4.6 (+1.4)

North Lanarkshire, Thorniewood

Lab 44.3 (-6.0)
SNP 39.1 (+0.4)
Con 9.6 (-1.5)
Lib Dem 5.5 (+5.5)
Green 1.5 (+1.5)

Lab 1362 1370 1424 1528 SNP 1202 1221 1245 1271 Con 296 298 335 Lib Dem 168 176 Green 46 Wiltshire, Ethandune Con 57.0 (-14.8) Lib Dem 43.0 (+14.8) Canterbury, Chestfield Con 46.0 (-7.3) Lib Dem 35.5 (+18.6) Lab 8.8 (-5.6) Ind 5.3 Green 4.3 (-11.2) Hammersmith and Fulham, Fulham Broadway Lab 44.2 (-11.3) Lib Dem 30.4 (+21.6) Con 25.3 (-10.4) Somerset West and Taunton, Vivary Lib Dem 55.3 (+19.5) Con 26.2 (+1.1) Ind 13.2 Lab 2.7 (-10.5) Green 2.6 (+2.6) Lab hold Thorniewood Lib Dem gain Vivary from Con

[ObserverIE]

This week's Holy Word here

Rochford, Sweyne Park and Grange

Con 49.7 (+0.3)
Lib Dem 37.4 (-0.5)
Green 12.9 (+12.9)

Luton, Icknield

Lab 36.7 (-4.2)
Con 35.4 (-10.4)
Lib Dem 25.6 (+12.3)
Green 2.3 (+2.3)

Ipswich, Alexandra

Lab 50.2 (-3.5)
Lib Dem 19.6 (+10.7)
Con 19.0 (-0.7)
Green 11.2 (-6.5)

Crawley, Tilgate

Con 57.0 (+12.2)
Lab 30.5 (-8.8)
Lib Dem 6.3 (+6.3)
Green 5.8 (-10.1)
Justice 0.4 (+0.4)

West Sussex, Three Bridges

Con 51.7 (+6.7)
Lab 29.5 (-10.4)
Lib Dem 12.1 (+6.4)
Green 6.4 (+2.3)
Justice 0.4 (+0.4)

Con gain Sweyne Park and Grange from Residents
Lab gain Icknield from Con

[ObserverIE]

Last Thursday's Holy Word here

Charnwood, Syston West

Con 44.7 (-7.6)
Green 42.8 (+18.4)
Lab 12.5 (-10.8)

Somerset West and Taunton, Norton Fitzwarren and Staplegrove

Lib Dem 53.7 (+18.6)
Con 38.6 (+21.8)
Green 5.2 (-14.0)
Lab 2.4 (-5.4)

Cardiff, Whitchurch and Tongwynlais

Con 36.4 (-6.4)
Lab 28.0 (-9.0)
PC 15.9 (+2.2)
Lib Dem 13.9 (+7.4)
Green 5.8 (+5.8)

Essex, Clacton East

Ind 36.9
Con 36.6 (+5.3)
HOS Res 16.1 (-24.8)
Lib Dem 4.2 (+2.4)
Lab 3.3 (-6.1)
Green 2.9 (+1.3)

St Albans, Clarence

Lib Dem 68.8 (+4.9)
Con 18.4 (+3.4)
Lab 6.5 (-4.0)
Green 6.3 (-4.3)

Aberdeen, Bridge of Don

Con 36.2 (+10.3)
SNP 35.0 (+0.9)
Lib Dem 18.1 (+8.8)
Lab 5.9 (-5.2)
Green 2.7 (+2.7)
UKIP 1.1 (+1.1)
Ind McLean 0.8 (-0.2)
Red 0.2 (+0.2)

Con	1857
SNP	1797
Lib Dem	929
Lab	305
Green	140
UKIP	55
Ind McL	43
Red	9

Lib Dem gain Norton Fitzwarren and Staplegrove from Ind
Ind gain Clacton East from Holland-on-Sea Residents
Con and SNP hold two seats in Bridge of Don

