Final Predictions! (user search)
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  Final Predictions! (search mode)
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Author Topic: Final Predictions!  (Read 15358 times)
Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« on: November 01, 2005, 05:36:05 PM »

Im gonna' hold off till November 4th too.  More polls should be out this week.  Smiley
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2005, 12:39:10 PM »

VA Governor:

Kilgore:  49.5%
Kaine:  49%
Potts:  1.5%

NJ Governor:

Corzine:  53%
Forrester:  46%
Other:  1%

NYC Mayor:

Bloomberg:  70%
Ferrer: 30%

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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2005, 06:31:14 PM »

rofl. 
Logged
Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2005, 11:13:50 AM »

for all of those predicting a kilgore victory...i have one question.

from what ive seen of the polls, kilgore is down big time in nova.  how do you think he is going win statewide if he loses by 10+ points in nova?

By winning by 30%+ everywhere else?  And if he needs more votes to get over the top he could always call mommy.  If Im not mistaken she is an election official in SW Virginia.

Seriously, I dont now enough about VA politics to give a real answer. I know he's going to poll well in the SW, but after that ... Huh
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2005, 03:57:41 PM »

Has ran an excellent campaign until he began to falter two weeks ago. I thought he was going to win up until then, but since he's collapsed, he'll lose by 3-7%.

At what point to you think his campaign turned for the worst?
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2005, 06:22:55 PM »

Well, those of us outside of the broadcast area can view his ad's view the internet.  IMO, Corzines are much better.  Both from a production and content stand point.  The Carl Riccio ad is up there with Kilgore's death penalty ad's.  Powerful stuff.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2005, 06:25:53 PM »


Except that the Carl Riccio ad is true, while the Kilgore ad about the death penalty is slander.

Not true.  The second death penalty ad featuring the wife of the dead cop was completely true.  She simply stated her opinion that Kaine would not uphold the death penalty.  The first ad lied about Kaine volunteering to defend the murderer.
Logged
Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2005, 03:05:08 PM »

Probably not, but when you consider the fact that every SV poll published showed a majority of NJ voters are not satisified with either candidate... You cant rule it out.  I guess its more likely that voters stay home then vote third party though.
Logged
Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2005, 09:10:29 AM »

Get those Democrats to the polls!  Smiley
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