What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep? (user search)
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  What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What % chance do you give the Dems to win all 3 states (KY/LA/MS)
#1
0%
 
#2
1-10%
 
#3
11-20%
 
#4
21-30%
 
#5
31-40%
 
#6
41-50%
 
#7
51-60%
 
#8
61-70%
 
#9
71-80%
 
#10
81-90%
 
#11
91-100%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 134

Author Topic: What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep?  (Read 7760 times)
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,637
United States


« on: December 23, 2018, 08:43:19 PM »

What % chance do you give the Dems to carry all three states next year (KY/MS/LA)?
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,637
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2018, 04:36:56 PM »

I think that it'll be the same in all three states. Polling will show close races at first, but then JBE will be thrown out by ~10%, and Hood and Beshear lose by similar margins.

Unfortunately I feel that your prediction is probably the most likely so far.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,637
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 25, 2018, 02:21:52 PM »

55% GOP Sweep
35% GOP 2/3
9% DEM 2/3
1% DEM Sweep

It's Louisiana, Kentucky, and Mississippi, and Atlas is delusional.


Multiple people on here actually mock the idea that the deep south is inelastic.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,637
United States


« Reply #3 on: December 25, 2018, 03:39:06 PM »

On KY news sites and Youtube channels all the comments say how much they hate Bevin and want him to lose. Useless anecdote and I don't expect him to lose but it's interesting because comments on such sites/channels are almost always 95% right wing/anti Dem candidate. Shows just how unpopular he is.
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