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here

Watford, Tudor

Lib Dem 55.4 (-5.6)
Con 31.2 (+13.2)
Lab 13.4 (-7.5)

Corby, Beanfield

Lab 56.0 (-5.5)
Con 34.0 (+18.6)
Lib Dem 10.1 (+10.1)

Basingstoke and Deane, Bramley and Sherfield

Ind Tomblin 57.2
Con 32.1 (-24.1)
Ind Bowyer 10.7

Ind gain Bramley and Sherfield from Con

[ObserverIE]

This week's Holy Word is here

Gravesham, Westcourt

Con 50.1 (+21.5)
Lab 32.0 (-4.8)
UKIP 11.8 (-12.0)
Green 6.1 (+6.1)

Liverpool, Prince's Park

Lab 73.1 (+1.0)
Green 13.8 (-4.6)
Lib Dem 8.6 (+3.2)
Con 4.6 (+1.6)

Richmondshire, Hawes, High Abbotside and Upper Swaledale

Ind 58.7 (-26.0)
Con 33.1 (+17.8)
Green 8.2 (+8.2)

North Yorkshire, Upper Dales

Con 45.7 (+16.2)
Ind 38.3 (-23.1)
Lib Dem 10.5 (+10.5)
Green 5.5 (+0.4)

Con gain Westcourt from Lab
Con gain Upper Dales from Ind

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word from last Thursday here

Powys, Llandrindod North

Lib Dem 47.2 (+47.2)
Con 34.2 (-19.6)
Lab 18.6 (-1.1)

Flintshire, Bagillt West

Lab 63.5
Ind 36.5

Powys, Newtown South

Con 43.5 (-11.4)
Lib Dem 35.7 (+35.7)
PC 20.8 (-8.7)

Wiltshire, Melkham Without South

Con 60.4 (+5.1)
Lib Dem 39.6 (+21.5)

Daventry, Abbey North

Con 41.0 (+13.9)
Lib Dem 30.5 (+9.7)
Lab 28.5 (-11.4)

South Ribble, Coupe Green and Gregson Lane

Con 49.1 (-1.2)
Ind 38.5
Lib Dem 12.4 (+12.4)

West Lindsey, Torksey

Con 35.7 (-22.9)
Lib Dem 32.6 (-8.8)
Brx 28.2 (+28.2)
Lab 3.5 (+3.5)

Devon, Heavitree and Whipton Barton

Lab 31.9 (-19.4)
Con 30.7 (-0.7)
Lib Dem 17.8 (+11.0)
Green 17.4 (+11.5)
FB 2.2 (+2.2)

Lib Dem gain Llandrindod North from Ind elected as Con
Lab hold Bagillt West (previously unopposed)
Con gain Abbey North from Lab

[ObserverIE]

A Triptych of Holy Syllables for Not Brexit Yet Week, of which the first is here

Warwick, Leamington Lillington

Lib Dem 55.3 (+7.4)
Con 28.3 (+11.6)
Lab 16.4 (-6.5)

[ObserverIE]

The second part of the triptych comes, appropriately enough for the week that's in it, from May-denhead and can be found here

Windsor and Maidenhead, Riverside

Con 41.1 (+5.8)
Lib Dem 29.3 (+9.2)
tBf 22.1 (-5.6)
Lab 3.6 (-4.0)
Green 3.1 (-6.2)
WEP 0.8 (+0.8)

[ObserverIE]

To complete the set, a trip to the Birmingham exurbs here

Worcestershire, Bromsgrove South

Con 40.2 (-0.3)
Ind 22.8
Lib Dem 18.7 (+13.8)
Lab 18.3 (-32.2)

Con gain Bromsgrove South from Lab

[CumbrianLefty]

That result is so hilariously bad for us I can't quite believe its just general "unpopularity" at play.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

It was quite a surprising hold in 2017, given the national (and even local) context.

