OH Baldwin Wallace: Brown +17
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  OH Baldwin Wallace: Brown +17
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Author Topic: OH Baldwin Wallace: Brown +17  (Read 1055 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 30, 2018, 07:47:21 AM »

Could also be Brown +19.

Their graph shows Brown 49 - Renacci 32. However, the article says Brown 51 - Renacci 32.

https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/10/30/poll-ohio-governors-race-tight-sherrod-brown-likely-cruising-senate-win-and-more/1811239002/
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 08:05:01 AM »

This is why I知 optimistic for Donnelly.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2018, 08:07:48 AM »

This is why I知 optimistic for Donnelly.
Ohio and Indiana are two completely different states.
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SN2903
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2018, 10:32:48 AM »

This is why I知 optimistic for Donnelly.
Brown is a much stronger incumbent than Donnelly. I think Donnelly's numbers are way too low for an incumbent he is going to lose.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2018, 10:47:08 AM »

Brown will win, but I知 not buying that it値l be by 17 points.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2018, 11:37:19 AM »

Is Brown up by 6, or is he up by 17%? Who knows, but I do know that he's going to win easily.
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NUPES Enjoyer
Antonio V
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2018, 11:42:18 AM »

So one poll has Cordray 3 points behind Brown, and another has him 17 points behind. Huh.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2018, 11:56:06 AM »

So one poll has Cordray 3 points behind Brown, and another has him 17 points behind. Huh.

And they're both junk polls. I doubt that's a coincidence.
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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2018, 12:30:58 PM »

This is why I知 optimistic for Donnelly.
Ohio and Indiana are two completely different states.

Yeah but elections don't take place in a vacuum. IN might be more R leaning than it's neighbors but if MI and OH are both showing massive double digit blowouts for the Dems I think it's reasonable expect a similar shift for IN.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2018, 06:41:27 PM »

Apparently Brown +19 is the actual result.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2018, 07:15:23 PM »

This is why I知 optimistic for Donnelly.
Ohio and Indiana are two completely different states.

They have some differences, but 538 ranks Ohio as the second most similar state to Indiana for Senate elections, just after Missouri. If Ohio is landsliding for the Democrat, and if similar voters in both states have similar behavior, Donnelly should have a narrow edge.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/indiana/
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