Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Shadows]

Anyone talking about the Sun Belt being a viable strategy is delusional. Dems lost TX, FL & will likely lose AZ as well & the Georgia Gov. race. The Sun Belt will be in play only in 2028 (where maybe Dems can win all of the key states).

Tom Wolf & Casey crushed GOP by 15-20% points. Dems swept PA & won huge gains in the House (Even with re-redistricting, they won a huge share of the votes), Brown won, Stabenow will in double digits, MI Gov. race will go Blue, Baldwin win near to double digits. The WI Gov. race is close.

Trump can easily lose 2020 if Dems find a competent candidate who can lock up WI, MI & PA. Not to mention, Trump or the GOP has little chance to pick CO or NH in 2020. And NV looks hard as well !

The Mid-west swung away from Trump & Obama-Trump districts went Blue in 2018. Also, MN was a Blowout- 30-40% points victories in Senate & Gov. races ( A state Trump won by 2 % !!!!!)

[lfromnj]

Horn lives in a suburban district  in oklahoma that swung to Hillary. Its a redder version of Il 14th is the best I could describe.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Who the hell is this Horn dude and why is he, a Democrat, winning in Oklahoma?

Well, to start with he's a she.

[tjstarling]

CNN has Nelson and Scott basically tied in Palm Beach. That can't be right.

[Brittain33]

CNN projects Democrats will be under 200.

Did you mean Republicans?

[The Free North]

It hasnt been talked about at all, but not looking great for Claire right now.

Down big with 60% in and all of KC in.

[Hammy]

CNN projects Democrats will be under 200.

Big! This is definitely a blue wave in the House, a Tossup in the Senate and a Blue trickle in the Governors races.

Isn't that a massive R wave? Or a typo?

[Orser67]

If Dems don't sweep MT, AZ, and NV, I'm not sure that they'll ever win back the Senate.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Kendra Horn omg how?!

[The Free North]

It hasnt been talked about at all, but not looking great for Claire right now.

Down big with 60% in and all of KC in.

Most of the vote is still out in STL though.

[YE]

Anyone talking about the Sun Belt being a viable strategy is delusional. Dems lost TX, FL & will likely lose AZ as well & the Georgia Gov. race. The Sun Belt will be in play only in 2028 (where maybe Dems can win all of the key states).

Tom Wolf & Casey crushed GOP by 15-20% points. Dems swept PA & won huge gains in the House (Even with re-redistricting, they won a huge share of the votes), Brown won, Stabenow will in double digits, MI Gov. race will go Blue, Baldwin win near to double digits. The WI Gov. race is close.

Trump can easily lose 2020 if Dems find a competent candidate who can lock up WI, MI & PA. Not to mention, Trump or the GOP has little chance to pick CO or NH in 2020. And NV looks hard as well !

The Mid-west swung away from Trump & Obama-Trump districts went Blue in 2018. Also, MN was a Blowout- 30-40% points victories in Senate & Gov. races ( A state Trump won by 2 % !!!!!)

Cool so everything can get blocked in the Senate with a GOP senate.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Kind of an embarrassing way to win the night. There are my two cents.

HOW.

Democrats are winning in KS and OK!

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Unbelievably, Kendra Horn looks poised to win

Whas this on any radar?

Yes, it was rated as Likely R by some.

[7,052,770]

I haven't seen any formal call, but I think it's safe to say that we have an Espy vs. Hyde-Smith runoff.

Likely R and closer to Safe than Lean. Even if half of McDaniel voters flip to Espy (which is beyond unrealistic), she would still probably win.

[Politician]

Tester up by 17 (!) right now. #CandidateQualityMatters

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Anyone talking about the Sun Belt being a viable strategy is delusional. Dems lost TX, FL & will likely lose AZ as well & the Georgia Gov. race. The Sun Belt will be in play only in 2028 (where maybe Dems can win all of the key states).

