Rate NC Governor's Race 2020
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Poll
Question: Rate the North Carolina Governor race in 2020 (Gov. Roy Cooper (D) vs. Dan Forrest (R))
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Tilt D		  
#5
Toss-Up		  
#6
Tilt R		  
#7
Lean R		  
#8
Likely R		  
#9
Safe R		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 107

Author Topic: Rate NC Governor's Race 2020  (Read 3025 times)
RoyCooper2020
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« on: December 18, 2018, 08:38:04 AM »
Rate the North Carolina Governor election results in 2020. North Carolina's current governor, Roy Cooper (D) is running for reelection in 2020 (most-likely against Lieutenant Governor Dan Forrest). What rating would you give this race? 
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: December 18, 2018, 08:38:50 AM »
Lean D to start, perhaps even going to likely D. That man is incredibly popular.
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Peanut
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« Reply #2 on: December 18, 2018, 08:47:38 AM »
Quote from: Senator Zaybay on December 18, 2018, 08:38:50 AM
Lean D to start, perhaps even going to likely D. That man is incredibly popular.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #3 on: December 18, 2018, 10:16:29 AM »
Tossup, tilt D.

Cooper should be favored, but far from being safe. Let's see who the GOP nominates. Hope Dems also win the senate seat in '20.
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andjey
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« Reply #4 on: December 18, 2018, 12:56:54 PM »
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: December 18, 2018, 05:20:33 PM »
Tilt D, but don't know who the Democratic candidate for Senate is and how well, he will do, with Cooper.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #6 on: December 18, 2018, 05:42:27 PM »
Lean D, considered Cooper's popularity.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #7 on: December 18, 2018, 05:47:08 PM »
Likely D

North Carolina governors don't lose reelection.

The only exception is dumb *** McCrory who costs NC jobs by signing the Bathroom bill.
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TML
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« Reply #8 on: December 18, 2018, 11:48:46 PM »
Morning Consult has his net approval rating at +20 as of 3Q2018. If Cooper is able to maintain such a high net approval rating, he should be the favorite in 2020.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #9 on: December 18, 2018, 11:55:12 PM »
Lean D.

If Cooper wins reelection, and the Democrat loses NC to Trump in 2020, and the election, Cooper may be a VP favorite in 2024.
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Not Me, Us
KhanOfKhans
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« Reply #10 on: December 19, 2018, 10:03:16 AM »
Lean D. Cooper is popular, but if Trump is winning NC, he could be vulnerable.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #11 on: December 19, 2018, 01:37:40 PM »
Likely R, obv. Even if Trump wins NC by 1 vote, Cooper will more likely than not lose reelection because of polarization.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #12 on: December 19, 2018, 02:20:29 PM »
Tossup, unless Cooper is on the ticket (which is not impossible) in which case Republicans become slight favorites.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #13 on: December 19, 2018, 05:03:37 PM »
Quote from: Polarized Elastic Libertarian MT Treasurer on December 19, 2018, 01:37:40 PM
Likely R, obv. Even if Trump wins NC by 1 vote, Cooper will more likely than not lose reelection because of polarization.

Great analysis, except you left out the part where partisan politics doesn't matter in Kentucky, which is why Bevin and McConnell can both lose, even though Trump is incredibly popular there.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #14 on: December 19, 2018, 08:35:07 PM »
Likely D,  he's very popular, and the NC voters will expect a GOP legislature to counter him.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: December 19, 2018, 08:45:23 PM »
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #16 on: December 19, 2018, 09:05:00 PM »
Barring the NCGOP somehow succeeding at cancelling the election, Lean D at minimum.
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CherokeeDem
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« Reply #17 on: December 20, 2018, 11:05:18 AM »
Quote from: Polarized Elastic Libertarian MT Treasurer on December 19, 2018, 01:37:40 PM
Likely R, obv. Even if Trump wins NC by 1 vote, Cooper will more likely than not lose reelection because of polarization.

Yeh you're right, Cooper is a deadman if he has to share a ballot with Trump. Absolutely no way he wins when Trump is running too.

Wait...

Trump was on the ballot in 2016? And so was Roy Cooper? Trump won North Carolina? Cooper did too? And Cooper won be knocking off an incumbent Republican? Wait and now Cooper has a plus +22 approval rating? Yep Roy Cooper is doomed, Titanium Safe R.


Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on December 19, 2018, 09:05:00 PM
Barring the NCGOP somehow succeeding at cancelling the election, Lean D at minimum.


I wouldn't put it pass the NCGOP to abolish the role of governor and switch us to a parliamentary system where Speaker Tim Moore becomes the Prime Minister of North Carolina. Or they could flat out make us a monarchy with Dan Forest as king.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
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« Reply #18 on: December 20, 2018, 06:12:32 PM »
Likely D, bordering on Safe. NC is a swing state that probably goes D, and Cooper is an incredibly popular incumbent.
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Vern
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« Reply #19 on: December 20, 2018, 07:29:00 PM »
Toss-up
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #20 on: December 20, 2018, 11:01:39 PM »
« Edited: December 20, 2018, 11:05:09 PM by RussFeingoldWasRobbedk »
Unless Trump wins George Bush margins, he's probably not losing. I think the power grab attempt made people more likely to vote for him.
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Lechasseur
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« Reply #21 on: December 21, 2018, 02:18:09 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbedk on December 20, 2018, 11:01:39 PM
Unless Trump wins George Bush margins, he's probably not losing. I think the power grab attempt made people more likely to vote for him.
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Woody
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« Reply #22 on: December 21, 2018, 02:27:01 PM »
Toss up.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #23 on: December 21, 2018, 02:30:11 PM »
Quote from: bronz4141 on December 18, 2018, 11:55:12 PM
Lean D.

If Cooper wins reelection, and the Democrat loses NC to Trump in 2020, and the election, Cooper may be a VP favorite in 2024.

Dude, if Trump won reelection, Cooper would be favored to beat Richard Burr in 2022.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #24 on: December 21, 2018, 03:59:50 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on December 21, 2018, 02:30:11 PM
Quote from: bronz4141 on December 18, 2018, 11:55:12 PM
Lean D.

If Cooper wins reelection, and the Democrat loses NC to Trump in 2020, and the election, Cooper may be a VP favorite in 2024.

Dude, if Trump won reelection, Cooper would be favored to beat Richard Burr in 2022.

I believe that Burr is retiring in 2022.
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