eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,501
Political Matrix E: -6.00, S: -5.65
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« on: November 18, 2018, 09:56:34 PM » |
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Right now the national popular vote stands at +7.7% D according to Dave Wasserman, and is projected to finish somewhere between +8% & +9% when the remaining approximately 5 million more votes have been counted. If we say it's gonna end at +8.5%, well then these states are the ones coming the closest to the national popular vote, ranked:
1. Colorado
Democrats: 1,252,603 (52.4%) (+8.4%) Republicans: 1,050,938 (44.0%)
2. Wisconsin
Democrats: 1,358,156 (53.1%) (+7.3%) Republicans: 1,171,456 (45.8%) (1 uncontested race)
3. Pennsylvania
Democrats: 2,669,469 (54.9%) (+10.1%) Republicans: 2,179,246 (44.8%) (1 uncontested race)
3. Michigan
Democrats: 2,108,119 (52.0%) (+6.9%) Republicans: 1,826,335 (45.1%) (1 uncontested race)
5. New Hampshire
Democrats: 310,320 (54.4%) (+10.6%) Republicans: 249,714 (43.8%)
6. Minnesota
Democrats: 1,420,669 (55.2%) (+11.5%) Republicans: 1,125,569 (43.7%)
7. Nevada
Democrats: 491,004 (51.1%) (+5.3%) Republicans: 439,401 (45.8%)
8. Iowa
Democrats: 656,986 (50.4%) (+3.8%) Republicans: 607,827 (46.6%)
9. Virginia
Democrats: 1,864,483 (56.3%) (+13.8%) Republicans: 1,407,791 (42.5%) (1 uncontested race)
10. Maine
Democrats: 328,409 (52.7%) (+14.0% - +15% with final Golden votes) Republicans: 241,180 (38.7%)
11. Arizona
Democrats: 999,328 (49.8%) (+0.5%) Republicans: 989,802 (49.3%) (1 uncontested race)
12. Probably Florida...
PS: Will Colorado strike again in 2020 becoming the tipping point state once again just like it was in 2008 and 2012? Judging from the list above it's at least among 7-8 states (possibly more) with a real shot at it.
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