What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep? (user search)
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  What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: What % chance do you give the Dems to win all 3 states (KY/LA/MS)
#1
0%
 
#2
1-10%
 
#3
11-20%
 
#4
21-30%
 
#5
31-40%
 
#6
41-50%
 
#7
51-60%
 
#8
61-70%
 
#9
71-80%
 
#10
81-90%
 
#11
91-100%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 134

Author Topic: What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep?  (Read 7769 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: December 24, 2018, 04:00:17 PM »

30% chance, but if polls come out of MS, favoring the Democratic candidate, since we have only KY and LA to see, then, the chances of a Democratic sweep goes up.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2018, 06:56:24 PM »

These states as we know as well as in 2020 arent part of Dems electoral math; however, Beshear can beat Bevin due to his low approvals and doesnt have the incumbency advantage as McConnell.

These states will be only a test for 2020 and if Dems can win IA and AZ senate races and KS, states that reflect the deep South
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: December 27, 2018, 05:46:48 PM »

Dems will indeed sweep due to Hood and Beshear overperforming expectations. Hopefully, KY will go due to Matt Bevin not having incumbency advantage like McConnell
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: December 30, 2018, 04:44:38 AM »

KY Dems are getting their act together. Hood is a wildcard and every Gov, except Kathleen Blanco has been reelected. There is a new political landscape, Dems can sweep.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: July 02, 2019, 08:02:51 AM »

I am not giving a percentage, but there might be a wave beginning to develop again, Dem chances have improved
Logged
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