TX-SEN 2020 Megathread: Early Voting

[LoneStarDem]

https://twitter.com/AlexSamuelsx5/status/1104408909434028032

Will Olson run for statewide office again ? Railroad Commissioner is up in 2020.

[Torrain]

https://twitter.com/AlexSamuelsx5/status/1104408909434028032

Will Olson run for statewide office again ? Railroad Commissioner is up in 2020.

According to her twitter feed, she’s exploring a run in TX-24, the suburban seat between Dallas and Fort Worth. It was a 3 point race in 2018, so she probably thinks her odds are better there than statewide, especially against an incumbent with lower name ID than Cornyn

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems dont have to win TX or AZ to win senate races. Harris-HICKENLOOPER solidify blue wall of 279 electors and states like these can split their votes for Congress and Oval Office.

Dems did well for Congress in 2018 and if it wasnt for Valdez, Beto could of won

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://twitter.com/mcpli/status/1106654605172244481

Joaquin Castro to enter the Senate race soon, sources say.

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/mcpli/status/1106654605172244481

Joaquin Castro to enter the Senate race soon, sources say.

I'd prefer Hegar to Castro, though many other Dems I've talked to say they'd prefer Castro because he'd get the Hispanic vote to turn out at much higher rates. Not sure if I buy that during a presidential year.

[Bidenworth2020]

https://twitter.com/mcpli/status/1106654605172244481

Joaquin Castro to enter the Senate race soon, sources say.

I'd prefer Hegar to Castro, though many other Dems I've talked to say they'd prefer Castro because he'd get the Hispanic vote to turn out at much higher rates. Not sure if I buy that during a presidential year.

he will not only heighten latino turnout but also provide coattails for the pres race. Combine that with Beto-or-higher level of suburban support, and that's a path to victory.

[Pollster]

According to the Associated Press/Fox News exit polls, Beto won Latino men 63/35 (women 74/25). If Castro can improve that showing and hold Beto's suburban support, the seat is his.

Helps that Latino men faced ethnic/gender identity cross pressure from Cruz that Cornyn will not be able to exert.

[Bidenworth2020]

According to the Associated Press/Fox News exit polls, Beto won Latino men 63/35 (women 74/25). If Castro can improve that showing and hold Beto's suburban support, the seat is his.

Helps that Latino men faced ethnic/gender identity cross pressure from Cruz that Cornyn will not be able to exert.

He probably needs to not just hold Beto's suburban support, but to build a little bit off of it in order to actually win. As in

-clear 60% in Harris
-fight to a draw or near draw in Collin and Denton
-hold and build on the Stalinist margins out of metro Austin

IMO, these will come naturally just from the presidential race, considering he is solidly progressive and won't turn off any new voters in 2020. Castro's huge advantage is his ability to turn out Latinos, whose relatively low turnout compared to 2016 is likely what ended Beto.  Combine high latino turnout and Beto(probably better actually, considering how fast these areas are growing) #s in suburbs and although Cornyn will gain a few 100k from high rural turnout, I would put it at pure tossup.

[S019]

According to the Associated Press/Fox News exit polls, Beto won Latino men 63/35 (women 74/25). If Castro can improve that showing and hold Beto's suburban support, the seat is his.

Helps that Latino men faced ethnic/gender identity cross pressure from Cruz that Cornyn will not be able to exert.

He probably needs to not just hold Beto's suburban support, but to build a little bit off of it in order to actually win. As in

-clear 60% in Harris
-fight to a draw or near draw in Collin and Denton
-hold and build on the Stalinist margins out of metro Austin

IMO, these will come naturally just from the presidential race, considering he is solidly progressive and won't turn off any new voters in 2020. Castro's huge advantage is his ability to turn out Latinos, whose relatively low turnout compared to 2016 is likely what ended Beto.  Combine high latino turnout and Beto(probably better actually, considering how fast these areas are growing) #s in suburbs and although Cornyn will gain a few 100k from high rural turnout, I would put it at pure tossup.

