Post-2018 redistricting
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  Post-2018 redistricting
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Author Topic: Post-2018 redistricting  (Read 511 times)
cvparty
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« on: November 08, 2018, 09:33:20 PM »

Here I explore gerrymanders drawn to protect future incumbents after seeing the results of Tuesday's midterms. These are intended to reflect possible maps for the 2022 redistricting, so I have included 2020 population projections for accuracy! (the session timed out right before I posted this so I just rewrote this lmao kmn)

First up is Virginia! Democrats are likely to hold a trifecta after 2019 and onward. This is one possible gerrymander they could draw. It's a pretty clean and easy 8-3 D delegation.

CD-1: stretches west across the state, taking the Shenandoah Valley instead of NOVA. R sink
R+8 -> R+15 (~R+18) | solid R

CD-2: takes in all of Norfolk to become Dem-leaning. Luria's hometown of Virginia Beach is here.
R+2 -> D+5 (~D+5) | likely D

CD-3: becomes much less safe, but still pretty strongly D.
D+16 -> D+5 (~D+5) | likely D

CD-4: basically the same as before.
D+10 -> D+11 (~D+11) | solid D

CD-5: changes drastically, losing all of its southern part (actually, all of its old territory besides Fauquier and Rappahannock Counties) and becoming a suburban NOVA seat. keeps Rappahannock County so Leslie Cockburn can run here.
R+6 -> D+5 (~D+9) | solid D

CD-6: takes in VA-05's old southern areas instead of the northern Shenandoah Valley. exchanges Roanoke for Salem to annoy the R incumbent.
R+13 -> R+13 (~R+16) | solid R

CD-7: includes the Richmond suburbs as before, but takes in Charlottesville instead of going north, removing the Republican lean. Spanberger's hometown of Glen Allen remains here.
R+6 -> EVEN (~D+3) | lean D

CD-8: basically the same.
D+21 -> D+21 (~D+25) | solid D

CD-9: basically the same as the current 9th. takes out Salem (the incumbent's hometown) to annoy him lol
R+19 -> R+17 (~R+24) | solid R

CD-10: adds in Warren County, but takes more Democratic suburbs. includes Wexton's hometown of Leesburg.
D+1 -> D+3 (~D+7) | solid D

CD-11: changes from a D sink to a less safe NOVA seat (still solid D though). not sure if the incumbent's town is still in here
D+15 -> D+7 (~D+9) | solid D
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Snipee356
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2018, 09:41:20 PM »

Virginia won't gain a seat in the census?
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Lachi
lok1999
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« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2018, 11:45:01 PM »

Virginia won't gain a seat in the census?
not at this rate, no.
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