The Megathread for All Things Hoosier!

[lfromnj]

I'm willing to bet that next time a Democrat wins statewide in Indiana (whenever that may be), they're carrying Hamilton County by more than the state as a whole.

This is basically certain
Donnell ran a campaign catering to rural hicks yet Hamilton was 2 points right of the state of the whole. If he went after Hamilton voters and other suburbian areas he might have won.

[lfromnj]

I'm willing to bet that next time a Democrat wins statewide in Indiana (whenever that may be), they're carrying Hamilton County by more than the state as a whole.

This is basically certain
Donnell ran a campaign catering to rural hicks yet Hamilton was 2 points right of the state of the whole. If he went after Hamilton voters and other suburbian areas he might have won.

Yeah, in retrospect it is pretty obvious that Donnelly/McCaskill should've focused their entire strategies on flipping counties like Hamilton, Vanderburgh, Allen, St. Charles, Greene, Platte, etc.

It might not have been enough to win, but I bet they would've gotten closer than they actually did.

The fact that Donnelly was able to keep his loss in HamCo to single digits portends well for Democrats there in the future.

Its impressive considering his entire campaign was pandering to hicks in Vigo by doing stuff like build the wall. Vigo is useless now go for hamilton.

[lfromnj]

Hoosier Republicans are lining up to pass a hate crimes bill:

https://www.jconline.com/story/news/2018/11/15/sen-ron-alting-follows-up-indiana-hate-crime-bill-promise/2011768002/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

This is pretty significant.  A bill of this nature almost passed the session earlier this year, but a couple of obstructionists got in the way, and it never even made it to a vote.  Let's hope 2019 is the year.

Interesting that the GOP in what's steadily becoming a Titanium R state is contemplating taking these steps while swing-state Republican legislators have been at full wingnut for almost a decade.

ask RI dems.

[lfromnj]

The race is Safe R but could the D's run that new state senator?

[lfromnj]

So marion is 3 parts?
Urban minority inner middle north. Rich white parts in the north along with yuppies and south is WWC?

[lfromnj]

So marion is 3 parts?
Urban minority inner middle north. Rich white parts in the north along with yuppies and south is WWC?

Bingo.

And if you really want an illustration in stark relief, compare the precinct map of 2008 Presidential vs 2016 Presidential. Those solid Hillary precincts were solid McCain. Meanwhile, a lot of slight Obama precincts went heavily for Trump.

I don't have figures for population change, but it can't possibly be the results of changing demographics. The big growth is by and large happening in the "donut counties." This is the result of voters flipping party affiliation. Conservative Democrats (the Bayh family) are gone. "Business" Republicans (the Dick Lugar, Greg Ballard) are endangered.

Do you have a precint map of 08?

[lfromnj]

I don't think so.  South Bend is a key part of his identity, in his blood, much like how El Paso is for Beto.

Then he won't get elected to anything ever again. His only future is a D.C. bureaucrat. The most winnable thing he has is Walorski's seat and he has zero interest. Beyond that is statewide.

The Democrats are a dead party in this state until they drastically change some points of view on some items. They're dead enough to the point of the right other organization can come along and displace them for 2nd party status everywhere except Marion and Lake Counties and a couple college towns. Their local organization in most counties is a complete joke.

Walorskis seat is redder than Indiana.

[lfromnj]

Indiana swung slightly Biden, but very unhappy with the NW Indiana margins.

Do we have final seat changes for the state legislature? And did we have any notable municipal/county election results? I am GDPR-ed out of most local new, but looks like Chris Chyung sadly lost in a rematch

There still seems to be a few votes in Lake right ?

Anyway this makes the GOP cracking it much more likely .