Bold Predictions - Two Days Out
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Author Topic: Bold Predictions - Two Days Out  (Read 2615 times)
MT Treasurer
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« Reply #25 on: November 04, 2018, 09:49:48 PM »


By Atlas standards, absolutely.
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NeederNodder
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« Reply #26 on: November 04, 2018, 09:54:04 PM »

Another one just for kicks. Feinstein loses to De Leon by 2 points.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #27 on: November 04, 2018, 09:54:59 PM »

Dems severely underperform polls, falling quite a bit short in the House and losing 5+ seats in the Senate, Atlas goes nuts, but the servers manage to stay up.

Come on, that one's not even remotely credible.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #28 on: November 04, 2018, 11:25:16 PM »


Dean Heller is an extremely strong candidate against weak Jacky Rosen with close polls right now. Therefore Heller win. Smiley
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #29 on: November 05, 2018, 12:02:37 AM »

Bob Hugin performs better than Pat Morrisey.
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Skye
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« Reply #30 on: November 05, 2018, 04:58:28 AM »

I don't think TN will be particularly close.

Like I've said before, maybe the train wreck candidates of Renacci, Barletta, and Stewart, will perform better than most expect.

Also, a bold take by #Atlas standards, but I don't think Heller winning would surprise me that much. The whole "Nevada is Safe D" thinking is junk anyways.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #31 on: November 05, 2018, 08:07:06 AM »

Another one just for kicks. Feinstein loses to De Leon by 2 points.

Now that's bold
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #32 on: November 05, 2018, 08:37:14 AM »

Beto wins, and the senate flips.
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Sherrod Brown Shill
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« Reply #33 on: November 05, 2018, 08:51:47 AM »

D+34 in House, D+1 in the Senate, governorships are D+8. 
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NEW JERSEY FOR MENENDEZ
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« Reply #34 on: November 05, 2018, 10:29:37 AM »

Bob Hugin and Phil Bredesen win or lose by 3 points.

Morrisey will lose by double digits.

Corey Stewart fails to cross 40%.


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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #35 on: November 05, 2018, 12:17:49 PM »

The Senate will be tied 50-50.
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andjey
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« Reply #36 on: November 05, 2018, 12:25:49 PM »

1. Begich wins Alaska
2. PHIL BREDESEN WINS TENNESSEE
3. Senate flips, Dems 51, while Reps 49
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #37 on: November 05, 2018, 03:51:12 PM »

NC-7 is single digits
Linda Coleman knocks off George Holding
Fred Upton loses
Duncan Hunter loses
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tallguy23
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« Reply #38 on: November 05, 2018, 04:37:02 PM »

Don Young and Duncan Hunter lose.

Bredesan narrowly wins.

Beto VERY varrowly loses.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #39 on: November 05, 2018, 08:57:30 PM »

Kelly pulls it out in NH.

ND is closer than TX.

Democrats win the House, but Nancy Pelosi is not the next speaker.

At least one person who wins election tomorrow does not actually take office.

A future president will be a freshman member of the next congress.

Trump is actually somewhat cordial and congratulates the Democrats on a well-fought campaign.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #40 on: November 05, 2018, 09:09:11 PM »

Kelly pulls it out in NH.

ND is closer than TX.

Democrats win the House, but Nancy Pelosi is not the next speaker.

At least one person who wins election tomorrow does not actually take office.

A future president will be a freshman member of the next congress.

Trump is actually somewhat cordial and congratulates the Democrats on a well-fought campaign.


Hof?
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Pericles
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« Reply #41 on: November 05, 2018, 10:08:38 PM »

Karen Handel and Rob Woodall lose(while Stacey Abrams wins 50% on the first round. My biggest worry is the Woodall one but I'm going with it).

Andy Barr wins.

Paul Davis narrowly loses.

Republicans gain 2 seats in Minnesota(while democrats gain 2 Republican seats so the delegation stays 5-3).

Leslie Cockburn wins, in fact VA-07, VA-05 and VA-10 flip, BUT Taylor survives perhaps even by mid to high single digits.

Cruz wins by around 8 points, slightly outperforming the polls.

Heidi Heitkamp comes a lot closer than the polls say but still loses.

Sadly this is bold for Atlas and the punditry but Manchin wins by high single digits or low double digits(a not bold part; people who were saying Manchin was going to lose then proceed to act like the outcome was inevitable all along and no big deal).

This one I'm not 100% on, but leaning towards; Bredesen comes closer to victory than O'Rourke(both still lose).

Bill Nelson wins by 5 points or more.

Menendez wins by double digits.

Sinema does win by more than Rosen(though both still win and both by at least 2 points).

Idk if this is bold but Republicans are left with only one seat in New Jersey.

Democrats sweep all the tossup races in California.
 
Overall, Democrats gain 39 seats in the House with a 9-10 point PV win, but there is no net change in the Senate.
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SN2903
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« Reply #42 on: November 05, 2018, 10:13:39 PM »

Dems underperform the polls again. Come up short by 5-7 seats in the house and lose 4-5 senate seats net.

- John James wins in Michigan by 1-2 pts.
- Lena Epstein wins MI-11 by a couple hundred votes.
- Rosendale wins in Montana.
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Atlas Force
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« Reply #43 on: November 06, 2018, 09:05:27 AM »

Oklahoma and South Dakota both end up closer than Maine and Nevada.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #44 on: November 06, 2018, 09:09:55 AM »

Either O'Rourke or Heitkamp wins
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #45 on: November 06, 2018, 09:14:47 AM »

Kemp wins outright
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DaWN
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« Reply #46 on: November 06, 2018, 09:16:35 AM »

Same bold prediction I made in October: Heller does worse than Heitkamp
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #47 on: November 06, 2018, 10:52:54 AM »

Georgia will go to a runoff. Kemp will win that runoff.
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Sherrod Brown Shill
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« Reply #48 on: November 06, 2018, 11:30:54 AM »

Heitkamp only loses by 3-4 points. Kemp wins outright. Baldwin, Stabenow, Walz, Brown, and Whitmer are kept to single digit wins.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #49 on: November 06, 2018, 02:41:13 PM »

Senator Elect Mitt blames Trump for loss of House.
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