|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 11, 2020, 07:29:55 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  Change Research (D internal): Cruz +0 in TX, Nelson +2 in FL
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: Change Research (D internal): Cruz +0 in TX, Nelson +2 in FL  (Read 4207 times)
DataGuy
Rookie
**
Posts: 217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 03, 2018, 10:42:32 am »

Cruz (R): 49%
O'Rourke (D): 49%

https://mobile.twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1058740322530820097

Nelson (D): 50%
Scott (R): 48%

https://mobile.twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1058738965149233153

Once again, these polls are sponsored by Democrats.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,900


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2018, 10:43:05 am »

Logged
DataGuy
Rookie
**
Posts: 217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2018, 10:46:07 am »

I started a thread just seconds before you, but mine also includes the poll from FL. Could we merge them?
Logged
new_patomic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 531


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2018, 10:46:11 am »

Do I want to believe? Yes.

Do I believe? No.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,816
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2018, 10:46:14 am »

Another Nelson +2 poll, wtf...
Logged
Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2018, 10:47:30 am »

I don't believe the Texas numbers but the Florida numbers just reinforce the narrative that Nelson is slightly up but Scott could win if enough Democrats stay home and enough Independents get cold feet once they get in the booth.
Logged
History505
Guest
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2018, 10:48:13 am »

Texas race is tightening, that Cruz +10 poll seemed like an outlier compared to other polls showing a Cruz lead of 3-6 points, and now this one showing it even more narrow with a tie.
Logged
DaWN
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,283
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2018, 10:48:52 am »

O'Rourke winning would be great but...

a) Internal
b) He's not coming close to winning if Nelson is only up by 2

I believe this can be disposed of
Logged
Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2018, 10:50:41 am »

Texas race is tightening, that Cruz +10 poll seemed like an outlier compared to other polls showing a Cruz lead of 3-6 points, and now this one showing it even more narrow with a tie.

And the polls from the same people have been all over the place. Some pollster have Tester and Donnely up by a lot, have McCaskill and Rosen doing pretty well and then have people turning their backs on Sinema and Nelson...and vice versa.
Logged
mgop
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 773
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2018, 10:50:53 am »

Texas race is tightening, that Cruz +10 poll seemed like an outlier compared to other polls showing a Cruz lead of 3-6 points, and now this one showing it even more narrow with a tie.

lol if anything is outlier, this "tie" junk poll is
Logged
History505
Guest
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2018, 10:54:16 am »

Texas race is tightening, that Cruz +10 poll seemed like an outlier compared to other polls showing a Cruz lead of 3-6 points, and now this one showing it even more narrow with a tie.

lol if anything is outlier, this "tie" junk poll is
If Cruz wins, he's not winning by double digits lol.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,900


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2018, 10:56:47 am »

I started a thread just seconds before you, but mine also includes the poll from FL. Could we merge them?

Fine with me.  I'll ask a mod.
Logged
Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2018, 11:11:16 am »

538 says it has a R+0.8 House Effect
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,196
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2018, 11:12:23 am »

It's obviously junk but no one can deny anymore it has been a good week for democrats given all the polls showing a tie in races that shouldn't be competitive (TX, TN,...)
Logged
Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,568
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2018, 11:13:26 am »

Sweat Ted....sweat
Logged
АndriуValeriovich
andjey
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,663
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: 4.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2018, 11:14:02 am »

Do I want to believe? Yes.

Do I believe? No.
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,120


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2018, 11:14:33 am »

All of these red state Sen districts are recalibrating after their Kavanaugh highs have worn off. It would be surprising if Beto won but not shocking since he is knocking on the door. Looks like a tight race.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,485
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2018, 11:18:14 am »

Not buying a reverse MI-PRES 2016 yet, especially since reputable pollsters still find Cruz up by 4-6.
Logged
Comrade Funk
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,171
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2018, 11:20:28 am »

TX will be closer than TN.
Logged
Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,705


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2018, 11:23:26 am »

eh
Logged
Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,705


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2018, 11:26:13 am »


Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,963
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2018, 11:43:54 am »
« Edited: November 03, 2018, 12:11:24 pm by Brittain33 »

I believe that Rafael Edward 'Ted' Cruz will defeat Robert Francis O'Rourke at a margin of low double digits.

Logged
Solidarity Forever
Alfred F. Jones
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,231
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2018, 11:51:50 am »

538 says it has a R+0.8 House Effect

So is that (D internal) thing real or just editorializing?
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,820
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2018, 11:55:04 am »

Cruz has yet to show that he is anything other than a lapdog for Donald Trump.

Two of the worst acts of domestic terrorism, with the President mishandling them badly?
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,995
Germany



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2018, 11:56:00 am »

Spaceman will win....

Looks like there is a last mintute trend in Beto's favor. Hope it's enough to carry him over the finish line and oust the obstructionist-in-chief. But I remain doubtful until Wednesday morning.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.421 seconds with 14 queries.