Cook 2020 House ratings. Not lol tier as wasserman did em.
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  Cook 2020 House ratings. Not lol tier as wasserman did em.
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Author Topic: Cook 2020 House ratings. Not lol tier as wasserman did em.  (Read 357 times)
lfromnj
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« on: December 12, 2018, 01:14:54 PM »
« edited: December 12, 2018, 01:21:50 PM by Ohio is the New Missouri »

https://adobeindd.com/view/publications/dbae194c-01e6-4a2c-bf01-cef0cc7de266/1/publication-web-resources/pdf/House_2020_Ratings.1.pdf

https://adobeindd.com/view/publications/dbae194c-01e6-4a2c-bf01-cef0cc7de266/1/publication-web-resources/pdf/House_2020_Ratings.1.pdf

Relatively reasonable.
Wasserman understands that Texas has a lot of oppurtunities for the dems and the 3 survivors overall

A bit too many recent holds in likely like ca 49th and Va 5th which should be safe R and Safe D at this point.

Main gripes- I think any flipped district is at max Likely D like ca 49th which was Safe D since November 2016. However a lot of leans are likely.

LOL at texas 32nd TX7th and Ga 6th . Add some of the other cali lean districts besides CA 10th(which swung towards trump in 2016 so it can flip IMO.
LMAO These are all likely to Safe D. Beto carried the 32nd BY DOUBLE DIGITS and #strong incumbent sessions lost by 6 POINTS lmao. Even Barrow carried the 6th in the runoff.
The GOP can try but these seats are gone in 2020 although they can flip back in 2022 if trump loses.

Also move Peterson to tossup.
The GOP side is mostly fine atm though besides Ne 2nd which is clearly tossup.

Im happy Mn 1st and 8th are Likely R which is where they should be.(closer to Safe)
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2018, 01:38:12 PM »

Yeah it seems fairly reasonable. I have a few disagreements nevertheless
-Peterson (MN07) should be in the Tossup category. If republicans don’t target him more seriously they would be dumb.
-Van Drew (NJ02) should be in the Tossup category too. Trump should win again this district and it will help the republican challenger.
-Stauber (MN08) should be relatively safe because he will have the incumbency advantage and a better climate.
-Barr (KY06) is safe too, he survived a democratic wave against a well funded challenger so he will probably easily coast to reelection in two years especially with Trump on the ballot.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2018, 01:42:38 PM »

https://adobeindd.com/view/publications/dbae194c-01e6-4a2c-bf01-cef0cc7de266/1/publication-web-resources/pdf/House_2020_Ratings.1.pdf

https://adobeindd.com/view/publications/dbae194c-01e6-4a2c-bf01-cef0cc7de266/1/publication-web-resources/pdf/House_2020_Ratings.1.pdf

Relatively reasonable.
Wasserman understands that Texas has a lot of oppurtunities for the dems and the 3 survivors overall

A bit too many recent holds in likely like ca 49th and Va 5th which should be safe R and Safe D at this point.

Main gripes- I think any flipped district is at max Likely D like ca 49th which was Safe D since November 2016. However a lot of leans are likely.

LOL at texas 32nd TX7th and Ga 6th . Add some of the other cali lean districts besides CA 10th(which swung towards trump in 2016 so it can flip IMO.
LMAO These are all likely to Safe D. Beto carried the 32nd BY DOUBLE DIGITS and #strong incumbent sessions lost by 6 POINTS lmao. Even Barrow carried the 6th in the runoff.
The GOP can try but these seats are gone in 2020 although they can flip back in 2022 if trump loses.

Also move Peterson to tossup.
The GOP side is mostly fine atm though besides Ne 2nd which is clearly tossup.

Im happy Mn 1st and 8th are Likely R which is where they should be.(closer to Safe)

Yeah, you are right on the other hand about the suburban districts. CA 49th and VA 10th are a lost cause for republicans and TX 32nd is probably likely D.
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