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November 28, 2020, 08:50:30 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  IA Des Moines Register: Hubbell +2
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Author Topic: IA Des Moines Register: Hubbell +2  (Read 3805 times)
Scottholes 2.0
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« on: November 03, 2018, 06:02:15 PM »
« edited: November 03, 2018, 06:20:44 PM by BlueFlapjack »

Fred Hubbell (D): 46 percent
Kim Reynolds (R): 44 percent
Jake Porter (L): 2 percent; 1 percent other
7 percent undecides

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2018/11/03/iowa-poll-governor-race-kim-reynolds-fred-hubbell-jake-porter-selzer-iowa-election-2018-medicaid/1871874002/
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2018, 06:05:59 PM »

Well, I would say a tossup is appropriate, though I would give the edge to Hubbell.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2018, 06:06:17 PM »

Well, I would say a tossup is appropriate, though I would give the edge to Hubbell.
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ηєω Éяσηтιєя
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2018, 06:06:48 PM »

Well, I would say a tossup is appropriate, though I would give the edge to Hubbell.
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2018, 06:06:57 PM »

This is the poll we were waiting for. At least I wasn't disappointed.
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Atlas Force
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2018, 06:11:37 PM »

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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2018, 06:12:00 PM »

Nice!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2018, 06:13:40 PM »

So much for Iowa becoming a permanent red state as the GOP marches up the Mississippi River.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2018, 06:20:36 PM »

So much for Iowa becoming a permanent red state as the GOP marches up the Mississippi River.

Democrats won the Governorships in Louisiana in 2003, Arkansas in 2006 and Missouri in 2008.
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OkThen
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2018, 06:21:40 PM »

They also split it up by CD for anyone interested...

Hubbell +2 in CD1
Hubbell +8 in CD2
Hubbell +7 in CD3
Reynolds +9 in CD4
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MycroftCZ
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2018, 06:22:03 PM »

NICE
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2018, 06:23:52 PM »

Still a Toss-up. Bold, I know.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2018, 06:24:32 PM »

They also split it up by CD for anyone interested...

Hubbell +2 in CD1
Hubbell +8 in CD2
Hubbell +7 in CD3
Reynolds +9 in CD4


Not great for Young.
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2018, 06:24:42 PM »

This is the same margin they found before. Toss-Up race is a Toss-Up, but I'll probably say Hubbell wins by about this margin or slightly less.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2018, 06:34:12 PM »

Iowa is the bellwether, if Dems win it, there will be a wave
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AudmanOut
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2018, 06:37:53 PM »

Well, I would say a tossup is appropriate, though I would give the edge to Hubbell.
And also
So much for Iowa becoming a permanent red state as the GOP marches up the Mississippi River.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2018, 06:40:56 PM »

#RedWave, amirite?
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Josiah Quincy Did Nothing Wrong
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2018, 06:42:17 PM »

THIS IS NOT A DRILL

IT'S HAPPENING
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2018, 06:42:23 PM »

Ehh.. I like Hubbell
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2018, 06:46:25 PM »

I mean, Iowa is still a swing-y state, especially in wave elections. Remember when Chet Culver lost by 10 in 2010? I have little doubt that Republicans are going to win this (and IA-01/IA-03) back in 2022.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2018, 06:48:00 PM »

I donít see how Scott Walker survives if Reynolds is also going down

WaUkEShA WiLl SaVe WaLkER.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2018, 06:49:41 PM »

I mean, Iowa is still a swing-y state, especially in wave elections. Remember when Chet Culver lost by 10 in 2010? I have little doubt that Republicans are going to win this (and IA-01/IA-03) back in 2022.

It depends on how IA-03 is redrawn after redistricting . It is possible that the district becomes just the Des Moines metro area, including Ames.
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wifikitten
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2018, 06:52:07 PM »

Congratulations Governor Hubbell! I think this race being so low key has allowed for this to happen at the opportune time. 
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2018, 06:56:43 PM »

Sleeper race.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2018, 07:07:51 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2018, 07:14:02 PM by Garfield County Republicans 4 Jon Tester Populism »

I mean, Iowa is still a swing-y state, especially in wave elections. Remember when Chet Culver lost by 10 in 2010? I have little doubt that Republicans are going to win this (and IA-01/IA-03) back in 2022.

Just like how Democrats are going to win back NH Gov after the 2016 fluke I guess

1) They probably will.
2) Not every midterm will be a Democratic wave from now on, especially if Dems have the trifecta in 2022 (likely). Now if Trump somehow wins reelection, Hubbell will probably cruise.
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