Final Predictions!

[Keystone Phil]

My friends, we are one week away from Election day. The major races are for Governor of New Jersey, Governor of Virginia and Mayor of New York City


This thread is for posting your final predictions on these three races.


I will be posting my predictions on Friday, November 4th.

[Jake]

New Jersey

Corzine......50
Forrester....47

Virginia

Kilgore....51
Kaine......45

New York City

Bloomberg....62
Ferrer...........37

[WalterMitty]

corzine 51
forrester 48

kaine 52
kilgore 45
potts 2

there im probably the only one that thinks kaine will do better than corzine.  these arent the results i want, however.   but next tuesday will be a bad day for republicans in nj and va.

[Keystone Phil]

corzine 51
forrester 48

kaine 52
kilgore 45
potts 2

there im probably the only one that thinks kaine will do better than corzine.  these arent the results i want, however.   but next tuesday will be a bad day for republicans in nj and va.

Can we have your NYC prediction, please?

[WalterMitty]

bloomberg 65
ferrer 34

[The Dowager Mod]

Corzine 55
Forrester 45

Kaine 52
Kilgore 45
Potts 3

Bloomberg 65
Ferrer 35

[Defarge]

NJ
Corzine 54
Forrester 46

VA
Kaine 48
Kilgore 47

NYC
Bloomberg 63
Ferrer 36

[© tweed]

Mitty + Jake: NJ won't be close.

I'm not going to release my final picks until Monday night, because that's how I aced all 51 states in 2004, and I'm not deviating from the formula unnecessarily.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

NJ Corzine wins 53-46
VA Kaine wins 48-47

[Sarnstrom]

New Jersey
Corzine 53%
Forrester 45%
Others 2%

Virginia
Kaine 49%
Kilgore 47%
Potts 4%

New York City
Bloomberg 62%
Ferrer 35%
Others 3%

[Flying Dog]

New Jersey Governor's race:

(D) U.S. Senator Jon Corzine 56%

(R) State Senator Doug Forrester 44%

--------------------------------------------------

Virginia Governor's race:

(D) Lt. Governor Tim Kaine 48.5%

(R) Att. General Kilgore 48.2%

(I) State Senator Potts 2.3%

-----------------------------------------------------

New York's Mayor's race

(R) Mayor Bloomberg 57%

(D) Ferrer 43%

[YRABNNRM]

Bloomberg will get atleast 60%.

I'll make real predictions in a few days.

[Frodo]

Virginia

Governor

Tim Kaine (D): 50%
Jerry Kilgore (R): 48%
Russell Potts, Jr. (I): 2%
---------------------
Lt. Governor

Leslie Byrne (D): 40%
Bill Bollings (R): 60%
---------------------

Attorney General

Creigh Deeds (D): 53%
'Bob' McDonnell (R): 47%
__________________________________

New Jersey

Governor

Jon Corzine (D): 51%
Doug Forrester (R): 49%
__________________________________

New York City

Mayor

Mayor Michael Bloomberg (R): 65%
Fernando Ferrer (D): 35%

[Max Power]

New Jersey
Corzine- 52.36%
Forrester- 46.64%

Virginia
Kilgore- 49.37%
Kaine- 47.29%
Potts- 4.34%

New York City
Bloomberg- 56.73%
Ferrer- 43.27%

[Alcon]

Are there any other candidates on the New York ballot?  If so, the usual questions - who, why, and how will they do?

[ian]

Kaine - 47%
Kilgore - 49%
Potts - 4%

Corzine - 49%
Forrester - 48%

Not knowledgeable enough about the subject of NYC mayor to make prediction.

[Sam Spade]

Are there any other candidates on the New York ballot?  If so, the usual questions - who, why, and how will they do?

Other than Ognibene, not any ones I know of who could pull a couple of percent.

My prediction will come Monday, along with Tweed's.

[Ben Meyers]

Virginia

Kaine - 47%
Kilgore - 46%
Potts - 5%
Other - 1%

New Jersey

Corzine - 53%
Forrester - 44%
Other - 3%

New York City

Bloomberg - 63%
Ferrer - 36%
Other - 1%

[Moooooo]

Im gonna' hold off till November 4th too.  More polls should be out this week. 

[nini2287]

Mine will come out Sunday or Monday.  BTW, any polls on the VA Lt. Gov. race?

[PBrunsel]

I can make one prediction, but it doesn't help this thread at all.

Mayor of Davenport, Iowa

Fmr. County Auditor Ed Winborn: 52%
Alderman-at-Large Steve Ahrens: 46%
Developer Niky Bowles (Write-In): 2%

I am aware you don't know who any of these people are, but thism race means something to me and I am not qualified to comentate on the big races out east

[Erc]

Corzine: 53
Forrester: 46

VA turns into a Gregoire/Rossi-fest

And Bloomberg wins by a significant margin...64-34.

[tarheel-leftist85]

Holding off for VA Gov. race since it has to be my final!
NJ Gov.:
Corzine--52%
Forrester--45%
NYC Myr. (not that I really care!)
Bloomberg--64%
Ferrer--34%
VA Lt. Gov.
Byrne--47%
Rep.--53%
VA Atty. General
Deeds--49%
Rep.--51%

[Blank Slate]

I'm doing a slight bit of readjusting, and then may post some other states and other predicted outcomes:

New Jersey:

GOVERNOR

U.S. Senator Jon Corzine, D.                                      51.0%
former West Windsor mayor Doug Forrester, R.        41.0%
former Sayreville Borough councilman                       
              Jeff Pawlowski, L.                                          3.0% 
former Stafford mayor Wesley Ball, i                           2.0%
software anaylst Matt Thieke, G.                                2.0%
Dr. Hector Castillo, i                                                      .5%
painting contractor Tino Rozzo, S.                                .2% 
Marijuana Legalization activist
             Ed "NJWeedman" Forchion, M.                         .1%
Communist political organizer
             Angela Larisey, SW                                          .1%
nurse Michael Latigona, i                                              .1%

Virginia:

I'm doing a readjustment on this election, where I think Kaine will do better than I originally predicted, Byrne does worse and Deeds is the one who will get a slight boost from the Kaine/Warner campaign:

GOVERNOR

Lieutenant Governor  Tim Kaine, D.                           53%   
former Attorney General Jerry Kilgore, R.                  46%
state Senator Russ Potts, i                                         1%

LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR

state Senator Bill Bolling, R.                                     54%
former state Senator & Congresswoman
              Leslie L. Byrne, D.                                      46%

ATTORNEY GENERAL

state Senator Creigh Deeds, D.                               51%
state Delegate Bob McDonnell, R.                            49%

New York City:

MAYOR

incumbent Michael Bloomberg, R./IP                        61.0%   
Bronx Borough President
            Fernando Ferrer, D./WFP                             35.0%
former NYC Councilman
            Tom Ognibene, C.                                          2.0%
retired NYC police officer
            Audrey Silk, L.                                                1.0%
teacher Seth Blum, E.                                                  .8%                                                                       
journalist Martin Koppel, SW                                       .1%
Anthony Gronowicz, G.                                                .1%

[Speed of Sound]

New Jersey

Corzine......52
Forrester....46

Virginia

Kilgore....48
Kaine......49

New York City

Bloomberg....62
Ferrer...........37