What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep? (user search)
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  What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: What % chance do you give the Dems to win all 3 states (KY/LA/MS)
#1
0%
 
#2
1-10%
 
#3
11-20%
 
#4
21-30%
 
#5
31-40%
 
#6
41-50%
 
#7
51-60%
 
#8
61-70%
 
#9
71-80%
 
#10
81-90%
 
#11
91-100%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 134

Author Topic: What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep?  (Read 7778 times)
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,104


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

« on: December 24, 2018, 12:06:36 PM »

LA's already pretty much Likely D at this point & MS's probably a tossup though I'd say it's more likely that Hood pulls it out than not, so that's 2 of the 3 right there, then it's just up to KY for the rest of the sweep to take place. At this point, it's probably somewhere between Lean R & Likely R, closer to Likely, though it's definitely not impossible for a D win to happen due to Bevin's unpopularity, but b/c KY's partisanship makes it more likely than not that he'll narrowly hold on, though, I'd give a 21-30% chance for a 2019 Dem sweep.
LA is toss-up, tilt-d at best. Abraham would most likely make this race competitive.
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