Cumulative House Results by State

[136or142]

It would be cool to do the 2016 numbers as well then do a trend map

Also, NC numbers just go to show you have uneven the CD are made.

Can't make trend maps myself, but these are the final 2016 state by state numbers based on the certified results that I compiled myself.  Remember, none of the 2018 numbers have been certified.  There was even one state in 2016 where the certified numbers were slightly changed and I thought to myself 'what if there had been a really close Presidential election and the slight changes in numbers changed who won the state and the Presidency?'  I can just imagine "Well, heck, it seems the other person won."

I had been planning to post these results for nearly two years, but there was a discrepancy between the total number of votes recorded by whichever government body keeps the aggregate Congressional vote, and my vote totals based on the Secretary of State certified numbers. (It seems not all the Secretary of State figures include the write in totals.)  There are also differences with numbers based on which party to count the 'fusion ballots' for for the states that have them.  I list them as with either the Democrats or Republicans, others count them as votes for the Conservative Party, the Liberal Party or whoever else.  Taking out these discrepancies, the total numbers for the Democrats and Republicans I have are the same as the numbers provided on that government website.

2016 results
Alabama: 1,889,685
Republican: 1,222,018, 64.7%, 6 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 621,911, 32.9%, 5 Democrats on ballot

Alaska: 308,198
Republican: 155,088, 50.3%
Democratic: 111,019, 36.0%

Arizona: 2,412,964
Republican: 1,266,013, 52.5%, 8 Republicans on ballot (a write-in Republican received 1,635 votes)
Democratic: 1,035,587, 42.9%, 8 Democrats on ballot

Arkansas: 1,068,577
Republican: 760,415, 71.2%
Democratic: 111,347, 10.4%, 1 Democrat on ballot

California: 13,414,018
Republican: 4,682,033, 34.9%, 44 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 8,624,432, 64.3%, 53 Democrats on ballot and 7 D vs D races

Colorado: 2,701,438
Republican: 1,288,618, 47.7%
Democratic: 1,263,791, 46.8%

Connecticut: 1,575,183
Republican: 568,134, 36.1%
Democratic: 990,139, 62.9%

Delaware: 420,617
Republican: 172,301, 41.0%
Democratic: 233,534, 55.5%

Florida: 8,837,426
Republican: 4,733,630, 53.6%
Democratic: 3,985,050, 45.1%
24th district (Frederica Wilson) uncontested and not on the ballot

Georgia: 3,772,862
Republican: 2,272,460, 60.2%, 13 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 1,498,437, 39.7%, 10 Republicans on ballot

Hawaii: 412,873
Republican: 85,626, 20.7%
Democratic: 316,265, 76.6%

Idaho: 681,594
Republican: 447,544, 65.7%
Democratic: 208,992, 30.7%

Illinois: 5,241,767
Republican: 2,397,436, 45.7%, 16 Democrats on ballot
Democratic: 2,810,536, 53.6%, 16 Republicans on ballot

Indiana: 2,658,367
Republican: 1,442,989, 54.3%, 8 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 1,052,901, 39.6%, 9 Democrats on ballot

Iowa: 1,515,555
Republican: 813,153, 53.7%
Democratic: 673,969 44.5%

Kansas: 1,173,736
Republican: 694,240, 59.2%
Democratic: 317,635, 27.1%, 3 Democrats on ballot

Kentucky: 1,765,376
Republican: 1,248,140, 70.7%
Democratic: 516,904, 29.3%, 4 Democrats on ballot

Louisiana: 1,804,256
Republican: 1,198,764, 66.4%, Republican candidates in 5 districts
Democratic: 564,064, 31.3%, Democratic candidates in 5 districts
This is totaled from combining the election day result for each party, and not based on any runoffs.

