TN-ETSU: Tie
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Author Topic: TN-ETSU: Tie  (Read 3589 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 02, 2018, 02:33:23 PM »

East Tennessee State University:

44% Bredesen
44% Blackburn

https://wcyb.com/news/local/etsu-poll-has-lee-in-governor-race-lead-blackburn-bredesen-tied
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2018, 02:33:57 PM »

I think we all know who those undecideds lean towards
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2018, 02:34:35 PM »

I have never heard of ETSU polling. I thought it was the same pollster with Trump +10 in late September/early October in 2016, but that was MTSU.

In any case:
I think we all know who those undecideds lean towards
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andjey
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2018, 02:39:07 PM »

It's Tossup, Bredesen will win in the end
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Politician
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2018, 02:40:01 PM »

Only on Atlas is New Jersey more competitive then this race.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2018, 02:41:29 PM »

Cruz and Blackburn have been steadily declining from their Kavanaugh highs...
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2018, 02:45:06 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2018, 02:58:02 PM by Garfield County Republicans 4 Candidate Quality »

Yes, itís a Tossup, since red state voters always fall for people like Bredesen. Too bad, but Trump/Bredesen voters absolutely deserve this.
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History505
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2018, 02:51:07 PM »

Blackburn has the advantage going in, but Bredesen upset not out of the question if turnout numbers are strong for him.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2018, 02:55:58 PM »

Blackburn has the advantage going in, but Bredesen upset not out of the question if turnout numbers are strong for him.

It certainly helps that Blackburn is too "shrill" for many Tennesseeans.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2018, 02:59:13 PM »

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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2018, 03:00:25 PM »

Texas will be closer.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2018, 03:01:35 PM »

FOX: R+8
CNN: R+4
Marist: R+5
Some random uni poll: Tie

Atlas: TOSS UP!!!!!
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2018, 03:03:10 PM »

FOX: R+8
CNN: R+4
Marist: R+5
Some random uni poll: Tie

Atlas: TOSS UP!!!!!

Those first 3 polls were before Taylor Swift Instagram pics tho
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2018, 03:03:43 PM »

FOX: R+8
CNN: R+4
Marist: R+5
Some random uni poll: Tie

Atlas: TOSS UP!!!!!

Itís certainly more likely to flip than TX.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2018, 03:05:39 PM »

FOX: R+8
CNN: R+4
Marist: R+5
Some random uni poll: Tie

Atlas: TOSS UP!!!!!

Those first 3 polls were before Taylor Swift Instagram pics tho

I realize this is a joke post, but just in case anyone takes it seriously (a sad possibility), this poll is actually older than the FOX poll and the CNN poll.
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2018, 03:09:40 PM »

I could see Bredesen getting 44%.
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2018, 03:13:27 PM »

FOX: R+8
CNN: R+4
Marist: R+5
Some random uni poll: Tie

Atlas: TOSS UP!!!!!

Those first 3 polls were before Taylor Swift Instagram pics tho

I realize this is a joke post, but just in case anyone takes it seriously (a sad possibility), this poll is actually older than the FOX poll and the CNN poll.

♪♫♬ When your down fifteen....and the polls tell you its a tie...your gonna believe them ♪♫♬
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2018, 03:16:56 PM »

FOX: R+8
CNN: R+4
Marist: R+5
Some random uni poll: Tie

Atlas: TOSS UP!!!!!

Those first 3 polls were before Taylor Swift Instagram pics tho

I realize this is a joke post, but just in case anyone takes it seriously (a sad possibility), this poll is actually older than the FOX poll and the CNN poll.

This sort of thing cuts both ways though:

Poll by random outfit nobody's ever heard of: Manchin +6
Atlas: OMG MORRISEYMENTUM!!!! MANCHIN WILL LOSE!!!!!
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2018, 03:19:29 PM »

He's been stuck in the mid 40s since he announced. He's donezo.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2018, 03:19:40 PM »

I don't believe polls that come from schools in a truck stop conference. Johnson City, are you kidding me? Mop up the Southern Sisters of the Poor in a polling battle! I only believe polls from the MAAC Conference of Champions!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2018, 03:23:31 PM »

FOX: R+8
CNN: R+4
Marist: R+5
Some random uni poll: Tie

Atlas: TOSS UP!!!!!

Those first 3 polls were before Taylor Swift Instagram pics tho

I realize this is a joke post, but just in case anyone takes it seriously (a sad possibility), this poll is actually older than the FOX poll and the CNN poll.

This sort of thing cuts both ways though:

Poll by random outfit nobody's ever heard of: Manchin +6
Atlas: OMG MORRISEYMENTUM!!!! MANCHIN WILL LOSE!!!!!

I must have missed when FOX, CNN, and Marist polled West Virginia.

The difference is we've gotten no high quality polls of the West Virginia Senate race since June, so there's nothing to compare the junk polls to. We've gotten plenty of high quality Tennessee polls within the last week, so there's zero need to resort to believing random uni polls (especially random uni polls that are actually older than the high quality ones, as in this case) unless it's to try to fit a preconceived narrative or to cheerlead.

Not to mention the fundamentals and trendlines of each state are completely different.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2018, 03:52:50 PM »

Bredesen is gonna win
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Brittain33
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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2018, 04:02:28 PM »


C'mon, no one believes TN is a toss-up any more.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2018, 04:07:00 PM »


Like 3 people in this very thread said it was...
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2018, 04:08:53 PM »

this is Braun Research btw, 538 adjusted it to Bredesen + 0.5 fwiw
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