Biden VP news megathread (pg 286 - been selected, announcement could be today)

[Reaganfan]

I would think after this Biden has to make serious considerations on whether or not to choose an African American. It can hurt more than help in some electorally important states.

[John King wannabe]

Harris did an interview where she was asked if she was going to be VP and she said "I have no idea"

I think Joe is going to pick either Harris or Warren

[OSR stands with Israel]

Good. If Biden is elected, the 2022 midterms will be bad for Democrats. We'd have a better chance of holding her seat if we have the incumbent running.

I mean, not super much? The map is very good for Democrats https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_Senate_elections

New Mexico is safe anyway.

New Mexico? She's from Nevada lol.

Oh wait nevermind I was confusing her with someone else.

But NV is also safe.

Not in a Biden Presidency lol, at best its Lean D

[Pericles]

Good. If Biden is elected, the 2022 midterms will be bad for Democrats. We'd have a better chance of holding her seat if we have the incumbent running.

I mean, not super much? The map is very good for Democrats https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_Senate_elections

New Mexico is safe anyway.

New Mexico? She's from Nevada lol.

Oh wait nevermind I was confusing her with someone else.

But NV is also safe.

A Clinton +2 state is not safe. It's not a sure defeat by any means, but opening that seat up is a risk for Democrats and it is winnable for Republicans.

[Orwell]

Good. If Biden is elected, the 2022 midterms will be bad for Democrats. We'd have a better chance of holding her seat if we have the incumbent running.

I mean, not super much? The map is very good for Democrats https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_Senate_elections

New Mexico is safe anyway.

New Mexico? She's from Nevada lol.

Oh wait nevermind I was confusing her with someone else.

But NV is also safe.

A Clinton +2 state is not safe. It's not a sure defeat by any means, but opening that seat up is a risk for Democrats and it is winnable for Republicans.

The 2010 Senate map wasn't necessarily favorable to the GOP they still were +5 in the Senate.

The GOP won Special election in Massachusetts and Illinois in the prelude to 2010 and should have won in Deleware it's all about running the right candidate and no race is safe. 

[Kleine Scheiße]

i am now officially on team harris

let's win this

[Orwell]

i am now officially on team harris

let's win this

Looking at your track record I think we can safely say it won't be Warren now

[Devils30]

Kamala’s speeches on the streets and tweets yesterday were not the most conciliatory in general. That’s one reason I could see team Biden viewing her as a risky choice with a current lead. 

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/1267101296164814852

[Devils30]

Yeah, I think this is the time you buy low on Klobuchar. Although my view seems in the minority here, I've thought that both Warren and Harris are kind of just too elitist for the average voter and the theme this year is competence and leadership. Amy is now in trouble but some things like her not prosecuting Chauvin is simply untrue. The Burrell case is in my opinion the bigger issue for her.

Demings is intriguing but the idea of someone with a big lead picking a 2 term House member just seems odd.

This is why I go back to the idea that Klobuchar or Whitmer made the most sense from the beginning and I would not be shocked if team Biden considers Klobuchar too toxic. Whitmer as a fresh face to people who is not threatening (other than the MI protestors who are a minority) might just make the most sense in the end. She has the big state executive gig, is less disliked by the left and her 5 month gig as a prosecutor shouldn't have much fodder.

[Comrade Funk]

https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/1267101296164814852

These people never leave the DC bubble, and know jack sh**t how people think outside the beltway.

[Mr. Morden]

While Klobuchar's stock seems to have taken a serious hit, Clyburn and "top Biden campaign officials" say that she's not out of the running yet:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/31/joe-biden-vice-president-george-floyd-291063

While Clyburn said he would prefer a black running mate, he and top Biden campaign officials stress that Klobuchar is still in the running, that she’s highly qualified and that no one has been ruled out due to their law enforcement backgrounds.

[Donerail]

These people never leave the DC bubble, and know jack sh**t how people think outside the beltway.

Is Elizabeth Warren widely beloved outside the beltway?

[tmthforu94]

Good. If Biden is elected, the 2022 midterms will be bad for Democrats. We'd have a better chance of holding her seat if we have the incumbent running.

I mean, not super much? The map is very good for Democrats https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_Senate_elections

New Mexico is safe anyway.

New Mexico? She's from Nevada lol.

Oh wait nevermind I was confusing her with someone else.

But NV is also safe.

A Clinton +2 state is not safe. It's not a sure defeat by any means, but opening that seat up is a risk for Democrats and it is winnable for Republicans.

I tend to agree, it only makes sense if the Biden camp determines she provides a clear advantage in the 2020 race that others can't provide. Rosen only beat Heller by 5 in a favorable Democratic environment that was a Trump referendum. With Trump out of the picture in 2022 in this scenario, it is very reasonable that Republicans could win it back.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/jeneps/status/1267144597895032839

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/MeetThePress/status/1267160321606791169

[Devils30]

The activists are not the electorate. Picking someone divisive or unqualified would be an absolutely insane decision.

[LimoLiberal]

Keisha Lance Bottoms? If the protest and rioting continue through the summer, I think she would be a very smart choice.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/jeneps/status/1267144597895032839

No, he should not rush. Imagine if he picked Klobuchar last week.

[Mr. Morden]

This story’s a week old, but I guess Klobuchar has also been asked straight up if she’s being vetted, and declined to answer:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/personal-ties-to-biden-could-be-an-advantage-in-running-mate-race/ar-BB14wtdB

Ms. Klobuchar, in a Friday interview with WCCO Radio in Minneapolis, declined to talk about Mr. Biden’s vetting process, saying, “in the end, he makes that decision and he knows what it takes to be a good vice president.”

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/billscher/status/1267167885014769664

[dunceDude]

Is hearing "Warren loses us a Senate seat" like nails on a chalkboard for anyone else? I feel like this has been addressed a hundred times, the legislature will just change the law like they've done before, and yet people who should know better like Harry Enten are bringing it up in CNN articles.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1267199885092294659

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1267199885092294659

The typo ("predation" for "prediction") is unintentionally funny.

[DisneyDem]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1267199885092294659

The typo ("predation" for "prediction") is unintentionally funny.

Is there any data on Who was the odds on favorite both parties in previous cycles? At this point I mean