Canadian Election 2019

[MAINEiac4434]

Candidate update:

The Tories are running several former MP's in Atlantic Canada: Scott Armstrong (Cumberland-Colchester),  Rob Moore (Fundy-Royal), and John Williamson (New Brunswick Southwest). All three have a decent chance at reclaiming their seats.

They have also have a possible star candidate; Chris d'Entremont in West Nova. d'Entremont is the Tory MLA for Argyle-Barrington and is a former cabinet minister. West Nova should still go Liberal but d'Entremont could make it interesting.

Interesting, so is the NDP:

Andrew Cash in Davenport (defeated in 2015, a good fighting chance, still lean-LPC, but that's a strong candidate for the NDP)

Svend Robinson in Burnaby North-Seymour (did not run again in 2004, a good chance as well in a three way race)

Yasss

[MAINEiac4434]

Well it was nice having Ruth Ellen Brosseau in parliament

[MAINEiac4434]

Bold prediction: Trudeau remains PM due to the Liberals taking advantage of an NDP collapse in Quebec.

[MAINEiac4434]

I also think the Ford premiership in Ontario might harm the federal Tories in the province. That's just a hunch, though.

[MAINEiac4434]

7% for the Dippers in Quebec. 7.

Will any of their Quebec MPs survive?

[MAINEiac4434]

A riding poll has been commissioned for a hypothetical Jody Wilson-Raybould independent run in Vancouver-Granville

JWR: 33%
Liberal:24%
NDP: 21%
Conservative: 15%

I see no problem with her running as an independent. Even if she loses, she could still join the BCNDP, and she'd be welcomed with open arms.