Cumulative House Results by State

[ElectionsGuy]

Alabama

Republican: 975,737 (58.8%) (1 uncontested race)
Democrats: 678,687 (40.9%)

Alaska

Republican: 149,779 (53.1%)
Democrats: 131,199 (46.5%)

Arizona

Democrats: 1,179,193 (50.4%)
Republicans: 1,139,552 (48.7%) (1 uncontested race)

Arkansas

Republicans: 556,339 (62.6%)
Democrats: 312,978 (35.2%)

California

Democrats: 8,010,445 (65.7%) (1 race with no candidate)
Republicans: 3,973,396 (32.6%) (8 races with no candidate)

Colorado

Democrats: 1,343,211 (53.4%)
Republicans: 1,079,772 (43.0%)

Connecticut

Democrats: 849,341 (61.6%)
Republicans: 520,521 (37.7%)

Delaware

Democrats: 227,353 (64.5%)
Republicans: 125,384 (35.5%)

Florida

Republicans: 3,675,417 (52.3%) (4 uncontested races)
Democrats: 3,307,228 (47.1%)

Special Note: No votes reported for uncontested races in 4 heavily Dem districts, skewing the result significantly towards the Republicans.

Georgia

Republicans: 1,987,204 (52.3%) (1 uncontested race)
Democrats: 1,814,468 (47.7%) (1 uncontested race)

Hawaii

Democrats: 287,921 (75.3%)
Republicans: 87,348 (22.8%)

Idaho

Republicans: 367,993 (61.8%)
Democrats: 207,303 (34.8%)

Illinois

Democrats: 2,757,540 (60.7%)
Republicans: 1,754,449 (38.6%)

Indiana

Republicans: 1,247,978 (55.3%)
Democrats: 1,000,104 (44.3%)

Iowa

Democrats: 664,676 (50.5%)
Republicans: 612,338 (46.5%)

Kansas

Republicans: 563,190 (53.6%)
Democrats: 464,380 (44.2%)

Kentucky

Republicans: 935,304 (59.6%)
Democrats: 612,977 (39.0%)

Louisiana

Republicans: 835,715 (57.2%) (1 uncontested race)
Democrats: 553,184 (37.9%)

Maine

Democrats: 343,635 (55.1%)
Republicans: 250,119 (40.1%)

Special Note: In ME-02, the final tally is with the runoff in ranked-choice voting, not the votes tallied beforehand.

Maryland

Democrats: 1,493,047 (65.3%)
Republicans: 737,906 (32.3%)

Massachusetts

Democrats: 1,943,597 (78.2%)
Republicans: 497,953 (20.0%) (4 uncontested races)

Michigan

Democrats: 2,175,003 (52.4%)
Republicans: 1,853,459 (44.6%) (1 uncontested race)

Minnesota

Democrats: 1,420,769 (55.1%)
Republicans: 1,125,533 (43.7%)

Mississippi

Republicans: 471,162 (50.2%) (1 uncontested race)
Democrats: 398,770 (42.5%)

Missouri

Republicans: 1,330,975 (55.0%)
Democrats: 1,027,969 (42.5%)

Montana

Republicans: 256,661 (50.9%)
Democrats: 233,284 (46.2%)

Nebraska

Republicans: 432,077 (62.0%)
Democrats: 264,493 (38.0%)

Nevada

Democrats: 491,272 (51.1%)
Republicans: 439,727 (45.8%)

New Hampshire

Democrats: 310,269 (54.4%)
Republicans: 249,685 (43.8%)

New Jersey

Democrats: 1,856,819 (59.9%)
Republicans: 1,198,664 (38.7%)

New Mexico

Democrats: 404,026 (58.3%)
Republicans: 264,701 (38.2%)

New York

Democrats: 3,990,483 (67.2%)
Republicans: 1,859,054 (31.3%) (6 uncontested races)

North Carolina

Republicans: 1,846,041 (50.4%)
Democrats: 1,771,061 (48.3%) (1 uncontested race)

North Dakota

Republicans: 193,568 (60.2%)
Democrats: 114,377 (35.6%)

Ohio

Republicans: 2,291,333 (52.0%)
Democrats: 2,082,684 (47.3%)

Oklahoma

Republicans: 730,531 (62.0%)
Democrats: 428,452 (36.3%)

Oregon

Democrats: 1,061,412 (57.4%)
Republicans: 702,531 (38.0%)

Pennsylvania

Democrats: 2,712,665 (55.0%)
Republicans: 2,206,260 (44.8%) (1 uncontested race)

