Election 2018 Open Thread v2 - Mia, Mimi, Gil, and T.J.

[2016]

MidTerm Election Turnout 2018 per Dave Wasserman from Cook thus far

110,506,863 Votes

There are 2M I think to count in CA. Still, that's a pretty INSANE Turnout for a MidTerm.

[Panda Express]

Republicans stole UT-4

I suspect they’re “finding” votes for Mia Love the same way Joesph Smith “found” the golden tablets

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

are you sure they can't just pull a Florida... I am sure courts would side them?

A difference is that in FL it is the legislature that draws the districts, and they (supposedly) comply with the standards.

Whereas in this case it is not the legislature drawing the districts.

[Person Man]

https://twitter.com/nicholaskitchel/status/1063862658628272129

Good riddance to them!

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=9ausPKEMVk0

[IceSpear]

MidTerm Election Turnout 2018 per Dave Wasserman from Cook thus far

110,506,863 Votes

There are 2M I think to count in CA. Still, that's a pretty INSANE Turnout for a MidTerm.

That's pretty crazy. The turnout is much closer to a typical presidential election than it is to a typical midterm.

2018 estimate: ~113 million
2016: ~129 million
2014: ~78 million
2012: ~122 million
2010: ~87 million
2008: ~123 million
2006: ~81 million

[Landslide Lyndon]

MidTerm Election Turnout 2018 per Dave Wasserman from Cook thus far

110,506,863 Votes

There are 2M I think to count in CA. Still, that's a pretty INSANE Turnout for a MidTerm.

That's pretty crazy. The turnout is much closer to a typical presidential election than it is to a typical midterm.

2018 (so far): 110,506,863
2016: 128,627,010
2014: 78,235,240
2012: 122,346,020
2010: 86,784,957
2008: 122,586,293
2006: 80,975,537

As mentioned elsewhere, it's the biggest midterm turnout since women started voting.

[Bidenworth2020]

are you sure they can't just pull a Florida... I am sure courts would side them?

A difference is that in FL it is the legislature that draws the districts, and they (supposedly) comply with the standards.

Whereas in this case it is not the legislature drawing the districts.

ah ok. then I would guess dems get a solid d district in SLC. Something like like this-

[pppolitics]

Arizona is done. Kyrsten Sinema fell 0.07% shy of the 50% mark, and won by 2.27%. Katie Hobbs won 50.4%-49.6%. And Kathy Hoffman won by 3%.

Also worth noting that each of Sinema, Hoffman and Hobbs got more raw votes than Hillary Clinton did. Hello, swing state Arizona. Though Doug Ducey got more raw votes than DJT did, but he was the only one.

Still 12K left in Maricopa

Many will be provisional, so not all will be counted

[Landslide Lyndon]

Wasserman just called CA-39 for "weak candidate" Cisneros.

[ON Progressive]

Wasserman just called CA-39 for "weak candidate" Cisneros.

Weak Candidate™ Gil Cisneros defeating Unbeatable Titan™ Young Kim? Impossible! Coastal Elitist, socaldem, and Jeppe told me Young Kim was certain to win!

[DINGO Joe]

Re: CA-21  Kings seems to be just about done counting votes and Valodao has a 2200 vote lead.  If the counties in the district each make up the same % of the vote they did in 2016, then you would expect Kern to still have about 7500 votes to add and Fresno 3500. 

[Pericles]

Re: CA-21  Kings seems to be just about done counting votes and Valodao has a 2200 vote lead.  If the counties in the district each make up the same % of the vote they did in 2016, then you would expect Kern to still have about 7500 votes to add and Fresno 3500. 

Does that mean Valadao wins? How much of a chance do you think Cox has?

[Bidenworth2020]

Re: CA-21  Kings seems to be just about done counting votes and Valodao has a 2200 vote lead.  If the counties in the district each make up the same % of the vote they did in 2016, then you would expect Kern to still have about 7500 votes to add and Fresno 3500. 

Does that mean Valadao wins? How much of a chance do you think Cox has?

I would give the advantage to Cox, actually. He has shown that he is matching Hillary or even overperforming her in provisionals, so he probably wins the Kern vote at worst 2-1 and wins the remaining Fresno vote like 55-45, which means he wins by around 600 votes.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

AP has called CA39 for Cisneros.

[Xing]

And Republicans have failed to hold a single open district that went for Clinton.

[Pericles]

And Republicans have failed to hold a single open district that went for Clinton.

Looking at the historical pattern that's pretty unsurprising.

