County Predictions and Analysis

[ElectionsGuy]

In this thread discuss important specific county predictions as well as benchmark numbers that certain candidates may need to get in them. For example, O'Rourke probably needs 60% in Harris County to win, and 70%+ in Travis.

Various county predictions for Senate races around the country

Duval: 50-49 Scott
Hillsborough: 53-45 Nelson
Orange: 59-39 Nelson
Miami-Dade: 62-37 Nelson

Maricopa, AZ: 50-47 Sinema

Clark, NV: 54-41 Rosen
Washoe, NV: 47-46 Heller

Greene, MO: 53/44 Hawley
Jackson, MO: 63/34 McCaskill
Jefferson, MO: 51/46 Hawley
St Louis, MO: 64/34 McCaskill
St Charles, MO: 54/44 Hawley

Hamilton, IN: 53/41 Braun
Lake, IN: 68/26 Donnelly
Marion, IN: 65/30 Donnelly

In Wisconsin, these are some of my county predictions...

Brown: 52/48 Baldwin, 51/47 Walker
Dane: 74/26 Baldwin, 71/27 Evers
Kenosha: 56/44 Baldwin, 52/46 Evers
Milwaukee: 69/31 Baldwin, 67/32 Evers
Outagamie: 50/49 Baldwin, 52/46 Walker
Ozaukee: 62/38 Vukmir, 65/34 Walker
Racine: 54/46 Baldwin, 50/48 Walker
Rock: 61/39 Baldwin, 58/40 Evers
Sheboygan: 56/44 Vukmir, 59/39 Walker.
Washington: 69/31 Vukmir, 72/26 Walker
Waukesha: 65/35 Vukmir, 67/31 Walker