OH Baldwin Wallace: Brown +17
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 29, 2022, 06:15:49 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  OH Baldwin Wallace: Brown +17
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: OH Baldwin Wallace: Brown +17  (Read 1069 times)
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,779


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 30, 2018, 07:47:21 AM »

Could also be Brown +19.

Their graph shows Brown 49 - Renacci 32. However, the article says Brown 51 - Renacci 32.

https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/10/30/poll-ohio-governors-race-tight-sherrod-brown-likely-cruising-senate-win-and-more/1811239002/
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,505


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 08:05:01 AM »

This is why I知 optimistic for Donnelly.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,522
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2018, 08:07:48 AM »

This is why I知 optimistic for Donnelly.
Ohio and Indiana are two completely different states.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,447
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2018, 10:32:48 AM »

This is why I知 optimistic for Donnelly.
Brown is a much stronger incumbent than Donnelly. I think Donnelly's numbers are way too low for an incumbent he is going to lose.
Logged
MT Treasurer, Axed with Lax
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,276
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2018, 10:47:08 AM »

Brown will win, but I知 not buying that it値l be by 17 points.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2018, 11:37:19 AM »

Is Brown up by 6, or is he up by 17%? Who knows, but I do know that he's going to win easily.
Logged
NUPES Enjoyer
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 55,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2018, 11:42:18 AM »

So one poll has Cordray 3 points behind Brown, and another has him 17 points behind. Huh.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,849
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2018, 11:56:06 AM »

So one poll has Cordray 3 points behind Brown, and another has him 17 points behind. Huh.

And they're both junk polls. I doubt that's a coincidence.
Logged
McGovernForPrez
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,074


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2018, 12:30:58 PM »

This is why I知 optimistic for Donnelly.
Ohio and Indiana are two completely different states.

Yeah but elections don't take place in a vacuum. IN might be more R leaning than it's neighbors but if MI and OH are both showing massive double digit blowouts for the Dems I think it's reasonable expect a similar shift for IN.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,849
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2018, 06:41:27 PM »

Apparently Brown +19 is the actual result.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,505


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2018, 07:15:23 PM »

This is why I知 optimistic for Donnelly.
Ohio and Indiana are two completely different states.

They have some differences, but 538 ranks Ohio as the second most similar state to Indiana for Senate elections, just after Missouri. If Ohio is landsliding for the Democrat, and if similar voters in both states have similar behavior, Donnelly should have a narrow edge.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/indiana/
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.033 seconds with 10 queries.