What lessons from 2018 polling will you take to 2020?

[History505]

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[McGovernForPrez]

If they don't weight for college education their poll is meaningless. As it turned out Marist wasn't weighting for college education despite learning how important it is in 2016. Marquette for example did weight it and their poll turned out perfect.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

If they don't weight for college education their poll is meaningless. As it turned out Marist wasn't weighting for college education despite learning how important it is in 2016. Marquette for example did weight it and their poll turned out perfect.

This, and also Hispanics are unpollable.

And also, regardless of polls, there are some places that are just flat out unwinnable (at least on the federal level) for either party.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Any poll within the margin error favors the Republicans.

[SN2903]

Any poll within the margin error favors the Republicans.

yep. James was just outside the MOE in the averages and lost by 5.5

[IceSpear]

Any poll within the margin error favors the Republicans.

Sen. McSally, Sen. Heller, Gov. Laxalt, Sen. Rosendale, Gov. Kobach, Gov. Buehler, Gov. Walker, and Sen. Cruz who won by double digits agrees.

[Figueira]

That polls, while sometimes accurate, are often wrong in both directions and should be taken with a grain of salt.

But we already knew that.

[Skill and Chance]

Add a few % to Republicans in the Florida, Alaska, and the Midwest (maybe not in MN), add a few % to Democrats in the Southwest (and maybe in the New York City area).  Expect mostly accurate polls in the SE, NW/NorCal, and NE outside of NYC's influence. 

[Progressive Pessimist]

Any poll within the margin error favors the Republicans.

Sen. McSally, Sen. Heller, Gov. Laxalt, Sen. Rosendale, Gov. Kobach, Gov. Buehler, Gov. Walker, and Sen. Cruz who won by double digits agrees.

Fair point, but I mostly mean that out of a sense of preempting disappointment. Florida really scarred me this year. And let's not be too premature by considering Kyrsten Sinema a Senator yet, though things certainly do not look good for McSally.