He will turn off moderates, Clinton won lots of moderates in TX, Cornyn is the inoffensive Generic R and a progressive like Castro will alienate moderates

[Canis]

According to the Associated Press/Fox News exit polls, Beto won Latino men 63/35 (women 74/25). If Castro can improve that showing and hold Beto's suburban support, the seat is his.

Helps that Latino men faced ethnic/gender identity cross pressure from Cruz that Cornyn will not be able to exert.

He probably needs to not just hold Beto's suburban support, but to build a little bit off of it in order to actually win. As in

-clear 60% in Harris
-fight to a draw or near draw in Collin and Denton
-hold and build on the Stalinist margins out of metro Austin

IMO, these will come naturally just from the presidential race, considering he is solidly progressive and won't turn off any new voters in 2020. Castro's huge advantage is his ability to turn out Latinos, whose relatively low turnout compared to 2016 is likely what ended Beto.  Combine high latino turnout and Beto(probably better actually, considering how fast these areas are growing) #s in suburbs and although Cornyn will gain a few 100k from high rural turnout, I would put it at pure tossup.

He will turn off moderates, Clinton won lots of moderates in TX, Cornyn is the inoffensive Generic R and a progressive like Castro will alienate moderates

In what world is Castro Progressive

[Bidenworth2020]

According to the Associated Press/Fox News exit polls, Beto won Latino men 63/35 (women 74/25). If Castro can improve that showing and hold Beto's suburban support, the seat is his.

Helps that Latino men faced ethnic/gender identity cross pressure from Cruz that Cornyn will not be able to exert.

He probably needs to not just hold Beto's suburban support, but to build a little bit off of it in order to actually win. As in

-clear 60% in Harris
-fight to a draw or near draw in Collin and Denton
-hold and build on the Stalinist margins out of metro Austin

IMO, these will come naturally just from the presidential race, considering he is solidly progressive and won't turn off any new voters in 2020. Castro's huge advantage is his ability to turn out Latinos, whose relatively low turnout compared to 2016 is likely what ended Beto.  Combine high latino turnout and Beto(probably better actually, considering how fast these areas are growing) #s in suburbs and although Cornyn will gain a few 100k from high rural turnout, I would put it at pure tossup.

He will turn off moderates, Clinton won lots of moderates in TX, Cornyn is the inoffensive Generic R and a progressive like Castro will alienate moderates

With this argument, why didn't Beto turn off moderates?

[Bidenworth2020]

According to the Associated Press/Fox News exit polls, Beto won Latino men 63/35 (women 74/25). If Castro can improve that showing and hold Beto's suburban support, the seat is his.

Helps that Latino men faced ethnic/gender identity cross pressure from Cruz that Cornyn will not be able to exert.

He probably needs to not just hold Beto's suburban support, but to build a little bit off of it in order to actually win. As in

-clear 60% in Harris
-fight to a draw or near draw in Collin and Denton
-hold and build on the Stalinist margins out of metro Austin

IMO, these will come naturally just from the presidential race, considering he is solidly progressive and won't turn off any new voters in 2020. Castro's huge advantage is his ability to turn out Latinos, whose relatively low turnout compared to 2016 is likely what ended Beto.  Combine high latino turnout and Beto(probably better actually, considering how fast these areas are growing) #s in suburbs and although Cornyn will gain a few 100k from high rural turnout, I would put it at pure tossup.

He will turn off moderates, Clinton won lots of moderates in TX, Cornyn is the inoffensive Generic R and a progressive like Castro will alienate moderates

In what world is Castro Progressive

His voting record says so.

[Rookie Yinzer]

This is awesome! Will be donating once he announces.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I dont think any Castro will run for higher office again, after Julian Castro's unsuccessful bid for prez.

I think Amy McGrath can be an option and NC aside from CO and AZ

[Zaybay]

For those arguing about Castro's politics, hes a member of the moderate faction, and is a rather high level member of the New Democrats. But unlike Beto, who was on the Conservative wing of the New Dems, Castro resides on the Left of the New Dems, so much so that he votes similarly to the Right-Wing of the CPC.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Joaquin said he wait and see how his bro did as a candidate to run for Senate and Julian is doing poorly

[Brittain33]

According to the Associated Press/Fox News exit polls, Beto won Latino men 63/35 (women 74/25). If Castro can improve that showing and hold Beto's suburban support, the seat is his.

