Will Indiana and Missouri ever diverge? If so, why and in what direction?
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  Will Indiana and Missouri ever diverge? If so, why and in what direction?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Will Indiana and Missouri ever diverge? If so, why and in what direction?  (Read 734 times)
IceSpear
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« on: November 27, 2018, 07:58:47 PM »
Despite Missouri being far more D-friendly than Indiana in the early 2000s, they've voted more or less identically over the past decade. Will they eventually diverge, and if so, why and in which direction?
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2018, 08:06:55 PM »
My guess is Republicans have a higher ceiling in Missouri due to the presence of both the Indianapolis area and a growing portion of the Chicago suburbs in Indiana.
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Blue3
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« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2018, 05:28:17 PM »
Indiana went for Obama in 2008
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2018, 05:33:05 PM »
that fact hardly matters considering thats when their politicla paths merged.
It was a narrow <1% victory and Missouri was the same but for mccain. Some divergence should be expected.
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Blue3
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« Reply #4 on: November 30, 2018, 05:38:37 PM »
"Will they ever diverge" makes it sounds like decades/centuries, at least since the last big realignment of the 60's.

2008 was very recent.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: November 30, 2018, 11:49:14 PM »
Quote from: Blue3 on November 30, 2018, 05:38:37 PM
"Will they ever diverge" makes it sounds like decades/centuries, at least since the last big realignment of the 60's.

2008 was very recent.

1 point is not a significant difference. That's like saying they were different this year because Donnelly lost by 5.9% while McCaskill lost by 6.0%.

I'm talking about one being significantly to the left/right of the other.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: December 02, 2018, 01:05:40 PM »
I'd say that Missouri will probably become more Republican than Indiana in the longterm, since St. Louis is losing population, while Indianapolis is growing.
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