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2016 U.S House results continued
Maine 742,494
Republican: 357,447, 48.1%
Democratic: 384,547, 51.8%

Maryland: 2,707,745
Republican: 962,088, 35.5%
Democrat: 1,636,200, 60.4%

Massachusetts: 2,939,968
Republican: 451,121, 15.3%, 4 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 2,343,798, 79.7%

Michigan: 4,670,905
Republican: 2,243,402, 48.0%
Democratic: 2,193,980, 47.0%

Minnesota: 2,860,432
Republican: 1,334,686, 46.7%
Democratic: 1,434,590, 50.2%

Mississippi: 1,182,273
Republican: 680,810, 57.6%
Democratic: 449,896, 38.1%

Missouri: 2,750,079
Republican: 1,600,524, 58.2%
Democratic: 1,041,306, 37.9%

Montana: 507,831
Republican: 285,358, 56.2%
Democratic: 205,919, 40.6%

Nebraska: 788,266
Republican: 557,557, 70.7%
Democratic: 221,069, 28.0%, 2 Democrats on ballot

Nevada: 1,078,497
Republican: 498,104, 46.2%
Democratic: 508,113, 47.1%

New Hampshire: 715,844
Republican: 316,001, 44.1%
Democratic: 336,451, 47.0%

New Jersey: 3,463,331
Republican: 1,541,671, 44.5%
Democratic: 1,821,620, 52.6%

New Mexico: 780,125
Republican: 343,123, 44.0%
Democratic: 436,932, 56.0%

New York: 7,095,581
Republican: 2,542,778, 35.8%, 24 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 4,456,646, 62.8%

North Carolina: 4,598,458
Republican: 2,447,326, 53.2%
Democratic: 2,142,661, 46.6%

North Dakota: 338,459
Republican: 233,980, 69.1%
Democratic: 80,377, 23.8%

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2016 U.S House results continued
Ohio 5,218,355
Republican: 2,996,017, 57.4%
Democratic: 2,154,523, 41.3%

Oklahoma: 1,133,244
Republican: 781,691, 69.0%
Democratic: 305,222, 26.9%
Oklahoma 1st House district (Jim Bridenstine) was uncontested and was not on the ballot.

Oregon: 1,911,865
Republican: 730,894, 38.2%, 4 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 1,026,851, 53.7%

Pennsylvania: 5,743,978
Republican: 3,096,576, 53.9%, 17 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 2,625,157, 45.7%, 16 Democrats on ballot

Rhode Island: 431,519
Republican: 141,324, 32.8%
Democratic: 263,642, 61.1%

South Carolina: 2,011,746
Republican: 1,177,365, 58.5%
Democratic: 790,303, 39.3%

South Dakota: 369,973
Republican:  237,163, 64.1%
Democratic: 132,810, 35.9%

Tennessee: 2,391,061
Republican: 1,493,740, 62.5%
Democratic: 814,181, 34.1%

Texas: 8,528,526
Republican: 4,877,605, 57.2%, 34 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 3,160,535, 37.1%, 28 Democrats on ballot

Utah: 1,114,170
Republican: 710,656, 63.8%
Democratic: 356,290, 32.0%

Vermont: 295,334
Republican: ---------, -----, 0 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 264,414, 89.5%

Virginia: 3,781,608
Republican: 1,843,010, 48.7%, 10 Republicans on ballot
Democratic: 1,859,466, 49.2%

Washington: 3,141,035
Republican: 1,404,890, 44.7%, 1 R vs R race
Democratic: 1,736,145, 55.3%, 1 D vs D race

West Virginia: 686,349
Republican: 445,017, 64.8%
Democratic: 224,449, 32.7%

Wisconsin: 2,768,094
Republican: 1,270,448, 45.9%, 6 Republicans on ballot, though one write in received 169 votes
Democratic: 1,379,996, 49.9%

Wyoming: 251,776
Republican: 156,176, 62.0%
Democratic: 75,466, 30.0%

Total: 128,653,413
Republican: 63,207,150, 49.1%
Democratic: 61,800,098, 48.0%

As an aside, for those who think that Hillary Clinton was such a bad candidate, she not only, unlike the U.S House Democrats, got the highest share of the vote in her race, she got a slightly higher share of the vote than the aggregate U.S House Democratic vote.

