At the origin, Joaquin Castro was among the potential Democratic senate candidates to face Ted Cruz who won yesterday night at the term of a campaign during which he labeled O'Rourke as too liberal for Texas where O'Rourke has called for Trump's impeachment (which definitely cost him conservative/independent votes) and has been accused of seeking to abolish ICE.
Meanwhile, Joaquin Castro has opposed abolishing ICE and as a Mexican-American, he might have further increased Latino turnout in Texas, thus making the senate race even closer. The moreover that in a hypothetical poll published in April 2017, he was leading Cruz by 4.
https://www.texaslyceum.org/resources/Pictures/2017%20Topline%20Results.pdfCould Joaquin Castro have defeated Ted Cruz if he was the Democratic senate candidate there? Would his chances have been higher than O'Rourke's?