Cumulative House Results by State (user search)
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  Cumulative House Results by State (search mode)
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Author Topic: Cumulative House Results by State  (Read 29458 times)
Vern
vern1988
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,199
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.30, S: -0.70

P P P

« on: November 11, 2018, 02:34:45 PM »

It would be cool to do the 2016 numbers as well then do a trend map Smiley

Also, NC numbers just go to show you have uneven the CD are made.
Logged
Vern
vern1988
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,199
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.30, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2018, 02:44:47 PM »

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.


#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

Your post is what is wrong with America today. Just because you vote Republican and live in a rural area doesn't mean you are racist.
Logged
Vern
vern1988
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,199
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.30, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2018, 03:32:02 PM »

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.


#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

Your post is what is wrong with America today. Just because you vote Republican and live in a rural area doesn't mean you are racist.

9 times out of 10 it does

That is not true.
Logged
Vern
vern1988
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,199
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.30, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #3 on: November 11, 2018, 03:39:25 PM »

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.


#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

Your post is what is wrong with America today. Just because you vote Republican and live in a rural area doesn't mean you are racist.

Even when the Republican is Steve King?

He said "Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts". Which means he called all rural voters that vote Republican racist.
Logged
Vern
vern1988
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,199
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.30, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2018, 04:11:04 PM »

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.


#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

Your post is what is wrong with America today. Just because you vote Republican and live in a rural area doesn't mean you are racist.

9 times out of 10 it does

That is not true.

I’m guessing you haven’t lived for a significant amount of time in a rural white area

I grew up in rural NC Tongue
Logged
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