Canadian Election 2019

[Hatman 🍁]

Maxime Bernier appears to have finally left Beauce, and will be touring around Anglo New Brunswick the next few days. Trying to go after the People's Alliance vote presumably.

Outside of the four ridings they're targeting, New Brunswick is the best region for polling, probably due to the association/confusion with the PA. 

[DC Al Fine]

Maxime Bernier appears to have finally left Beauce, and will be touring around Anglo New Brunswick the next few days. Trying to go after the People's Alliance vote presumably.

Outside of thefour ridings they're targeting, New Brunswick is the best region for polling, probably due to the association/confusion with the PA. 

Beauce, Etobicoke North, Nipissing... what's the fourth one?

[MaxQue]

Maxime Bernier appears to have finally left Beauce, and will be touring around Anglo New Brunswick the next few days. Trying to go after the People's Alliance vote presumably.

Outside of thefour ridings they're targeting, New Brunswick is the best region for polling, probably due to the association/confusion with the PA. 

Beauce, Etobicoke North, Nipissing... what's the fourth one?

Their correspondance to the Debates Commissions mentions Charleswood-St.-James-Assiniboia-Headingley (Steven Fletcher) and Pickering-Uxbridge (former MP Corneliu Chisu).

[Njall]

It's important to note that the riding polls were measuring how many respondents "would be possible, likely, or certain" to vote for the PPC candidate. Results were as follows:

Nipissing-Timiskaming: 34.1%

• 11.2% certain
• 6.1% likely
• 16.9% possible

Etobicoke North: 29.9%

• 15.3% certain
• 5.2% likely
• 9.4% possible

Pickering-Uxbridge: 25.9%

• 11.2% certain
• 5.4% likely
• 9.3% possible

Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia-Headingly: 24.5%

• 10.6% certain
• 4.4% likely
• 9.5% possible

[mileslunn]

Nanos shows on best PM, things tightening which is interesting.  National #'s show a strong 3 day swing to Tories, but when you look at regionals not quite as dramatic, although not giving any details, but it does seem if you take average of polls strong East vs. West divide is appearing which you haven't seen since the 90s.  Whats odd is with twice as many people in East and Ontario and Quebec both having Liberal double digit leads in most polls, how do the Tories keep it tied or slightly ahead as even with blowout margins in Alberta and Saskatchewan, population is much less there.

[Hatman 🍁]

Maxime Bernier appears to have finally left Beauce, and will be touring around Anglo New Brunswick the next few days. Trying to go after the People's Alliance vote presumably.

Outside of thefour ridings they're targeting, New Brunswick is the best region for polling, probably due to the association/confusion with the PA. 

Beauce, Etobicoke North, Nipissing... what's the fourth one?

Oops, I still have the four ridings on my brain. It is five including Beauce of course, plus Charleswood and Pickering-Uxbridge.

[mileslunn]

For Charleswood-St. James-Assinboia and Headingley in particular and maybe Pickering-Uxbridge if Tories improve in Ontario, this could help split the vote for the Liberals.  In first one a real risk while in latter I think Liberals would win it even without split today, but that could change if Tories improve in Ontario in which case PPC may help Liberals hold this, but won't matter if Liberals stay well ahead in Ontario.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/TIME/status/1174452001448636423

[mileslunn]

https://twitter.com/TIME/status/1174452001448636423

If this were in the last four years, could be fatal, but being 18 years ago, as much as I wish it were bad news for him, I don't think it will be.  At most might make attacking dumb things Tory candidates did over a decade ago harder but that is about it.

[DabbingSanta]

He's done.

[Continential]

https://twitter.com/TIME/status/1174452001448636423

If this were in the last four years, could be fatal, but being 18 years ago, as much as I wish it were bad news for him, I don't think it will be.  At most might make attacking dumb things Tory candidates did over a decade ago harder but that is about it.

If I was a Canadian, that revalation would put me in a Solid NDP if they are viable in that seat.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Who the hell cares?

I hope the Tories give Trudeau a taste of his own medicine

[libertpaulian]

Who the hell cares?

I hope the Tories give Trudeau a taste of his own medicine

Yup.  Trudeau ran in 2015 as the biggest SJW to ever SJW.  Time he learns what Cancel Culture is all about.

[Pandaguineapig]

Who the hell cares?

I hope the Tories give Trudeau a taste of his own medicine

Yup.  Trudeau ran in 2015 as the biggest SJW to ever SJW.  Time he learns what Cancel Culture is all about.

I think that if Andrew Scheer's comments on gay marriage from almost 20 years ago are fair game, then Zoolander's brownface is too

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/nccm/status/1174480597332500480

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

He's done.

Sure, Jan.

[super6646]

Meh.

I’m not a hypocrite on these sort of issues. Happened ages ago, doesn’t define him as a candidate at this point imo. Don’t get me wrong he should absolutely should not be PM of this country, but I don’t see how this is an issue.

Neither should scheer’s comments on gay marriage 15 years ago though. I wouldn’t blame the cons for using this against him given the way he’s portrayed his opposition though.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

His apology was the best apology for this kind of sh-t I've seen from a politician in a long time. That's something. I'll still vote NDP in Vancouver Centre though, ha.

[DL]

His apology was the best apology for this kind of sh-t I've seen from a politician in a long time. That's something. I'll still vote NDP in Vancouver Centre though, ha.

You’ve gotta be kidding. He was awful. All he did was talk about himself and never about the people who are hurt by this and he couldn’t even bring himself to say the word “blackface”. Then he tries to trivialize the whole think by saying “he likes to wear costumes”

If you want to see good heartfelt words on this watch Jagmeet Singh’s statement

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/RobynUrback/status/1174500384490106880

[mileslunn]

His apology was the best apology for this kind of sh-t I've seen from a politician in a long time. That's something. I'll still vote NDP in Vancouver Centre though, ha.

You’ve gotta be kidding. He was awful. All he did was talk about himself and never about the people who are hurt by this and he couldn’t even bring himself to say the word “blackface”. Then he tries to trivialize the whole think by saying “he likes to wear costumes”

If you want to see good heartfelt words on this watch Jagmeet Singh’s statement

I think this might be the moment where NDP starts to rebound.  Tough to rebound enough to win outright, but certainly enough this might not be a bad result and Singh gets to stay on as leader, but we shall see.  Also might be the point when NDP pulls ahead of Greens is main progressive alternative to Liberals.

[Don Vito Corleone]

https://twitter.com/goldsbie/status/1174505371777609728?s=21

[Hatman 🍁]

I'm really proud of Jagmeet's response.  It definitely has the ability to turn around the campaign. It's unfortunate that this has to be reason for it.

[Don Vito Corleone]

I am quite curious as to the staying power of this. Suppose it depends on the rest of the campaign (and on that front, the Tories haven't been doing themselves many favours).

[Don Vito Corleone]

https://twitter.com/robertfife/status/1174512548470763523?s=21

Perhaps the only saving grace for Trudeau in all this is that there's a month left to turn it around.