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word from last Thursday here

Croydon, Fairfield

Lab 40.8 (-10.7)
Con 25.7 (-3.8)
Lib Dem 19.1 (+10.4)
Green 11.4 (+1.1)
WEP 1.9 (+1.9)
Ind 1.1

Cornwall, Wadebridge West

Ind Moorcroft 38.5
Con 34.5 (-2.2)
Lib Dem 17.5 (-31.6)
Green 8.6 (+0.8)
Ind Harris 0.9

Pembrokeshire, Hundleton

Ind Alderman 36.2
Con 21.1 (-4.5)
Ind Bush 9.6
Lib Dem 9.4 (+9.4)
Ind Hancock 7.6 (-2.5)
Ind Stenson 6.1
Ind Edwards 5.8
Ind Grange 4.1 (-11.2)
Ind Nutting 0.2

Shetland, Lerwick South

Ind Robinson 35.1
Ind Flaws 32.8
Ind Valente 14.4 (+2.3)
Ind Wagner 10.9
Ind Henderson 6.8

Ind R	374	385	407	451
Ind F	350	368	403	498
Ind V	154	172	204
Ind W	116	126
Ind H	73

Shetland, Shetland Central

Ind Lyall 47.0
Ind Buchan 15.8
SNP 15.2 (+15.2)
Ind Laverie 11.5
Ind Adamson 10.5

Ind Ly	344	366
Ind B	116	131
SNP	111	119
Ind La	84	93
Ind A	77

Chelmsford, Marconi

Lib Dem 48.1 (+0.6)
Con 26.6 (-0.5)
Lab 13.3 (-12.1)
Ind 6.1
Green 5.9 (+5.9)

Ind gain Wadebridge West from Lib Dem
Ind win Hundleton held by Ind
Ind win Lerwick South held by Ind
Ind win Shetland Central held by Ind

[CumbrianLefty]

Tories actually ran a heavily hyped campaign and candidate in Croydon which attracted some wider media attention. As can be seen the actual result was a tad underwhelming.

[ObserverIE]

Multinational Holy Word from last Thursday here

Neath Port Talbot, Rhos

PC 53.9 (+23.1)
Con 24.3 (+0.8)
Lab 21.8 (-23.8)

Eden, Shap

Lib Dem 48.5 (+17.2)
Con 33.8 (-17.3)
PCF 17.7 (+0.1)

Fife, Dunfermline Central

SNP 33.2 (+3.4)
Con 24.8 (+0.7)
Lib Dem 22.8 (+15.9)
Lab 13.5 (-13.1)
Green 5.1 (+1.9)
Lbt 0.6 (+0.6)

SNP	1526	1528	1628	1761	1798
Con	1142	1150	1156	1202
Lib Dem	1050	1053	1117	1343	1796
Lab	621	624	656
Green	235	237
Lbt	28

Fife, Rosyth

SNP 42.8 (+6.3)
Con 24.4 (+2.1)
Lab 15.2 (-3.1)
Lib Dem 7.9 (+0.5)
Ind M 5.0 (+3.3)
Green 4.2 (+1.3)
Lbt 0.5 (+0.5)

SNP	1347	1347	1406	1429	1486
Con	768	771	774	822	885
Lab	480	480	498	526	591
Lib Dem	249	250	275	291
Ind M	157	162	168
Green	132	135
Lbt	16

Tunbridge Wells, Culverden

Lib Dem 46.7 (+14.5)
Con 24.9 (-)
WEP 10.2 (-15.2)
TWA 9.5 (+9.5)
Lab 5.2 (-5.4)
Green 3.5 (+3.5)

Torbay, Goodrington and Roselands

Con 49.3 (+23.7)
Lib Dem 35.5 (+4.4)
Brx 9.3 (+9.3)
Lab 4.0 (-2.5)
Green 1.9 (-7.9)

