What will happen first?
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Poll
Question: Which of these events will happen first in a presidential election?
#1
Ohio voting Republican by 10 points		  
#2
Virginia votes democratic by 10 points		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: What will happen first?  (Read 1011 times)
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« on: November 18, 2018, 12:35:04 AM »
Discuss
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2018, 12:45:08 AM »
It's very possible they could both happen simultaneously in 2020. Especially if both parties make the (correct) decision to not bother targeting the other.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2018, 12:52:43 AM »
Probably Ohio aka Indiana part II.
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Don Vito Corleone
bruhgmger2
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« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2018, 04:39:29 AM »
I think both will happen in 2020 (assuming it's close, as I think it will be).
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lfromnj
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« Reply #4 on: November 18, 2018, 12:11:20 PM »

you mean Missouri. Indiana was always a republican state but Obama won it for the first time in 40 years in 08
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2018, 12:27:20 PM »
I don't see both happening together... yet. If Trump loses by a lot, I can see D+10 in Virginia with R+6 in Ohio, or if Trump wins decisively, I can see R+12 in Ohio and D+6 in Virginia. Ohio is definitely the more likely one at this point to go into double-digit territory. Virginia is only getting more and more Democratic at a consistent yet stubborn pace. I think it'll be high single digits for a while.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #6 on: November 21, 2018, 10:12:21 AM »
If the 2020 Dem nominee is a more moderate establishment dude, he or she could win VA 54-44%. I don't see OH swinging further right than 2016 in the next 2-3 elections.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #7 on: November 21, 2018, 11:49:53 AM »
That's actually a really good question ... I feel like both would happen in sort of "opposite" election results, but I'll actually vote that VA +10 is more likely to happen first.
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Peanut
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« Reply #8 on: November 21, 2018, 01:19:42 PM »
It's kind of plausible they both happen in 2020, but I believe VA would vote by such a margin first, albeit narrowly.
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