VT-Gravis: Scott +10
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 20, 2021, 05:22:25 AM

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  VT-Gravis: Scott +10
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: VT-Gravis: Scott +10  (Read 1357 times)
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,507
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 02, 2018, 07:32:26 AM »

Scott (R, inc.)  49
Hallquist (D)    39

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Vermont_November_1_2018.pdf
Logged
Mr. Kanye West
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 56,156
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2018, 09:46:13 AM »

Not reaching 50%
Logged
Torrain
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,838
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2018, 06:57:11 PM »


And thatís the whole ballgame. If the legislature get to decide, who knows how it plays out.
Logged
Hammy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 9,295
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2018, 07:26:33 PM »


And thatís the whole ballgame. If the legislature get to decide, who knows how it plays out.

Does the legislature choose if there's no majority instead of having a runoff?
Logged
adrac
adracman42
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 724


Political Matrix
E: -9.99, S: -9.99

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2018, 07:30:39 PM »


And thatís the whole ballgame. If the legislature get to decide, who knows how it plays out.

Does the legislature choose if there's no majority instead of having a runoff?
Yes.
Logged
Tintrlvr
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,269


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2018, 07:32:07 PM »


And thatís the whole ballgame. If the legislature get to decide, who knows how it plays out.

Does the legislature choose if there's no majority instead of having a runoff?

Yes, but polling at 49% with 12% undecided Scott would definitely end up over 50%. There are a bunch of other candidates on the ballot (a Liberty Union* candidate and four independents), but no one of consequence. The Progressives did not nominate a candidate. The minor candidates will get no more than 5% between them, and that is probably generous.

*A left-wing democratic socialist party operating only in Vermont, for those unfamiliar.
Logged
Thomas D
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,993
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -6.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2018, 07:32:19 PM »

The Vermont Legislature will not overturn the will of the people.  If Gov. Scott get 48% and Ms. Hillquist get 44%,  They will support Scott.
Logged
Mr. Kanye West
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 56,156
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2018, 07:37:16 PM »

Scott, Sununu, Baker and Hogan are mainstream enough to win, anyways. Those states are deal breakers in presidency
Logged
Tintrlvr
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,269


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2018, 07:40:05 PM »

The Vermont Legislature will not overturn the will of the people.  If Gov. Scott get 48% and Ms. Hillquist get 44%,  They will support Scott.

This is probably true, although it depends to some degree on the relative margin between the candidates and how strong third parties were. In your scenario, if the Liberty Union candidate got 6% or more (not likely), so that clearly left-wing candidates won a majority of the vote together, the legislature might be tempted to choose Hallquist. The last time a similar scenario happened (Republican wins only a plurality, Democrats control the legislature), in 2002, the legislature chose the Republican with 45% over the Democrat with 42%, but the Democrat conceded the race before the legislature voted and did not try to convince the legislature to vote for him. In that race, the primary other vote-getter was independent Cornelius Hogan with 10% of the vote, who to my understanding was a centrist candidate.
Logged
AudmanOut
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,131
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2018, 02:37:35 AM »

LOL
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.033 seconds with 14 queries.