Why couldn't Obama win Georgia in 2008?
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  Why couldn't Obama win Georgia in 2008?
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Author Topic: Why couldn't Obama win Georgia in 2008?  (Read 1022 times)
History505
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« on: November 25, 2018, 12:09:10 PM »

He was able to pick up states that hadn't voted Dem in years like Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina , yet not Georgia? Why do you think?
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2018, 12:32:19 PM »

Georgia was still a strongly Republican state back then- George W. Bush won it by 16.6% in 2004, and while McCain only won it by 5.2% in 2008, it voted to the right of the nation by 12.5%. The demographic changes (primarily in the Atlanta area) that have been pushing Georgia into contention weren't as pronounced in 2008 as they are in 2018.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 25, 2018, 10:42:05 PM »

Remember that Bill Clinton lost GA narrowly in 1996, and that 2008 did not have a strong third party. Thus, I think that Obama might have won GA outright if there had been a third-party challenger as strong as Ross Perot in 1992 & 1996.
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Koorca Ton
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« Reply #3 on: November 25, 2018, 11:32:42 PM »

Because he couldn't pick up the white vote. Black turnout rates were very high that year, but the same amount of whites who voted for Kerry also voted for Obama.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: November 28, 2018, 04:16:53 PM »

The major growth of the Atlanta area which has made the state more competitive just wasn't enough yet at that time. The suburbs were still strongly Republican, as evidenced by McCain doing much better than Trump despite similar margins statewide. In two cycles, Georgia went from 12 points more Republican than the nation to 7 points more Republican.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #5 on: November 28, 2018, 04:33:00 PM »

The suburbs were still incredibly R back then.
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