Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Panda Express]

Illinois has been bloody for the GOP. Looks like 3 House pickups there plus Rauner going down in flames.

[Storr]

CNN projects IL6 (ROSKAM DOWN!) and AZ2 for Democrats.

[user12345]

MO-2 needs to count faster.

[Adam Griffin]

I mean I know it splits SLC, BUT HOW IS THIS HAPPENING IN UT-2

[OBD]

This feels alarmingly like 2010. Trump could get a 2nd term.

[Ben.]

What areas have we got outstanding in AZ? If what we have today is mostly early vote, which party should the election day vote favour?

[IceSpear]

Tester up by 17 (!) right now. #CandidateQualityMatters

Nah, Stitt won and Shalala won.

[Hammy]

This feels alarmingly like 2010. Trump could get a 2nd term.

Trump was always going to get reelected, lets be honest with ourselves.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

This feels alarmingly like 2010. Trump could get a 2nd term.

Democrats 40+ feels like 2010?

What?

[emailking]

The Senate looks terrible. Dems have literally no chance to win the Senate in 2020. 2022 with a Dem President & Dems winning 3-4 Senate seats look very hard.

All they'd have to do is win most of the ones they lost in 2014. It's not as dire as you're suggesting.

[7,052,770]

What areas have we got outstanding in AZ? If what we have today is mostly early vote, which party should the election day vote favour?

NYT gives Simena a 60% chance as of now.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-senate-forecast.html

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Kind of an embarrassing way to win the night. There are my two cents.

HOW.

Democrats are winning in KS and OK!

It's almost like you have no conception of the local politics as either. Following the tenure of Mary Fallin, I'm stunned the Oklahoma Governor's race wasn't closer. I had expected both Kansas and Oklahoma to be the two closest races - now neither is close yet in opposite directions. My final "prediction" on this site has these as two of five gubernatorial toss-ups (with South Dakota, Ohio, and Iowa). Winning a single house district is just about the least special thing in the world. It's like a Republican shouting, "we're winning in New York" - except they have better reason to shout that about their own governorships in New Hampshire and Massachusetts and Maryland and maybe even Connecticut.

I literally cannot believe you are more than an overeager high schooler with how much you are moving the measuring stick just to remain excited about unequivocally negative result.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Can MO-02 and SC-01 please count they scaring people.

[lfromnj]

Illinois has been bloody for the GOP. Looks like 3 House pickups there plus Rauner going down in flames.

Anyway Its interesting how the 12th was seen as the most likely of the four to flip in 2017 and 2018 because muh Obama Trump voters yet now the Romney Clinton + Romney trumps one of which swung republican by a small amount and the other swung democrat all flip. Quite interesting. I think Illinois dems would be smart to gerrymander the democrat parts of the 12th into the 13th in 2020 and split up Chicago land into the 6th and 14th.

[Ye We Can]

Illinois has been bloody for the GOP. Looks like 3 House pickups there plus Rauner going down in flames.

Davis will make it up I think

[Crumpets]

Somebody needs to slap UT-2. It's clearly tripping major ballsack.

[The Dowager Mod]

Looks like my guurrll Mikie Sherrill is going to win in NJ. 

[OBD]

REEEEEEEEEEEEE CORDRAY LOST

[MillennialModerate]

Senate is gone until 2024.

Wow.

Btw... anyone still wanna laugh at my Nevada Lean R?

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

#BernieUnder70

[Storr]

Intriguingly, CNN has Fletcher over Culberson 52.2-47.8 with 77% in.

[Pyro]

This feels alarmingly like 2010. Trump could get a 2nd term.

No doubt this is a disappointing night in some respects, but Dem totals in WI, MI, PA etc is promising.

[YE]

This feels alarmingly like 2010. Trump could get a 2nd term.

Tonight makes me confident in 2024 but not 2020.

[Tintrlvr]

I mean I know it splits SLC, BUT HOW IS THIS HAPPENING IN UT-2

UT-03 is surprisingly close as well. I guess Mormons went relatively D in House races. Not enough for more than maybe one D gain but still an impressive result.

[Bidenworth2020]

Senate is gone until 2024.

Wow.

Btw... anyone still wanna laugh at my Nevada Lean R?

yeah