The most SHOCKING Clinton county in 2016

[President Phil Scott]

In which county, ultimately won by Clinton, were you most surprised about the result (in terms of the winner)

Anywhere in the U.S.

(or Pureto Rico lol)

[lfromnj]

its not a clinton county but it was close. It hasn't voted democrat since 1916 but Clinton only lost by 2.
Johnson county Kansas. Its an 87% white county but is suburban so it had a massive swing to Clinton in 2016. I expect it to flip in 2020.

[Bojack Horseman]

Marquette, MI. With the iron mining up there, it's still surprising that it didn't end up going for the Orange Buffoon.

[President Phil Scott]

Marquette, MI. With the iron mining up there, it's still surprising that it didn't end up going for the Orange Buffoon.

College town though.

[Calthrina950]

its not a clinton county but it was close. It hasn't voted democrat since 1916 but Clinton only lost by 2.
Johnson county Kansas. Its an 87% white county but is suburban so it had a massive swing to Clinton in 2016. I expect it to flip in 2020.

Agreed. Laura Kelly beat Kris Kobach by ~20 points in Johnson County, if I am not mistaken, and Sharice Davids carried it decisively over Kevin Yoder. Given these results, and given that Clinton only narrowly lost it in 2016, I expect it to flip, particularly if someone like Gillibrand, Klobuchar, or Harris is the Democratic nominee.

[Calthrina950]

One other shocking county might have been Deer Lodge County, Montana, which hasn't gone Republican since 1924. Clinton won it with only a plurality, and it would seem like a county that would be responsive to Trump.

[President Phil Scott]

Yes, I'll admit that's true.

[President Phil Scott]

Did I acceptentially start out and then by posting this as in the 2020 board? I'm sorry mods.

[RINO Tom]

Marquette, MI. With the iron mining up there, it's still surprising that it didn't end up going for the Orange Buffoon.

I'm sure if you ramp up the insults between now and 2020, you can successfully shed those undesirables from your coalition in time.

[Del Tachi]

Westchester, NY

Literally, why should these people be Democrats?

[TML]

Westchester, NY

Literally, why should these people be Democrats?

Over 40% of this county's population is non-white, and nearly half of the population has higher education.

If you take these two factors into account, it should be no surprise that all presidential elections in this county from the mid-1990s onward have been Democratic blowouts.

[Skye]

Westchester, NY

Literally, why should these people be Democrats?

LMAO what? It has been like that since B. Clinton. And it was where Hillary's base was. Literally no reason to think Trump could have performed well there.

I'm gonna go with Fort Bend Co., TX. Swung pretty hard against Trump.

[brucejoel99]

its not a clinton county but it was close. It hasn't voted democrat since 1916 but Clinton only lost by 2.
Johnson county Kansas. Its an 87% white county but is suburban so it had a massive swing to Clinton in 2016. I expect it to flip in 2020.

Agreed. Laura Kelly beat Kris Kobach by ~20 points in Johnson County, if I am not mistaken, and Sharice Davids carried it decisively over Kevin Yoder. Given these results, and given that Clinton only narrowly lost it in 2016, I expect it to flip, particularly if someone like Gillibrand, Klobuchar, or Harris is the Democratic nominee.

Agreed, as well.

Westchester, NY

Literally, why should these people be Democrats?

Better question: Why would anyone else?

Best question: Why wouldn't anyone else?

[Tintrlvr]

Cobb County, Georgia. Gwinnett flipping was predicted widely. Cobb was mostly thought to be a cycle or two away.

[Hydera]

Cobb County, Georgia. Gwinnett flipping was predicted widely. Cobb was mostly thought to be a cycle or two away.

Cobb was a shock, Gwinnett was seen as more realistic but Cobb was always thought of as this wealthy preppy white suburb that would flip unless minorities were 40%+ of the population OR a very 1990s bill clinton centrist type candidate came along.

[brucejoel99]

Cobb County, Georgia. Gwinnett flipping was predicted widely. Cobb was mostly thought to be a cycle or two away.

[nclib]

Definitely Cobb, GA, Not long ago it was always in the news for racism and homophobia.

[Arbitrage1980]

Definitely Cobb, GA, Not long ago it was always in the news for racism and homophobia.

I grew up in Gwinnett County and was shocked when Hillary won it in 2016. In 2004 (which wasn't that long ago), W Bush won it by 33 points against Kerry. I remember coming home from school that Thanksgiving, and every other car and House had Bush-Cheney stickers and yard signs. When I came  home in 2016, I saw like 1 or 2 Trump-Pence stickers/yard signs. The county is now majority non-white, which is also shocking.

[SInNYC]

Cobb County, Georgia. Gwinnett flipping was predicted widely. Cobb was mostly thought to be a cycle or two away.

Cobb was a shock, Gwinnett was seen as more realistic but Cobb was always thought of as this wealthy preppy white suburb that would flip unless minorities were 40%+ of the population OR a very 1990s bill clinton centrist type candidate came along.

I'm not saying this is the reason Cobb flipped, but many voters did see Hillary as a centrist. Whether that was by association to Bill, her [conservative] tenure as SOS, or undeserved is a topic for another discussion.

[RINO Tom]

Definitely Cobb, GA, Not long ago it was always in the news for racism and homophobia.

Your Southern strategy of courting those racist and homophobic voters is very, very deplorable!

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

I was somewhat shocked that Clinton won Fort Bend, Texas.


It's been solidly Republican in almost every election since 1968.

[lfromnj]

I was somewhat shocked that Clinton won Fort Bend, Texas.


It's been solidly Republican in almost every election since 1968.

I mean obama only lost it by 3 and 6 points. The margin was shocking though.

[Mr. Smith]

Fort Bend, TX.

[morgankingsley]

The title of this thread sounds like something you would see from a clickbait article

[HAnnA MArin County]

Anne Arundel, MD was pretty surprising. Hadn't went Democratic since LBJ in 1964, although Romney only won it by ~200 votes in 2012.