Final Predictions!

[The Duke]

I'm switching my pick to Kilgore, btw.

[Politico]

Corzine by 9 points
Kaine by 1 point

Arnold's Proposition 75 is defeated.

[The Vorlon]

The GOP ground game in Virginia is indeed much better, but they are also a tad disspirited right now taking much of that edge away. - Kaine, by perhaps a bit more than expected - will not be a blowout, but margin of victory might creep up to maybe 5% or so. 

Corzine will successfully purchase a Governors seat, to match the Senate seat he purchased previously.  The GOP always over polls in Jersey, so I'll say Corzine by 7. - If "None of the above" was on the ballot in Jersey it would win in a walk.

[Moooooo]

Get those Democrats to the polls! 

[Galactic Overlord]

I think Corzine will win, 50%-46%.  It won't be that different from his first senate race, interestingly.

As for Virginia, I would have said Kaine a few days ago by the margins people here are suggesting, 49%-47%. But now I'm really not sure. Bush came in yesterday, which is the right time to spur turnout (he visited Louisiana in 2002 for our senatorial candidate, but he came too early and the groundswell faded before election day).  I also don't know the strength of the 72 hour GOTV program in Virginia.  If this was Ohio or Florida, yeah, I know it would be strong enough, but I don't know how well these programs are developed in what were considered "safe" red states.  Then there is the question of how Kaine will do in southern Virginia.  He's polling very well in Fairfax, but that won't do it for him alone.  Mark Warner won a good number of southern counties and kept it close in others, still giving him a pretty close victory.

So for the moment, I'll hold off and wait. I wouldn't be surprised if either candidate won.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Corzine 53%
Forrester 46%

[Democratic Hawk]

As for Virginia, I would have said Kaine a few days ago by the margins people here are suggesting, 49%-47%. But now I'm really not sure. Bush came in yesterday

I'm not sure whether Bush visiting Virginia yesterday was a good move or bad one.

Dave

[danwxman]

As for Virginia, I would have said Kaine a few days ago by the margins people here are suggesting, 49%-47%. But now I'm really not sure. Bush came in yesterday

I'm not sure whether Bush visiting Virginia yesterday was a good move or bad one.

Dave

I agree, especially considering it may push Independants towards Potts.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Final Predictions

NYC: Bloomburg in a walk
NJ: Not sure... Corzine will either win by a solid-enough margin or he'll get a scare (probably not enough for him to lose, but you never know).
VA: Depends on how Kaine does compared to Warner (ie; how much better he does in NOVA and how much worse he does in the rural areas). Completely up in the air.

[Jake]

Ignore my first prediction, my final predictions on election eve are:

New York City

Bloomberg....62
Ferrer...........37

Virginia

Kilgore....50
Kaine......48

New Jersey

Corzine......51
Forrester....48

Scranton Mayor

Doherty......55
DiBlileo.......45

Tough night, though I picked Scranton Mayor dead on with no polling

http://www.timesshamrockcommunications.com/election_2005_chat/chat_index.htm

SCRANTON MAYOR  Doherty  DEM 14,001  55%
SCRANTON MAYOR  DiBileo  REP 11,517   45%

[PBrunsel]

Mayor of Davenport, Iowa

Fmr. County Auditor Ed Winborn: 52%
Alderman-at-Large Steve Ahrens: 46%
Developer Niky Bowles (Write-In): 2%

Well, I was off by a mile:

Ed Winborn:  8,449  56%
Steve Ahrens:  6,759  44%

This was a very anti-incumbent election however. Controvesial fees (garbage fee, stormwater fee, etc.) led to the defeat of the two councilmen and a near defeat for several experienced councilors.

There will be four recounts of votes in the upcoming weeks.