The most SHOCKING Clinton county in 2016 (user search)
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  The most SHOCKING Clinton county in 2016 (search mode)
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Author Topic: The most SHOCKING Clinton county in 2016  (Read 7245 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: December 02, 2018, 05:28:13 PM »

its not a clinton county but it was close. It hasn't voted democrat since 1916 but Clinton only lost by 2.
Johnson county Kansas. Its an 87% white county but is suburban so it had a massive swing to Clinton in 2016. I expect it to flip in 2020.

Agreed. Laura Kelly beat Kris Kobach by ~20 points in Johnson County, if I am not mistaken, and Sharice Davids carried it decisively over Kevin Yoder. Given these results, and given that Clinton only narrowly lost it in 2016, I expect it to flip, particularly if someone like Gillibrand, Klobuchar, or Harris is the Democratic nominee.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2018, 05:29:19 PM »

One other shocking county might have been Deer Lodge County, Montana, which hasn't gone Republican since 1924. Clinton won it with only a plurality, and it would seem like a county that would be responsive to Trump.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2020, 03:05:15 AM »

its not a clinton county but it was close. It hasn't voted democrat since 1916 but Clinton only lost by 2.
Johnson county Kansas. Its an 87% white county but is suburban so it had a massive swing to Clinton in 2016. I expect it to flip in 2020.

And indeed it did. Biden won it by 8%.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #3 on: January 19, 2021, 06:03:43 PM »

its not a clinton county but it was close. It hasn't voted democrat since 1916 but Clinton only lost by 2.
Johnson county Kansas. Its an 87% white county but is suburban so it had a massive swing to Clinton in 2016. I expect it to flip in 2020.

And indeed it did. Biden won it by 8%.

That's a big margin.

I would say so, particularly for a county that hadn't voted Democratic in a hundred years before 2020. Johnson County is gone for the Republicans at the presidential level.
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