Powys, St Mary

Lab 37.4 (+16.4)
Con 26.5 (-14.9)
PC 14.1 (+14.1)
Lib Dem 11.1 (-16.3)
Ind 11.0

Highland, Inverness Central

SNP 45.2 (+12.4)
Con 15.3 (+2.8)
Ind 12.3
Lib Dem 10.5 (+6.0)
Green 9.8 (+3.7)
Lab 6.9 (-10.0)

SNP	1015	1033	1115
Con	345	349	360
Ind	277	303	338
Lib Dem	237	266	325
Green	220	238
Lab	154

PC gain Rhos from Lab
Lib Dem gain Shap from Con
SNP gain Dunfermline Central from Con
SNP hold Rosyth
Lib Dem gain Culverden from Con
Con gain Goodrington and Roselands from Lib Dem
Lab gain St Mary from Con
SNP hold Inverness Central

[CumbrianLefty]

Not often that you have 8 contests and have to "explain" the results in all of them

[ObserverIE]

Not often that you have 8 contests and have to "explain" the results in all of them

[ObserverIE]

Another multinational Holy Word is here at its new, swankier, home.

Cardiff, Llanishen

Con 43.3 (+5.9)
Lab 34.7 (-0.1)
Lib Dem 10.7 (+3.1)
PC 5.8 (-3.6)
Green 3.8 (-3.6)
Ind 1.6

Aberdeen, Torry/Ferryhill

SNP 43.2 (+11.8)
Con 26.0 (+2.1)
Lab 10.6 (-12.8)
Lib Dem 8.4 (+3.3)
Green 8.1 (+3.3)
Ind 2.3
UKIP 1.4 (+0.5)

SNP	1618	1620	1624	1673	1819	1989
Con	972	983	996	1045	1083	1151
Lab	395	396	402	462	533
Lib Dem	315	317	324
Green	304	320	347	432
Ind	86	89
UKIP	53

Chichester, Loxwood

Con 61.8 (+16.9)
Lib Dem 29.9 (-25.2)
Green 7.7 (+7.7)
Patria 0.6 (+0.6)

West Sussex, Bourne

Con 48.9 (+8.7)
Lib Dem 36.0 (+16.5)
Green 8.9 (+2.0)
Lab 5.8 (-2.0)
Patria 0.4 (+0.4)

West Lancashire, Birch Green

Lab 60.8 (+2.2)
Skelm Ind 29.8 (-5.3)
Con 9.4 (+3.1)

Moray, Keith and Cullen

Con 41.5 (+7.1)
SNP 38.1 (-0.7)
Ind Barsby 12.7 (+3.3)
Lib Dem 7.7 (+7.7)

Con	1142	1177	1339
SNP	1047	1077	1184
Ind B	349	430
Lib Dem	212

Con gain Llanishen from Lab
SNP hold Torry/Ferryhill
Con gain Loxwood from Green elected as Lib Dem
Con win Bourne held by Brx elected as Con
Con gain Keith and Cullen from Ind

[ObserverIE]

Last Thursday's Holy Word stuck to rural-ish southern England and can be seen here

Wiltshire, Trowbridge Lambrok

Lib Dem 57.8 (+25.7)
Con 42.2 (-3.3)

North Norfolk, Sheringham North

Lib Dem 48.4 (-15.0)
Con 43.0 (+17.9)
Lab 8.6 (-2.8)

Oxfordshire, Wallingford

Green 40.8 (+29.8)
Con 31.0 (+6.6)
Ind 19.8
Lab 8.3 (-4.4)

Lib Dem gain Trowbridge Lambrok from Con
Green gain Wallingford from Ind

[ObserverIE]

A Holy Syllable from the Rhondda here

Rhondda Cynon Taf, Ynyshir

Lab 55.1 (+17.7)
PC 44.9 (-17.7)

Lab gain Ynyshir from PC