I also have the 2014 results if anybody is interested.

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As far as I can tell, leaving out Pennsylvania obviously, the only two Republican House members who won in 2016 by less than 10% of the vote who were reelected were Don Bacon and Will Hurd.

Excluding Pennsylvania, I believe this is the correct breakdown.

There were 64 districts the Democrats lost by under 20% in 2016, the Democrats won 27 of them (with Utah-4 still uncalled.)

There were 35 districts the Democrats lost by under 25% in 2016, the Democrats won 8 of them (with Georgia-7th still uncalled.)

The two districts the Democrats won this election that they 'lost' by more than 25% in 2016 were the New Mexico-2nd district where Democrats won Steve Pearce's open district. (I wouldn't be surprised if Pearce runs again here in 2020 just as he did in 2010) and the Texas-32nd district where no Democratic candidate ran in 2016.

[136or142]

It is worth noting that gerrymandering not only suppresses the number of seats produced by A party's Ron National vote total, it suppresses the overall National vote total as well. Gerrymandered safe seats produce lower grade candidates with far less funding or institutional support. Good candidates aren't going to give up potential legislative seat or other job opportunity for a doomed run in a gerrymandered safe seat, and donors aren't about to waste their money they're either. Putting those same gerrymandered areas into competitive redrawn districts will largely produce better quality and better funded candidates who obviously perform better.

I thought the Democratic candidates in Ohio, Texas and North Carolina were decent.  The Republican candidates in Maryland, generally not so much, but they were no worse than the Republican candidates throughout the U.S.

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In regards to Trump, I think what this election showed is that unlike in 2016 when the opposition to Trump was divided, nearly all of those who oppose Trump are, for now, supporting the Democratic Party.  Even if Trump were to completely hold his base, based on the midterm result, he would still lose reelection.

[136or142]

Florida is now on and I updated results in California, Arizona, and Washington (three western states known for slow reporting). Democrats have a majority in Arizona and Republicans are below 1/3 of the vote in California.

So what is the effect on the tally on having uncontested races?

It mostly hurt Republicans since they were the ones to not contest most of the time. I imagine it would be a point or two higher for Republicans overall if they had run in every race.

It amazing that the House delegation ended up being 13-14 then.

In regards to Florida, this is absolutely not correct.  There were 4 districts where the Democratic incumbents faced no challenger at all so the race was simply not on the general election ballot.

Had these 4 Democrats been on the ballot they likely would have received over 800,000 votes.  I think that cancels out a good deal of the other races in the U.S where the Republicans ran no candidates.

Edit to add: I see Snek! added that point with a follow up post.

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These are the seven states that still have not posted official results (or, at least, their website has not been updated to indicate the results are official.)  North Carolina would have posted official results, of course.

1.Arizona
2.California
3.Connecticut
4.New York
5.North Carolina
6.South Dakota
7.West Virginia

[136or142]

These are the seven states that still have not posted official results (or, at least, their website has not been updated to indicate the results are official.)  North Carolina would have posted official results, of course.
1.Connecticut
2.North Carolina

Arizona, California and New York have now posted official results.

South Dakota has the official canvas posted with the unofficial results up as well.  Odd.  The two results are slightly different.

West Virginia has had their official results up for a while.  It's just they are only accessible through downloading them. However, the unofficial results are the same as the official results.

[136or142]

Connecticut has the same problem as North Carolina:
Due to pending litigation regarding the 120th District of the Connecticut House of Representatives, all results are official and all races have been certified, except for the 120th House District.

[136or142]

Added up the aggregate total for each state.  Both parties won the popular vote in 25 states.  However, not taking into account the individual Congressional District thing for Nebraska and Maine, the Democrats won the Electoral College 296 to 242 (including Washington D.C)

The five states that flipped from the 2016 Presidential vote are:
1.Arizona
2.Iowa
3.Michigan
4.Pennsylvania
5.Wisconsin