Final Predictions! (user search)

A few final predictions from around the country (I posted California predictions in that topic post and Minneapolis/St. Paul in that topic post & New Jersey, New York and Virginia I posted earlier and am sticking by that one):

ST. PETERSBURG, FL MAYOR

Rick Baker (i) 80%
Ed Helm 20%

(although non-partisan, it is well known that Baker is Republican and labor attorney Ed Helm is Democrat, but Helm has screwed up a lot during this election against popular Baker).

ATLANTA, GA MAYOR
(this is a revision from an earlier prediction, I think Shirley Franklin has angered a number of people by taking her re-election for granted and also made some enemies by endorsing several of her friends for the city council, she still will win by a healthy margin, though -- although it's less than I originally predicted)

Shirley Franklin (i) 73%
Glenn Wrightson 16%
Dave Walker 9%
James Harris (write-in) 2%

SANDY SPRINGS, GA MAYOR
(this is a new city and although a non-partisan race this has taken on some partisan overtones that were very unexpected, this will now be the second largest city in Georgia -- population wise -- and will affect how Fulton County and the City of Atlanta and much of the rest of Georgia do business; it was thought that long time cityhood activist 77-years old, Eva Galambos {whose known to be a Republican} would take this in a walk -- but her opponent businessman Tim Spruell {41-years old and known to be a Democrat} who is one of many people in Sandy Springs not thrilled about how some who are setting up this new city are wanting so much of a divorce from Fulton County that it might affect the ability for Sandy Springs to set up it's tax base, many are even predicting a surprise Spruell win, although close, and I will be one of them):

Tim Spruell 52%
Eva Galambos 48%

(I'm also going to predict that one more Democrat, Kathleen M. Womack, will win the most southeast district {and most close geographically to the City of Atlanta} on the new Sandy Springs City Council, with 53% of the vote. The other five council seats will go to Republicans, although all but one of those, -- one that will be won by Ashley Disque Jenkins -- who one time was a staff member for Senator Orrin Hatch -- will be won by more moderate Republicans).

BOSTON, MA MAYOR:

Thomas M. Menino (i) 65%
Maura Hennigan 35%

(The major highlight in Boston will be the election to the City Council to an At-Large seat of an Asian American, Sam Yoon from Dorchester neighborhood).

SPRINGFIELD, MA MAYOR:

Thomas M. Ashe 52%
Charles V. Ryan (i) 48%

NORTHHAMPTON, MA MAYOR:

Richard J. Feldman 54%
Clare Higgins (i) 46%

HOLYOKE, MA MAYOR:

Mark A. Lubold 51%
Michael J. Sullivan (i) 49%

(Sullivan will be dragged down out of office due to a non-binding resolution to approve Sullivan's controversial July 2005 20-year contract with Aquarion Operating Services to upgrade Holyoke's wastewater treatment plant being defeated by a 60% NO vote -- meaning it's by a company that is so privately owned that the city's water will be owned by the company).

DETROIT, MI MAYOR:

Freman Hendrix 58%
Kwame Kilpatrick (i) 42%

ASHEVILLE, NC MAYOR:
(incumbent Charles Worley retiring)

Terry M. Bellamy 57%
Dr. Joe Dunn 43%

(I list my prediction in this race only because this could have both significance for the upcoming 2006 races, but also very historic significance. In the past the Asheville, NC area and the mountain areas of North Carolina in general were very heavily Democratic, and even in the 1980's up to 1994 this area was split almost even between the Democrats and the Republicans. But since 1994 this area had become heavily Republican with some left over vestiges of Democratic leanings at times -- the Congressman from the area is Taylor. But my sense is with this election, many of the newer residents and also newly more well off African-Americans and women are not happy about this happening in the more liberal enclaves of the city of Asheville. In 2001, incumbent Worley, a Republican and businessman, won this seat by pouring in $1.2 million of his own money. This time around there is far less money by both candidates, and they almost even -- Bellamy, a city councilwoman and an African-American, raised a little less money by has more cash on hand for the closing days {Bellamy is also being supported as is several city council candidates by a new Democratic coalition group in Asheville}, while Dunn had raised a slightly more money, but has less cash on hand in the closing days. I also think the age of the candidates will play into this result {Bellamy is 33-years old, while Dunn is 61-years old} and also the fact that Bellamy is attracting many white women to her candidacy will also help her. Bellamy is also extremely well spoken, and for me she also looks very pretty, so I would vote for her myself, if I was in Asheville. It would also be nice to see a major city in the south, other than Atlanta have a African-American woman mayor, I wish Bellamy luck).

That's it for now, might have some more tomorrow morning, but I have to remember to go and vote myself, so I might not myself. Plus it is my birthday tomorrow.

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