[henster]

This got 70K upvotes on reddit.

https://www.reddit.com/r/pics/comments/9v5lsz/40_years_ago_young_kim_and_her_family_left_south/

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This got 70K upvotes on reddit.

https://www.reddit.com/r/pics/comments/9v5lsz/40_years_ago_young_kim_and_her_family_left_south/

It's a good thing most of the top up-voted comments are smacking the OP for premature celebration.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Re: CA-21  Kings seems to be just about done counting votes and Valodao has a 2200 vote lead.  If the counties in the district each make up the same % of the vote they did in 2016, then you would expect Kern to still have about 7500 votes to add and Fresno 3500. 

If there are that many left, Cox is more likely than not to win.

[Zaybay]

Re: CA-21  Kings seems to be just about done counting votes and Valodao has a 2200 vote lead.  If the counties in the district each make up the same % of the vote they did in 2016, then you would expect Kern to still have about 7500 votes to add and Fresno 3500. 

If there are that many left, Cox is more likely than not to win.

I dont know whether to be happy that we took down the titan that was Valadao, or to be mad that it was TJ Cox to do so.

[lfromnj]

Re: CA-21  Kings seems to be just about done counting votes and Valodao has a 2200 vote lead.  If the counties in the district each make up the same % of the vote they did in 2016, then you would expect Kern to still have about 7500 votes to add and Fresno 3500. 

If there are that many left, Cox is more likely than not to win.

I dont know whether to be happy that we took down the titan that was Valadao, or to be mad that it was TJ Cox to do so.

why would you be mad at TJ cox? what did he do wrong? daring to represent a hispanic district as a white? He took the risk and campaigned when Emilio huertas mom tried to scare everyone else.

[Zaybay]

Re: CA-21  Kings seems to be just about done counting votes and Valodao has a 2200 vote lead.  If the counties in the district each make up the same % of the vote they did in 2016, then you would expect Kern to still have about 7500 votes to add and Fresno 3500. 

If there are that many left, Cox is more likely than not to win.

I dont know whether to be happy that we took down the titan that was Valadao, or to be mad that it was TJ Cox to do so.

why would you be mad at TJ cox? what did he do wrong? daring to represent a hispanic district as a white? He took the risk and campaigned when Emilio huertas mom tried to scare everyone else.

Well, simply put, its because he was such a bad candidate, and one who put in little effort into his campaign. He doesnt even have a website. He literally switched to run in this district because it was open. And it will be him to, possibly, unseat a titan of the GOP. Its just, I dont even know.

[lfromnj]

Re: CA-21  Kings seems to be just about done counting votes and Valodao has a 2200 vote lead.  If the counties in the district each make up the same % of the vote they did in 2016, then you would expect Kern to still have about 7500 votes to add and Fresno 3500. 

If there are that many left, Cox is more likely than not to win.

I dont know whether to be happy that we took down the titan that was Valadao, or to be mad that it was TJ Cox to do so.

why would you be mad at TJ cox? what did he do wrong? daring to represent a hispanic district as a white? He took the risk and campaigned when Emilio huertas mom tried to scare everyone else.

Well, simply put, its because he was such a bad candidate, and one who put in little effort into his campaign. He doesnt even have a website. He literally switched to run in this district because it was open. And it will be him to, possibly, unseat a titan of the GOP. Its just, I dont even know.

The only reason there was a dem candidate at all was because of him because Huerta dropped out after his mom scared everyone else.

[Bidenworth2020]

Re: CA-21  Kings seems to be just about done counting votes and Valodao has a 2200 vote lead.  If the counties in the district each make up the same % of the vote they did in 2016, then you would expect Kern to still have about 7500 votes to add and Fresno 3500. 

If there are that many left, Cox is more likely than not to win.

I dont know whether to be happy that we took down the titan that was Valadao, or to be mad that it was TJ Cox to do so.

why would you be mad at TJ cox? what did he do wrong? daring to represent a hispanic district as a white? He took the risk and campaigned when Emilio huertas mom tried to scare everyone else.

Well, simply put, its because he was such a bad candidate, and one who put in little effort into his campaign. He doesnt even have a website. He literally switched to run in this district because it was open. And it will be him to, possibly, unseat a titan of the GOP. Its just, I dont even know.

dude he campaigned super hard

[Ogre Mage]

It looks like Congressional Democrats will have around 15 Asian-American members in the new Congress.  With Young Kim's loss, Congressional Republicans will continue to have ZERO.  They are such a monochromatic party that Congressional Republicans cannot even elect the Token Asian they sometimes had in the past (Bobby Jindal, Joseph Cao, Charles Djou, etc.)