Rhode Island

Democrats: 242,575 (65.0%)
Republicans: 129,838 (34.8%)

South Carolina

Republicans: 927,494 (54.3%)
Democrats: 758,340 (44.4%)

South Dakota

Republicans: 202,695 (60.3%)
Democrats: 121,033 (36.0%)

Tennessee

Republicans: 1,279,655 (59.2%)
Democrats: 846,450 (39.2%)

Texas

Republicans: 4,135,359 (50.4%) (4 uncontested races)
Democrats: 3,852,752 (47.0%)

Utah

Republicans: 617,307 (58.7%)
Democrats: 374,009 (35.5%)

Vermont

Democrats: 188,547 (69.2%)
Republicans: 70,705 (26.0%)

Virginia

Democrats: 1,867,061 (56.4%)
Republicans: 1,408,701 (42.5%) (1 uncontested race)

Washington

Democrats: 1,888,593 (62.5%)
Republicans: 1,048,712 (34.7%) (2 races with no candidate)

West Virginia

Republicans: 337,146 (58.3%)
Democrats: 234,568 (40.6%)

Wisconsin

Democrats: 1,367,492 (53.4%)
Republicans: 1,172,964 (45.8%) (1 uncontested race)

Wyoming

Republicans: 127,963 (63.6%)
Democrats: 59,903 (29.8%)

National

Democrats: 60,727,598 (53.4%)
Republicans: 50,983,895 (44.8%)

Partisan Margins

>30: 0-4.9%
>40: 5.0-9.9%
>50: 10.0-14.9%
>60: 15.0-19.9%
>70: 20.0-24.9%
>80: 25.0-29.9%
>90: 30%+

Partisan Lean Relative to Nationwide Vote

>30: 0-4.9% more R/D than nation
>40: 5.0-9.9%
>50: 10.0-14.9%
>60: 15.0-19.9%
>70: 20.0-24.9%
>80: 25.0-29.9%
>90: 30%+

[Virginiá]

Incredibly useful! I love these numbers. I'm going to sticky this (assuming you are updating it as we go)

[Snipee356]

Beautiful results in AZ, IA and especially in TX (Thanks Beto!)!

[Skill and Chance]

Alabama

Republican: 972,927 (58.8%) (1 uncontested race)
Democrats: 675,269 (40.8%)

Alaska

Republican: 128,516 (53.7%)
Democrats: 109,615 (45.8%)

Arizona

Democrats: 999,328 (49.8%)
Republicans: 989,802 (49.3%) (1 uncontested race)

Arkansas

Republicans: 553,536 (62.6%)
Democrats: 310,572 (35.1%)

California

Democrats: 5,041,566 (63.7%) (1 race with no candidate)
Republicans: 2,747,904 (34.7%) (8 races with no candidate)

Colorado

Democrats: 1,252,603 (52.4%)
Republicans: 1,050,938 (44.0%)

Connecticut

Democrats: 811,194 (61.0%)
Republicans: 508,669 (38.3%)

Delaware

Democrats: 227,353 (64.5%)
Republicans: 125,384 (35.5%)

Georgia

Republicans: 1,981,713 (52.4%) (1 uncontested race)
Democrats: 1,802,475 (47.6%) (1 uncontested race)

Hawaii

Democrats: 287,735 (75.3%)
Republicans: 87,296 (22.8%)

Idaho

Republicans: 366,054 (62.0%)
Democrats: 204,020 (34.6%)

Illinois

Democrats: 2,651,012 (60.4%)
Republicans: 1,714,804 (39.1%)

Indiana

Republicans: 1,178,371 (56.6%)
Democrats: 897,632 (43.1%)

Iowa

Democrats: 656,986 (50.4%)
Republicans: 607,827 (46.6%)

Kansas

Republicans: 549,563 (53.9%)
Democrats: 447,134 (43.9%)

Kentucky

Republicans: 935,565 (59.6%)
Democrats: 613,070 (39.0%)

Louisiana

Republicans: 835,603 (57.2%)
Democrats: 553,008 (37.9%)

Texas

Republicans: 4,104,555 (50.4%)
Democrats: 3,824,300 (47.0%)

I'll be working on this as you see this, just posting so I have it here.

Oh wow, an R+3.4 margin statewide would definitely flip the lower house of the state legislature in 2020 if Dems seriously contest it.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

-snip-

I'll be working on this as you see this, just posting so I have it here.

Oh wow, an R+3.4 margin statewide would definitely flip the lower house of the state legislature in 2020 if Dems seriously contest it.

