Which is more likely to flip? Arizona and Georgia or Iowa and Ohio
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  Which is more likely to flip? Arizona and Georgia or Iowa and Ohio
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Author Topic: Which is more likely to flip? Arizona and Georgia or Iowa and Ohio  (Read 1597 times)
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 29, 2018, 01:40:04 AM »

In 2020, is Arizona and Georgia or Iowa and Ohio more likely to flip?
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2018, 01:40:33 AM »

Arizona and Georgia, no question.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #2 on: November 29, 2018, 01:51:42 AM »

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Pericles
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« Reply #3 on: November 29, 2018, 01:52:43 AM »

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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: November 29, 2018, 01:53:56 AM »

At this point, definitely Arizona and Georgia. While I'm not 100% convinced that Iowa is gone for Democrats, it at least Leans R, and Ohio probably is gone.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: November 29, 2018, 02:10:58 AM »


This. Dems are not winning Ohio unless it's a part of a massive landslide.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #6 on: November 29, 2018, 02:14:26 AM »

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redjohn
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« Reply #7 on: November 29, 2018, 03:24:33 AM »

Arizona and Georgia. Agreed that Iowa could be potentially won by Democrats in the next couple cycles if there's a big D swing in the midwest, but hard to imagine a scenario where Democrats win Ohio without Brown on the ballot.
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Politician
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« Reply #8 on: November 29, 2018, 05:40:07 AM »

AZ and GA. IA is more likely to flip then GA, but OH is probably not happening barring a 10+ PV win.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: November 29, 2018, 07:56:59 AM »

Kyl is gonna retire, so that Dems don't get that seat, IA is due to fact it gets Dems to 272.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: November 29, 2018, 11:11:29 AM »

I don’t buy that Iowa is far more likely to vote Democratic than Ohio, and GA/AZ are very underrated as potential Democratic flips.

1) AZ

2) GA (will probably be 1) in 2024)





3) IA (Finkenauer Purple heart wins it by 91569974 points if she’s the nominee, though)
4) OH
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #11 on: November 29, 2018, 11:25:40 AM »

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adrac
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« Reply #12 on: November 29, 2018, 11:57:39 AM »

Arizona>Iowa>Georgia>>>>Ohio
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RaphaelDLG
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« Reply #13 on: November 29, 2018, 12:19:47 PM »

Arizona and Georgia, mostly because of Ohio, but I feel like both, especially Georgia, are overrated as democratic prospects.

It really is going to come down to rebuilding the 272 friewal except with VA in place of IA and ME-2.


The Democrat can and should make a play for FL, AZ, NC, IA (to a lesser extent GA, OH) for hedges, but really needs to put the lions share of the focus on rebuilding the friewal.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #14 on: November 29, 2018, 12:55:07 PM »

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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #15 on: November 29, 2018, 12:56:14 PM »

Kyl is gonna retire, so that Dems don't get that seat, IA is due to fact it gets Dems to 272.

Um no Just winning back MI/PA and WI would give the Dems 278
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #16 on: November 29, 2018, 03:06:41 PM »

1) Arizona
2) Georgia
3) Iowa
4) Ohio
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: November 29, 2018, 04:37:52 PM »

I do wonder if the GM news could help Democrats in Ohio, but I'd have to see it first to believe it.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #18 on: November 29, 2018, 04:46:07 PM »

I don’t buy that Iowa is far more likely to vote Democratic than Ohio, and GA/AZ are very underrated as potential Democratic flips.

1) AZ

2) GA (will probably be 1) in 2024)





3) IA (Finkenauer Purple heart wins it by 91569974 points if she’s the nominee, though)
4) OH
Finkenauer wil win all four districts in a double digit landslide. Oh, and she'd be SO much more likely to win in "swingy" "elastic" #populist Purple heart Iowa then whatever sacrificial lamb is running against John Cornyn, who is "more popular" then Cruz #UTFinkenauer
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President Phil Scott
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« Reply #19 on: November 29, 2018, 04:50:45 PM »

ioho, AZ and GA. by a widely far margin.

But even if you added TX into the mix (as a part of the 1st category)

Match and line them up, Dem's should certainly go for this group. So many more ev's, too.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #20 on: November 29, 2018, 08:49:06 PM »

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Lognog
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« Reply #21 on: November 29, 2018, 10:25:34 PM »

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bagelman
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« Reply #22 on: November 29, 2018, 11:23:49 PM »

Arizona and Iowa.
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President Phil Scott
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« Reply #23 on: November 29, 2018, 11:29:48 PM »

What a cop-out. lol
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #24 on: November 29, 2018, 11:58:31 PM »

Arizona and Georgia, mostly because of Ohio, but I feel like both, especially Georgia, are overrated as democratic prospects.
Stacey Abrams just lost by 1 point but Georgia is overrated as a Democratic prospect?

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