2020 AZ Senate Megathread: Kelly's Race to Lose

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How often does the loser of a Senate race become the Senior Senator less than two months later?

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The thing about states like Arizona and Colorado, though, is that a decent number of registered Republicans pretty vote straight-ticket Democrat now. Kind of the opposite of Appalachia. Sinema was always going to win more Republicans than McSally would Democrats.

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It would be hilarious if Arizona went from two Republican Senators to two Democratic Senators in just two years, due to a so-called "rising star" that was hyped up so much after 2014 getting beaten twice.

Also, is this the first time that someone becomes the Senior Senator less than two months after losing a Senate race?

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Ah, fair enough. It still must be pretty rare for someone to lose a Senate race, and then become a Senator anyway two months later.

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I like how very liberal candidates are always "too far left" for swing states, but extreme right-wingers are never "too far right" for swing states. It's a pretty big double standard, if you ask me.

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I like Gallego, but I don't have any real issues with Kelly. I'd call this race a pure Toss-Up right now. My hunch is that it very closely tracks the presidential race.

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I mean, the Republican strategy seems to be embracing Trump 100% in the hopes of driving up turnout and getting all of Trump's support. Given that she's been running behind Trump in recent polls, that might not be all that terrible of a strategy. Plus, it's not like Republicans get a lot of flak for running/voting in swing states like hardcore conservatives. Only Democrats are expected to "move to the center."

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At least she's showing her true colors and dropping the charade of being "moderate" and "reasonable."

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At least she's showing her true colors and dropping the charade of being "moderate" and "reasonable."

She was never reasonable and moderate. Just because you don't openly embrace Trump doesn't mean you're a moderate. And saying this as someone who frequently supports moderate candidates.

Oh, I know, but she at least pretended to be more "moderate" during her first House term, then "pivoted" to embracing Trump post-2016. She's always been a phony, but at least she's not making any effort to hide the fact that she's an opportunist.

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This is what happens when you give someone who just lost a Senate race a Senate seat to defend.

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Remember when she was considered such a strong candidate in 2017?

I remember when she was a “rising star” and “moderate.”

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Obviously McSally is trying to act like Trump, because she desperately wishes she were polling as """"""""""well"""""""""" as he is.

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I refuse to believe Martha McSally is this bad at politics. She's clearly an undercover Democrat.

That, or Ducey is paying her very well.

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Pepperidge Farm wants to send out its semi-monthly reminder that McSally was considered "moderate" and a "rising star" not too long ago.

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Welp, that settles that. We know how this is going to end.

Inevitable AZ results:

McSally 50.2%
Kelly 46.8%

Trump 47.2%
Biden 46.5%

#EveryRaceIsARedux

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The fact that Trump’s re-election is above 40 cents on PredictIt should tell you all you need to know about that site.