Rate Louisiana 2019
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Tilt R		  
#5
Toss up		  
#6
Tilt D		  
#7
Lean D		  
#8
Likely D		  
#9
Safe D		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 101

Author Topic: Rate Louisiana 2019  (Read 3666 times)
Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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« Reply #25 on: November 26, 2018, 01:22:16 PM »
So it’s actually Lean D?
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #26 on: November 26, 2018, 01:23:06 PM »
Lean R. If a normal Republican was President it would be likely D, but the cult of personality dictates elections under Trump.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #27 on: November 26, 2018, 01:32:13 PM »
I would rate it Lean D starting out. Bel Edwards has a good approval rating and it would take a solid candidate or unpopularity months down the line to take him down.
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henster
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« Reply #28 on: November 26, 2018, 04:36:27 PM »
Hard to tell, a hurricane and JBE's response to it could make this likely D or sudden downturn next year could doom him.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #29 on: November 26, 2018, 04:53:53 PM »

Did you ever give your take on the 2018 results?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #30 on: November 26, 2018, 04:58:34 PM »
Like I stated earlier, in a Clinton midterm, these states are toast for Dems, but Beshear, Hood and JBE have WWC appeal, and won't give up easily.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #31 on: November 28, 2018, 12:01:01 AM »
Revising this after the Mississippi results tonight.  Tilt D.  I think JEB holds up well enough in the New Orleans and Baton Rouge suburbs to win by a couple % even while losing most of his rural support from 2015.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #32 on: November 28, 2018, 12:25:50 AM »
Toss-up, until who is a Republican candidate will be clear. Rather non-offensive conservative (like Kennedy) - one situation, rthe bomb-thrower - another.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #33 on: November 28, 2018, 01:05:59 AM »
Safe R with Kennedy, Lean R with any other Competent Republican, Tossup Tilt/D with any non-competent Republican, Safe Edwards against a Democrat (Louisiana's Jungle Primary makes such a scenario possible, if unlikely).
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Xeuma
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« Reply #34 on: November 28, 2018, 01:10:56 AM »
Lean R given polarization trends, but I wouldn't be surprised if JBE managed to hold on.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #35 on: November 28, 2018, 03:19:55 PM »
Cajon country has 33% black, and the state has reelected every Republican governor. However, the only governor, not to be reelected, was Kathleen Blanco, a Democrat. But, JBE can hold on.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #36 on: November 28, 2018, 10:28:00 PM »
Likely D, Lean D if Kennedy runs (which he won't).
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lfromnj
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« Reply #37 on: November 28, 2018, 10:42:27 PM »
what makes Kennedy stronger anyway?
just name rec?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #38 on: November 29, 2018, 08:45:23 AM »
She's has a feminist appeal, just like Blackburn. She was on Fox. But, Bevin is in a whole lot of trouble and MS has Hood running. Dems won't sweep races, but can win 1, and it's possible KY.
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Roblox
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« Reply #39 on: November 29, 2018, 05:45:37 PM »
Lean D. This will likely be competitive, and polarization is a threat to JBE, but he seems to be fairly popular, and governor races are still less partisan than federal elections. Plus, he starts out with a major name recognition advantage over anyone not named Kennedy.

Quote from: Cory Booker on November 29, 2018, 08:45:23 AM
She's has a feminist appeal, just like Blackburn. She was on Fox. But, Bevin is in a whole lot of trouble and MS has Hood running. Dems won't sweep races, but can win 1, and it's possible KY.

lol.
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fluffypanther19
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« Reply #40 on: November 29, 2018, 06:14:36 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on November 25, 2018, 10:29:44 PM
It completely depends on who the Republicans nominate.

this, but i think it is lean D for now
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Lognog
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« Reply #41 on: November 29, 2018, 08:12:35 PM »
Quote from: Skunk on November 24, 2018, 03:15:58 PM
Lean D. Also I really think this talk of Kennedy running is just noise, leaving the Senate for Governor of Louisiana just seems like a massive downgrade, not to mention Kennedy's wanted to be a Senator forever. Although like said above, if he does get in it's probably Tossup or Lean R.
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #42 on: November 29, 2018, 08:25:04 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on November 29, 2018, 08:45:23 AM
She's has a feminist appeal, just like Blackburn. She was on Fox. But, Bevin is in a whole lot of trouble and MS has Hood running. Dems won't sweep races, but can win 1, and it's possible KY.
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Lechasseur
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« Reply #43 on: November 30, 2018, 10:44:38 AM »
Quote from: fluffypanther19 on November 29, 2018, 06:14:36 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on November 25, 2018, 10:29:44 PM
It completely depends on who the Republicans nominate.

this, but i think it is lean D for now
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #44 on: December 05, 2018, 11:46:31 AM »
Likely R. Polarization.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #45 on: December 05, 2018, 02:03:28 PM »
Lean D now that Kennedy's out
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Lechasseur
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« Reply #46 on: December 05, 2018, 04:03:38 PM »

This, but it's not far off Likely D now
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lfromnj
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« Reply #47 on: December 05, 2018, 04:08:25 PM »
Likely d
 Looks like a Massachussetts gov redux or atleast maryland
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #48 on: December 05, 2018, 07:51:12 PM »


You've completely flipped on this?  Or sarcasm?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #49 on: December 06, 2018, 09:34:01 AM »

Definitely sarcasm.
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