How much of a home state advantage does Kamala Harris really have?

[Barack Oganja]

Conventional wisdom to this point says that California pushing up their primary date will be a big help to a Kamala Harris presidential campaign. And it makes sense on the surface. California has a lot of delegates, and Harris recently won a statewide election there. But I just can't shake the feeling that she'll underperform there. Yeah she's from the state, but she's not really an institution there. Someone like Jerry Brown is. But is Senator Harris? I look at my home state of New Jersey. Cory would be a lock to win any statewide election in NJ, and with big margins. He's been on the national scene longer and is well known here. Another example, Texas Democrats LOVE Beto. But does Harris get that same love in her home state? Will the biggest and most diverse state rally around one candidate? I could easily see a scenario where someone like Beto catches enough fire to take a large chunk of delegates from California, even if he doesn't win the state. Thoughts?

[scutosaurus]

If Cruz Bustamante and/or TJ Cox runs, it will split the vote with Harris enough so that a Beto-like figure will slip through the California primary. Guaranteed.

[Continential]

If Cruz Bustamante and/or TJ Cox runs, it will split the vote with Harris enough so that a Beto-like figure will slip through the California primary. Guaranteed.

Just Stop

[Proto]

The fact that Harris is from California is her main disadvantage on national level. Outside California she is perceived as too elitarian. Cannot say anything about Californians.

[lfromnj]

She would probably win it in a large group but in a 1v1 she would be favored but no large margins. At this point someone like beto could just get 75 in texas after 2 years of being a household name in texas