Is the natural self packing in rural east and north Texas really that bad for Republicans? I know those counties are like mini NYC's in terms of wasted votes for TX Republicans.

[Snipee356]

-snip-

I'll be working on this as you see this, just posting so I have it here.

Oh wow, an R+3.4 margin statewide would definitely flip the lower house of the state legislature in 2020 if Dems seriously contest it.

Is the natural self packing in rural east and north Texas really that bad for Republicans? I know those counties are like mini NYC's in terms of wasted votes for TX Republicans.

Not as bad as NYC, since most of them don't vote >90% GOP (yet) and they could be used more effectively in gerrymandering.

[ElectionsGuy]

Incredibly useful! I love these numbers. I'm going to sticky this (assuming you are updating it as we go)

Oh wow, thanks!

[Virginiá]

Incredibly useful! I love these numbers. I'm going to sticky this (assuming you are updating it as we go)

Oh wow, thanks!

This might be a useful place to put state legislative numbers too (or maybe I can do that in the other board). I might do a few states myself once all the results are certified.

[Antonio the Sixth]

This is great, thank you!

What strikes me most about that map is how "normal" it is. It's actually exactly the 2012 PVI map with Arizona (and potentially Florida, I guess) added to the D column.

[Unimog]

What I find baffling is the fact, that the DEMs won the PV without NY, CA, IL, MA and MD.

[Mr. Illini]

#AlabamaUnder60

[riceowl]

I think the Iowa numbers are interesting given that the republican won governor and partially maybe shows just how much Steve King is hated?

Same with Kansas and Kobach

[Crumpets]

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.

#AlabamaUnder60

#UtahUnder60

[USO2019PB]

Why didn’t you post the numbers for Florida?

[pbrower2a]

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.

#AlabamaUnder60

#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

[Vern]

It would be cool to do the 2016 numbers as well then do a trend map

Also, NC numbers just go to show you have uneven the CD are made.

[lfromnj]

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.

#AlabamaUnder60

#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

[Vern]

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.

#AlabamaUnder60

#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

Your post is what is wrong with America today. Just because you vote Republican and live in a rural area doesn't mean you are racist.

[Skill and Chance]

-snip-

I'll be working on this as you see this, just posting so I have it here.

Oh wow, an R+3.4 margin statewide would definitely flip the lower house of the state legislature in 2020 if Dems seriously contest it.

Is the natural self packing in rural east and north Texas really that bad for Republicans? I know those counties are like mini NYC's in terms of wasted votes for TX Republicans.

Not as bad as NYC, since most of them don't vote >90% GOP (yet) and they could be used more effectively in gerrymandering.

It was about as bad as the electoral college currently is for Democrats, and it just got a couple points worse if the 2018 Beto/Nelson/Collier statewide coalition and the oil recovery holds (more wasted R votes in West Texas vs. statewide margin than in 2016, fewer wasted D votes in the Safe Dem Houston seats).

[Tekken_Guy]

-Surprising results in Wisconsin given that Dems couldn’t flip any seats. Though that’s mostly due to overperformance in Kind’s district
-NC might have gone Democrats’ way if Jones had an opponent. Same with Georgia and Austin Scott.
-Iowa may be because of the anti-King vote in the 4th. This is definitely where Reynolds overperformed the most compared to the Republican House candidate.
-

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

-Surprising results in Wisconsin given that Dems couldn’t flip any seats. Though that’s mostly due to overperformance in Kind’s district election rigging

[Vern]

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.

#AlabamaUnder60

#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

Your post is what is wrong with America today. Just because you vote Republican and live in a rural area doesn't mean you are racist.

9 times out of 10 it does

That is not true.

[Sestak]

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.

#AlabamaUnder60

#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

Your post is what is wrong with America today. Just because you vote Republican and live in a rural area doesn't mean you are racist.

Even when the Republican is Steve King?

[Vern]

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.

#AlabamaUnder60

#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

Your post is what is wrong with America today. Just because you vote Republican and live in a rural area doesn't mean you are racist.

Even when the Republican is Steve King?

He said "Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts". Which means he called all rural voters that vote Republican racist.

[lfromnj]

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.

#AlabamaUnder60

#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

Your post is what is wrong with America today. Just because you vote Republican and live in a rural area doesn't mean you are racist.

Even when the Republican is Steve King?

He said "Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts". Which means he called all rural voters that vote Republican racist.

Nah I call voters who vote who would consider voting for Steve king racist.
There are clearly less in the other 3 Iowa districts.