Bold Predictions - Two Days Out

[Atlas Force]

I'll start:

No Republican House candidate in New York breaks %60 of the vote.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Will Hurd loses due to Beto spiking turnout

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Oh fine

Don Young loses in Alaska

[junior chįmp]

Senate Flips

[Peanut]

Senate Flips

[Politician]

One to three of the following lose: Don Young, Duncan Hunter, Brian Mast, Rob Woodall, Mike Bost, Steve King, Fred Upton, Greg Gianforte, Don Bacon, Dan Donovan, Chris Collins, George Holding, Steve Chabot, Mike Kelly, Jaime Herrera Butler, Glenn Grothman.

[Vosem]

Don't know how serious I am, but the following candidates all win or massively over-perform:

Barbara Comstock.

Mel Hall.

Mike Coffman.

Matt Longjohn.

Manny Santos.

Betsy Dirksen-Londrigan.

Steve Knight.

Amy McGrath.

Generally, popular Republican incumbents and rural Midwestern Democrats do better than people anticipated. Democrats take the House with net D+40 (but that's not really a bold prediction, it's basically CW), but it's a lot more Midwest-heavy than people might have thought.

[OBD]

Buehler and Sutton win.

[7,052,770]

Beto wins.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Senate Flips

[GeorgiaModerate]

Woodall loses in GA-07, although I guess that isn't as bold as it would have sounded a few weeks ago.

[Mr. Illini]

Stabenow and Baldwin win by less than 5 but McCaskill and Donnelly also hold on

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Stabenow and Baldwin win by less than 5 but McCaskill and Donnelly also hold on

To paraphrase Chris Hayes interviewing Carter Page, I'm not sure if that prediction is bold or reckless.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Stabenow and Baldwin win by less than 5 but McCaskill and Donnelly also hold on

There's no way the first pair and the second pair can occur in the same universe.

[Comrade Funk]

Beto wins.

[Podgy the Bear]

Lucy McBath beats Karen Handel in GA-06, though it doesn't look like so much of a surprise (it did a month ago).

[NeederNodder]

Dems pick up 60 seats in the house

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Manchin loses would be a bold take by atlasian standards I guess.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Manchin loses would be a bold take by atlasian standards I guess.

Here is a not bold prediction: Bagel will continue to be miserable regardless of the outcome on Tuesday

[I Can Now Die Happy]

Not sure if this is truly a 'bold' prediction, but the GOP keeps the House at a slight margin (anywhere from 218 to 230) and expands their hold in the Senate to the mid 50s (54-46).

Hmm...and I suppose I'd say Cruz wins at low double digit margins.

And Stacey Abrams loses outright, no runoff needed.

Gillum loses.

America wins.

[libertpaulian]

Donnelly gets his 2012 margin.  He wins YUGE in Lake, Marion, Monroe, and St. Joseph Counties.  He loses Hamilton County by single digits.  He loses ground in the rurals but outperforms Clinton there.

Dems pick up 1 seat in the Senate.  They gain AZ and NV, lose ND, but hold the rest.

Dems pick up IL, NM, NV, KS, IA, WI, MI, OH, ME, GA, FL, and AK in the governor races.

Dems pick up 40-50 House seats.

[MT Treasurer]

Matt Rosendale and Jacky Rosen both outperform the polls.

[IceSpear]

Matt Rosendale and Jacky Rosen both outperform the polls.

BOLD.

[Calthrina950]

Ted Cruz and Marsha Blackburn will both win by at least five points, while Heidi Heitkamp will lose by ~10-11 points.

[Hammy]

Dems severely underperform polls, falling quite a bit short in the House and losing 5+ seats in the Senate, Atlas goes nuts, but the servers manage to stay up.