Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - RESULTS

[ElectionsGuy]

Previous threads:

AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT FL GA HI ID IL IA KS ME MD MA MI MN NE NV NH NM NY OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX VT WI WY

Ratings

No Election: 7
Safe D: 5
Likely D: 7
Lean D: 2
Toss-Up: 7
Lean R: 2
Likely R: 3
Safe R: 10
No Election: 7

Predictions

Democrats: 26
Republicans: 24

Runoffs

Georgia

Pickups

Alaska Florida Illinois Iowa Kansas Maine Michigan Nevada New Mexico Ohio Wisconsin

Net: D+10, R-9, I-1

[ElectionsGuy]

Prediction Ratios:

GA: 66/34 Kemp
IA: 72/28 Hubbell
KS: 54/46 Kelly
NH: 86/14 Sununu
OH: 65/35 Cordray
OK: 83/17 Stitt
SD: 73/27 Noem
WI: 84/16 Evers

[Xing]

Interesting that this is precisely the same as Sabato's prediction.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

There doesn't seem to be a thread to post final predictions, so here are my final Gov predictions:

Notable picks -

Rs win GA and OH. I am not optimistic about the early vote in either of those. I am afraid Dems are cannibalizing too much in GA, and I am afraid OH will disappoint again similarishly to 2016.

Ds of course win NH (and also KS, for two Governor Kellys). In KS, Orman loses most of the people that are for him but would otherwise vote Dem, whereas he keeps most of the people who are for him but would otherwise vote Rep, and this pushes Kelly over the edge.

[ElectionsGuy]

Atlas correctly predicted 33/36 races correctly (91.7%) with Florida, Iowa, and Ohio going Republican instead of Democratic.