2020 AZ Senate Megathread: Kelly's Race to Lose

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Who will Gov Ducey appoint for Senate in the coming days and how many Democrats want to run for that seat in 2020?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/for-arizona-governor-mcsallys-star-dims-as-possible-choice-for-senate-seat/2018/12/13/866f6cc0-ff0c-11e8-ad40-cdfd0e0dd65a_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.f9ae1125fe74

[Zaybay]

Well, it appears that McSally has fallen out of favor with Ducey, but she is still a top contender for that seat. Otherwise, the most likely choice is one of the House Republicans, though none of them would really be good incumbents for the seat. Its also possible he appoints himself, though that would give the Democrats the governorship(since there is no Lt.Gov, the SoS steps up). He could also appoint an unknown, like a higher-up in the AZGOP, or a state legislator, but I personally see one of the Reps as the most likely.

On the D side, 3 names have really been thrown around. Woods, a former Republican and Conservative Democrat who worked for McCain. Stanton, former mayor of Phoenix and current representative of Sinema's old seat, kinda middle of the road. and Gallego, a Liberal popular representative of the Phoenix metro. All three have been angling for the senate seat, and all have their respective strengths and weaknesses, but overall, a pretty B+ to A- slate of candidates.

AZ is likely going to see a lot of attention come 2020.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I swear if Grant Woods wins the primary I'm going to vomit. Hopefully Gallego runs and wins

[lfromnj]

Tilt D atm.

AZ trends aren't good for the GOP and despite their long control of Arizona they have a pretty weak bench.

the dems have all 3 moderate hero districts(although at this point the 6th is more competetive than the 9th)
GOP congressman are crazy,have ethics problems, or just weak candidates.

Dems also have a progressive military veteran Gallego who can run or they can run Grantwoods.

Ducey can't run due to SOS. the only GOP candidate that is strong is the state treasurer.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/eyokley/status/1073594333725642752

[_]

https://twitter.com/eyokley/status/1073594333725642752

[Torrain]

https://mobile.twitter.com/NPR/status/1073598872960856064?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle...

Methinks someone wanted to avoid the January deadline for lobbying disclosures.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Senator McSally here we come.

[Zaybay]

Senator McSally here we come.

Becoming unlikely. McSally has apparently fallen out of favor with Ducey.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/for-arizona-governor-mcsallys-star-dims-as-possible-choice-for-senate-seat/2018/12/13/866f6cc0-ff0c-11e8-ad40-cdfd0e0dd65a_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.f9ae1125fe74

[Torrain]

The moment of truth has arrived.
Do we:
- get a Ducey placeholder, like his CoS etc
- get McSally
- get an out-of-the-(Atlas)-blue candidate

The two candidates I’d bet won’t be chosen are Cindy and Meghan McCain. Ducey had a chance to appoint either. If he apppoints one of the two of them, then it’s a frank admission that he appointed Kyl to help jam Kavanaugh’s confirmation through, and wants to be both admired as an opportunist and honoured as respectful, which are two mutually exclusive positions.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

https://www.npr.org/2018/12/14/671727813/arizona-sen-jon-kyl-to-step-down-leaving-mccains-seat-vacant-again

Say Hello to Sen. McSally, probably.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Would whoever is appointed take office before Sinema then? That would be a little unfair, especially is McSally is appointed, to become the senior Senator instead of Sinema.

[MycroftCZ]

McSally starts as the clear underdog in any reelection bid. The people of Arizona just rejected her bid to be a senator, I doubt they'll be happy if she becomes one anyway. Also, she's proven that she is not that strong of a candidate for statewide office. 

[Xing]

How often does the loser of a Senate race become the Senior Senator less than two months later?

[Zaybay]

I already posted this on another thread, but apparently McSally has fallen out of favor with Gov. Ducey. Not sure if shes the frontrunner.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/for-arizona-governor-mcsallys-star-dims-as-possible-choice-for-senate-seat/2018/12/13/866f6cc0-ff0c-11e8-ad40-cdfd0e0dd65a_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.f9ae1125fe74

[ElectionsGuy]

If Ducey is smart he won't nominate McSally. That'll be a smack in the face to voters, but then again, so is appointing someone for 2 years that the people have no say in so...

[lfromnj]

Could Ducey appoint Paul Gosar?

LOL

[lfromnj]

If Ducey is smart he won't nominate McSally. That'll be a smack in the face to voters, but then again, so is appointing someone for 2 years that the people have no say in so...

who else could he appoint besides her and Kimberly Yee

AZ GOP bench is absolutely garbage. And the voters didn't say no to Mcsally but more yes for Sinema.

[pppolitics]

I hope it's McSally!

It would be fun to beat her again!

[7,052,770]

If Ducey is smart he won't nominate McSally. That'll be a smack in the face to voters, but then again, so is appointing someone for 2 years that the people have no say in so...

who else could he appoint besides her and Kimberly Yee

AZ GOP bench is absolutely garbage. And the voters didn't say no to Mcsally but more yes for Sinema.

There are several Republican congressmen from Arizona. He could pick one of those that isn't McSally.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Matt Salmon?

[Free Bird]

If Ducey is smart he won't nominate McSally. That'll be a smack in the face to voters, but then again, so is appointing someone for 2 years that the people have no say in so...

who else could he appoint besides her and Kimberly Yee

AZ GOP bench is absolutely garbage. And the voters didn't say no to Mcsally but more yes for Sinema.

Garbage bench? LMAO. I will remind Atlas that AZ is still a pink state, McSally just ran as a 2004 neocon and wasted all the opportunities afforded her to attack Sinema.

[lfromnj]

Matt Salmon?

I thought he retired anyway so might be another placeholder.
Kimberly YEE IMO should run for the GOP. She won by a good margin and has the good optics of I think the first female asian GOP senator. Cocaine Mitch should try for her.

[Zaybay]

If Ducey is smart he won't nominate McSally. That'll be a smack in the face to voters, but then again, so is appointing someone for 2 years that the people have no say in so...

who else could he appoint besides her and Kimberly Yee

AZ GOP bench is absolutely garbage. And the voters didn't say no to Mcsally but more yes for Sinema.

Garbage bench? LMAO. I will remind Atlas that AZ is still a pink state, McSally just ran as a 2004 neocon and wasted all the opportunities afforded her to attack Sinema.

So, who do they pick? If they dont have a garbage bench, who do they pick?

[MAINEiac4434]

Cindy or Meghan McCain would make the most sense, and neither would likely run for the full term.