Cumulative House Results by State

[lfromnj]

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.

#AlabamaUnder60

#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

[lfromnj]

This actually doesn't seem like a half bad basemap for 2020, with maybe Iowa switched to the Republicans.

#AlabamaUnder60

#UtahUnder60

Iowa has voted for the Democratic nominee in three of the last five Presidential elections and six of the last eight. At this point, I would consider the aggregate count of votes for Representatives as good proxies for a Presidential election that has the same electoral mix as for the preceding (now just decided) midterm. Although the Senate election results for seats is distorted by more Democratic seats at risk this time (effect will be reduced in 2020), the national result for the Senate is still advantage D.

Donald Trump is extremely polarizing, and many people voted to either support him or give him an ugly message. One way or the other, much of the vote is about Trump.

LOL
imagine using Iowas popular vote in a state with 4 districts where one of the districts is super red but had a really bad incumbent who won by 3 points. No you can't use Iowa's popular vote. Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts.

Your post is what is wrong with America today. Just because you vote Republican and live in a rural area doesn't mean you are racist.

Even when the Republican is Steve King?

He said "Iowas 4th rural hicks will outvote the less racist rural hicks in the other 3 districts". Which means he called all rural voters that vote Republican racist.

Nah I call voters who vote who would consider voting for Steve king racist.
There are clearly less in the other 3 Iowa districts.

[lfromnj]

Amazing how intensely the dam on that New Jersey dummymander broke.

F NJ GOP.

yeah really did become a dummymander thanks to Lobiondo's retirement and tom's being pushy on issues(you shouldn't be frontline on controversial issues.

[lfromnj]

In regards to Trump, I think what this election showed is that unlike in 2016 when the opposition to Trump was divided, nearly all of those who oppose Trump are, for now, supporting the Democratic Party.  Even if Trump were to completely hold his base, based on the midterm result, he would still lose reelection.

Interestingly in Cali its the opposite. It looks like the total house vote will be something like 62.5 37.5 and thats with top 2.