IA-SEN 2020: Ernst megathread

[Gass3268]

Even if Iowa is a longshot, it's far from the most expensive state to compete in, so it doesn't make sense for Democrats to give up, at least not this early in the game. I don't think the DSCC is triaging this race, they're just not always the best at picking great candidates to endorse.

Given the situation with the tariffs screwing with farmers, particularly in Iowa, it would be crazy for the Democrats not to compete in Iowa. A lot of the pieces are in place for another 80's style farm crisis.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Even if Iowa is a longshot, it's far from the most expensive state to compete in, so it doesn't make sense for Democrats to give up, at least not this early in the game. I don't think the DSCC is triaging this race, they're just not always the best at picking great candidates to endorse.

Given the situation with the tariffs screwing with farmers, particularly in Iowa, it would be crazy for the Democrats not to compete in Iowa. A lot of the pieces are in place for another 80's style farm crisis.

Which could maaaaaybe give Peterson one final hurrah?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems are campaigning for President right now in IA. IA according to Morning Consultant can flip. It's not Ohio

[HarrisonL]

Morning Consult is wrong, Joni Ernst is underrated.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ernst is underrated but she isn't Susan Collins. Whom Angus King has spoken kind words about or SMC, whom are safe.

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/LissandraVilla/status/1143238569156329472

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe R, as long as Reynolds enjoy a 50-32 approval rating and Ernst is at the same approvals, Ernst won't lose

ME, with Sara Gideon is a different story, Collins has been in office, like Snowe since the 1990's and originally, said she would serve 2 terms and she has been in office, way too long.

[wesmoorenerd]

The DSCC would be foolish to target this over CO, AZ, NC, and GA.

Which means, I'm sure, that they will.

[Brittain33]

The DSCC would be foolish to target this over CO, AZ, NC, and GA.

Which means, I'm sure, that they will.

I would hope the DSCC will be able to target more than four states.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The DSCC would be foolish to target this over CO, AZ, NC, and GA.

Which means, I'm sure, that they will.

It's a far cheaper state than those four.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Unless Scholten or Beto run, Dems arent winning TX or IA. Hopefully, someone else primaries Greenfield

[Pollster]

The DSCC would be foolish to target this over CO, AZ, NC, and GA.

Which means, I'm sure, that they will.

It's a far cheaper state than those four.

This, and a strong Senate operation will help both up and down the ballot.

[Xing]

https://twitter.com/LissandraVilla/status/1143238569156329472

Ugh, there's a reason primaries exist. This aversion Democratic leaders have to primaries is not helping the party.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This helps Scholton, he can run for Gov in 2022, and Reynolds, already served two terms

[Tekken_Guy]

This helps Scholton, he can run for Gov in 2022, and Reynolds, already served two terms

Didn’t she only serve a term and a half? Nevertheless she does probably have her eye on Grassley’s
seat if he retires in 2022.

[Jon Tester]

Fascinating candidate.  Stronger than Greenfield IMO.

[Ilhan Apologist]

Let these two duke it out. As long as the primary doesn't go negative, it's fine.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Like I said earlier,  Ernst is a John Robert's conservative, she spoke out against King, insensitivity and so is Reynolds, who models herself after Lincoln. If Greenfield is the nominee, Ernst will hold the seat

[InheritTheWind]

https://twitter.com/LissandraVilla/status/1143238569156329472

Good god Chuck Schumer is awful.

[henster]

I don't get the hype around Greenfield she seems like a total lightweight. Need to be really recruiting a veteran against her, the admiral guy sounds interesting Todd Prichard who ran for Gov in '18 is also an interesting prospect. But the coalescing around Greenfield is just odd.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Todd Pichard would put this race into play, but Dems are gonna have a tough time winning IA, anyways, unless its a wave. This race is safe R

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If Scholten or another strong dem does not get in Mike Franken has my backing.

[Politician]

We need another Franken in the Senate.

[Mr. Smith]

The DSCC would be foolish to target this over CO, AZ, NC, and GA.

Which means, I'm sure, that they will.

They need all four of those too. 5 seats need to move. Unless you think there's some kind of vulnerability with Dan Sullivan or John Cornyn, or know a miracle worker in Maine, Montana to unseat those, Iowa is the next best shot.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Greenfield isnt a good candidate, Ernst is ahead by 50/32