Helps that Latino men faced ethnic/gender identity cross pressure from Cruz that Cornyn will not be able to exert.

He probably needs to not just hold Beto's suburban support, but to build a little bit off of it in order to actually win. As in

-clear 60% in Harris
-fight to a draw or near draw in Collin and Denton
-hold and build on the Stalinist margins out of metro Austin

IMO, these will come naturally just from the presidential race, considering he is solidly progressive and won't turn off any new voters in 2020. Castro's huge advantage is his ability to turn out Latinos, whose relatively low turnout compared to 2016 is likely what ended Beto.  Combine high latino turnout and Beto(probably better actually, considering how fast these areas are growing) #s in suburbs and although Cornyn will gain a few 100k from high rural turnout, I would put it at pure tossup.

He will turn off moderates, Clinton won lots of moderates in TX, Cornyn is the inoffensive Generic R and a progressive like Castro will alienate moderates

In what world is Castro Progressive

His last name sounds suspiciously progressive, like maybe his parents came here from a progressive country and only spoke progressive at home instead of learning English.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Castro is good enough to win a Rep seat; but not for prez or Veep

[Ye We Can]

According to the Associated Press/Fox News exit polls, Beto won Latino men 63/35 (women 74/25). If Castro can improve that showing and hold Beto's suburban support, the seat is his.

Helps that Latino men faced ethnic/gender identity cross pressure from Cruz that Cornyn will not be able to exert.

He probably needs to not just hold Beto's suburban support, but to build a little bit off of it in order to actually win. As in

-clear 60% in Harris
-fight to a draw or near draw in Collin and Denton
-hold and build on the Stalinist margins out of metro Austin

IMO, these will come naturally just from the presidential race, considering he is solidly progressive and won't turn off any new voters in 2020. Castro's huge advantage is his ability to turn out Latinos, whose relatively low turnout compared to 2016 is likely what ended Beto.  Combine high latino turnout and Beto(probably better actually, considering how fast these areas are growing) #s in suburbs and although Cornyn will gain a few 100k from high rural turnout, I would put it at pure tossup.

He will turn off moderates, Clinton won lots of moderates in TX, Cornyn is the inoffensive Generic R and a progressive like Castro will alienate moderates

In what world is Castro Progressive

His last name sounds suspiciously progressive, like maybe his parents came here from a progressive country and only spoke progressive at home instead of learning English.

Makes sense, Castro 2020

[LoneStarDem]

Which one of the Castro twins run for United States Senator & get spanked by Cornyn ?

[Pollster]

According to the Associated Press/Fox News exit polls, Beto won Latino men 63/35 (women 74/25). If Castro can improve that showing and hold Beto's suburban support, the seat is his.

Helps that Latino men faced ethnic/gender identity cross pressure from Cruz that Cornyn will not be able to exert.

He probably needs to not just hold Beto's suburban support, but to build a little bit off of it in order to actually win

Building upon Beto's Latino men support and building upon Beto's suburban support are likely the same thing as the Dallas and San Antonio suburbs rapidly diversify.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Which one of the Castro twins run for United States Senator & get spanked by Cornyn ?

Posts like these really make me wonder if you are a troll....

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Which one of the Castro twins run for United States Senator & get spanked by Cornyn ?

Posts like these really make me wonder if you are a troll....

Joaquin did say he would see how well his bro did before he ram for Senate, Julian isnt polling ahead

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Which one of the Castro twins run for United States Senator & get spanked by Cornyn ?

Posts like these really make me wonder if you are a troll....

Joaquin did say he would see how well his bro did before he ram for Senate, Julian isnt polling ahead

He probably changed his tune considering Beto isn't running now.

[LoneStarDem]

Which one of the Castro twins run for United States Senator & get spanked by Cornyn ?

Posts like these really make me wonder if you are a troll....

BLOCKED!