brucejoel99
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Posts: 19,728
Political Matrix E: -3.48, S: -3.30
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« on: December 23, 2018, 10:39:26 PM » |
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LA's already pretty much Likely D at this point & MS's probably a tossup though I'd say it's more likely that Hood pulls it out than not, so that's 2 of the 3 right there, then it's just up to KY for the rest of the sweep to take place. At this point, it's probably somewhere between Lean R & Likely R, closer to Likely, though it's definitely not impossible for a D win to happen due to Bevin's unpopularity, but b/c KY's partisanship makes it more likely than not that he'll narrowly hold on, though, I'd give a 21-30% chance for a 2019 Dem sweep.
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