Tom Wolf & Casey crushed GOP by 15-20% points. Dems swept PA & won huge gains in the House (Even with re-redistricting, they won a huge share of the votes), Brown won, Stabenow will in double digits, MI Gov. race will go Blue, Baldwin win near to double digits. The WI Gov. race is close.

Trump can easily lose 2020 if Dems find a competent candidate who can lock up WI, MI & PA. Not to mention, Trump or the GOP has little chance to pick CO or NH in 2020. And NV looks hard as well !

The Mid-west swung away from Trump & Obama-Trump districts went Blue in 2018. Also, MN was a Blowout- 30-40% points victories in Senate & Gov. races ( A state Trump won by 2 % !!!!!)

Cool so everything can get blocked in the Senate with a GOP senate.

And Thomas can decide if he wants to retire next year.

[Panda Express]

It hasnt been talked about at all, but not looking great for Claire right now.

Down big with 60% in and all of KC in.

Yeah, this one needs to be called as well. Put her out to pasture. RIP Claire, I'll always look fondly on your 2012 race

[Shadows]

If Dems don't sweep MT, AZ, and NV, I'm not sure that they'll ever win back the Senate.

This. CO looks like the only pick-up. Maybe NC even Trump loses by 5-6% in 2020. Maybe ME in a Dem Wave year.

It is likely that 2020 under a Dem President will have a GOP President & McConnell as Majority Leader obstructing anything & everything !

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

CNN projects Democrats will be under 200.

Big! This is definitely a blue wave in the House, a Tossup in the Senate and a Blue trickle in the Governors races.

Isn't that a massive R wave? Or a typo?

Embarrassing. Lol.

Well, either way. I'm happy with tonight.

[Storr]

It hasnt been talked about at all, but not looking great for Claire right now.

Down big with 60% in and all of KC in.

Yeah, this one needs to be called as well. Put her out to pasture. RIP Claire, I'll always look fondly on your 2012 race

KC may be in, but Saint Louis isn't.

[Storebought]

I guess Trump will feel free to finally fire Jeff Sessions and the others that annoy him now that he has a compliant senate to vote for any replacement.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

It hasnt been talked about at all, but not looking great for Claire right now.

Down big with 60% in and all of KC in.

Yeah, this one needs to be called as well. Put her out to pasture. RIP Claire, I'll always look fondly on your 2012 race

We still have to see if she gets Claired out of office.

[Shadows]

Anyone talking about the Sun Belt being a viable strategy is delusional. Dems lost TX, FL & will likely lose AZ as well & the Georgia Gov. race. The Sun Belt will be in play only in 2028 (where maybe Dems can win all of the key states).

Tom Wolf & Casey crushed GOP by 15-20% points. Dems swept PA & won huge gains in the House (Even with re-redistricting, they won a huge share of the votes), Brown won, Stabenow will in double digits, MI Gov. race will go Blue, Baldwin win near to double digits. The WI Gov. race is close.

Trump can easily lose 2020 if Dems find a competent candidate who can lock up WI, MI & PA. Not to mention, Trump or the GOP has little chance to pick CO or NH in 2020. And NV looks hard as well !

The Mid-west swung away from Trump & Obama-Trump districts went Blue in 2018. Also, MN was a Blowout- 30-40% points victories in Senate & Gov. races ( A state Trump won by 2 % !!!!!)

Cool so everything can get blocked in the Senate with a GOP senate.

And Thomas can decide if he wants to retire next year.

The Senate looks terrible. Dems have literally no chance to win the Senate in 2020. 2022 with a Dem President & Dems winning 3-4 Senate seats look very hard.

The Senate may have been lost for a long time. Probably, Divided House for the foreseeable future. Nothing gets done ! McConnell as Majority Leader obstructing everything. Only way you can get anything passed if you cut SS & Medicare !

[lfromnj]

Doug jones is now Safe R in 2020 barring Moore again.

[YE]

Doug jones is now Safe R in 2020 barring Moore again.

Yep. He should just retire.