Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 05:18:57 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1
« previous next »
Thread note

Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 179
Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 203993 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #275 on: November 06, 2018, 05:18:20 PM »

Exit poll:


Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,753


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #276 on: November 06, 2018, 05:18:59 PM »

Hope Scott Wins


He is by far one of the 3 best Republican candidates running this year
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #277 on: November 06, 2018, 05:19:19 PM »

That’s not that bad for Republicans, considering that his approvals were in the 30s last year, IMHO.

Uh, he wasn't even in the 30s in Virginia last year, and Virginia is to the left of the country as a whole.

Yeah, he was at 43% here in VA.

So tonight could be worse!
Logged
Pandaguineapig
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,608
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #278 on: November 06, 2018, 05:19:35 PM »

This looks pretty bad for Republicans but remember that the early exits are wrong pretty much every single time and will be adjusted as the night goes on
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #279 on: November 06, 2018, 05:20:08 PM »

That’s not that bad for Republicans, considering that his approvals were in the 30s last year, IMHO.

Uh, he wasn't even in the 30s in Virginia last year, and Virginia is to the left of the country as a whole.

Yeah, he was at 43% here in VA.

So tonight could be worse!
Worse for whom?
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,109


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #280 on: November 06, 2018, 05:20:37 PM »

That’s not that bad for Republicans, considering that his approvals were in the 30s last year, IMHO.

Uh, he wasn't even in the 30s in Virginia last year, and Virginia is to the left of the country as a whole.

lol. Are you really acting like one exit poll in Virginia is more meaningful than the many, many nationwide polls of his approval?!
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #281 on: November 06, 2018, 05:21:34 PM »

That’s not that bad for Republicans, considering that his approvals were in the 30s last year, IMHO.

Uh, he wasn't even in the 30s in Virginia last year, and Virginia is to the left of the country as a whole.

Yeah, he was at 43% here in VA.

So tonight could be worse!
Worse for whom?

For all the baby Trumps...
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #282 on: November 06, 2018, 05:22:04 PM »

That’s not that bad for Republicans, considering that his approvals were in the 30s last year, IMHO.

Uh, he wasn't even in the 30s in Virginia last year, and Virginia is to the left of the country as a whole.

lol. Are you really acting like one exit poll in Virginia is more meaningful than the many, many nationwide polls of his approval?!

No, I'm saying it was unrealistic to expect him to be in the 30s, and that Dems can easily have a great night even if he isn't.
Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,993


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #283 on: November 06, 2018, 05:22:23 PM »

ofc FOX is doing their own exit poll who knows when that will be released...
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,846


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #284 on: November 06, 2018, 05:22:32 PM »

MSNBC says in exit poll the white vote share is same as 2008.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #285 on: November 06, 2018, 05:22:38 PM »

Party favorability:

DEM: 50/46 (+4)
GOP: 43/54 (-11)
Logged
Shilly
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 590
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #286 on: November 06, 2018, 05:22:47 PM »

That’s not that bad for Republicans, considering that his approvals were in the 30s last year, IMHO.

Uh, he wasn't even in the 30s in Virginia last year, and Virginia is to the left of the country as a whole.

lol. Are you really acting like one exit poll in Virginia is more meaningful than the many, many nationwide polls of his approval?!
You're comparing polls of adults with polls of likely voters. Trump always does a few points better in the latter.
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,791


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #287 on: November 06, 2018, 05:23:07 PM »

Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,846


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #288 on: November 06, 2018, 05:23:54 PM »

Missouri is 50 Approve, 49 Disapprove says MSNBC exits
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,825


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #289 on: November 06, 2018, 05:24:05 PM »

Which side does better in the post 5pm voting crowd?
Logged
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,185
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #290 on: November 06, 2018, 05:24:34 PM »

Approval better in Florida than Missouri.
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,846


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #291 on: November 06, 2018, 05:24:37 PM »

Florida ---  51 Approve 48 disapprove of Trump in early exits.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #292 on: November 06, 2018, 05:24:49 PM »

Trump approval, GA: 47/51 (-4)

MSNBC says Abrams is winning a larger share of disapproves than Kemp is winning approves...
Logged
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,413
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #293 on: November 06, 2018, 05:25:13 PM »

Missouri is 50 Approve, 49 Disapprove says MSNBC exits
Holy f**k Claire has to be loving that
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,846


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #294 on: November 06, 2018, 05:25:34 PM »

MSNBC also said the approval was close in GA, and that Abrams was doing better among Trump Disapprove than Kemp was doing among Trump approve, but I didn't catch the exact #s.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #295 on: November 06, 2018, 05:26:01 PM »

Missouri is 50 Approve, 49 Disapprove says MSNBC exits

If it's accurate, it'll be a razor thin race as expected.
Logged
Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,496
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #296 on: November 06, 2018, 05:26:47 PM »

Approval better in Florida than Missouri.
Well Florida has always been polarized.
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,846


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #297 on: November 06, 2018, 05:26:54 PM »

Trump approval, GA: 47/51 (-4)

MSNBC says Abrams is winning a larger share of disapproves than Kemp is winning approves...


That is 47 approve, 51 disapprove? If so, amazing great for Abrams. I hope it holds up....... If it does she could be on course to win without a runoff, which would be amazing.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,109


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #298 on: November 06, 2018, 05:27:30 PM »

That’s not that bad for Republicans, considering that his approvals were in the 30s last year, IMHO.

Uh, he wasn't even in the 30s in Virginia last year, and Virginia is to the left of the country as a whole.

lol. Are you really acting like one exit poll in Virginia is more meaningful than the many, many nationwide polls of his approval?!
You're comparing polls of adults with polls of likely voters. Trump always does a few points better in the latter.

Trump was at 39% at the time among polls of likely or registered voters(see 538's tracker; https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/voters/), his low point was August 2017 when he was at 37% and then in December he was at 38%.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #299 on: November 06, 2018, 05:27:34 PM »

65+: R+1

...
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 179  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.065 seconds with 12 queries.