Tender's FINAL 2018 Mid-Term Prediction Thread

[adrac]

The only thing I disagree with here strongly is Tennessee. I don't really see there being much of a path to a polling miss there. SD, AK, and NH are both obviously aggressive calls, but I think they're reasonable given the lack of data.

[AudmanOut]

Manchin is in deeper trouble than most people realize imho, and I think that many will be in for a rude awakening tomorrow.

You're just underestimating Manchin so when he inevitably wins tomorrow you'll post Manchin "Deal with It" memes as you screech "I CANT BELIEVE HE DID IT"

[AudmanOut]

Also

This seems a little too optimistic for the Dems

[Tender Branson]

Bonus prediction for the first race of the night (KY-06):

50% Amy McGrath (D)
48% Andy Barr (R-Inc.)
  2% Others

[GMantis]

The momentum in Texas is definitely there, but it's too late, when taking into account the early voting. As for Tennessee, that was decided once it was clear that Blackburn was the Trump candidate.

[Tender Branson]

Probably my worst predictions for US elections since 2006.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah it was.

[Skye]

This went well.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Can we talk about Alaska.  They had Begich tied with Sullivan in 2014 and he lost by 3 and now the polling in AK in 2018 had Begich tied and he again losing.  AK is a safe R state.

[IceSpear]

There was really zero reason to make such a gaudy prediction. As someone else here put it, it's more like "wishcasting."

[Buzz]

This cant even be classified as a prediction.  Just hack wishcasting.